Rocket Lab (RKLB) Stock Overview
A space company, provides launch services and space systems solutions in the United States, Canada, Japan, and internationally. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 3/6 |
| Future Growth | 5/6 |
| Past Performance | 0/6 |
| Financial Health | 5/6 |
| Dividends | 0/6 |
RKLB Community Fair Values
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Analyst Price Targets
Top Community Narratives
Rocket Lab Corporation Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$72.57 |
| 52 Week High | US$151.00 |
| 52 Week Low | US$37.57 |
| Beta | 2.63 |
| 1 Month Change | 13.55% |
| 3 Month Change | -49.32% |
| 1 Year Change | 53.68% |
| 3 Year Change | 1,123.78% |
| 5 Year Change | 623.53% |
| Change since IPO | n/a |
Recent News & Updates
Seeking Alpha • Aug 19
Rocket Lab: The Math Doesn't Work
Summary Rocket Lab remains rated sell due to overvaluation, execution risk, dilution, and heightened competition from SpaceX’s IPO. Neutron rocket delays to 2027 threaten RKLB’s core investment thesis, as the launch vehicle is critical for future growth and competitive positioning. The $8B Iridium acquisition introduces significant dilution and financing risk, with a high purchase multiple and uncertain integration timeline. Despite record revenue and backlog, RKLB trades at over 50x forward sales, and concentrated customer risk amplifies downside if key contracts weaken. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • Aug 18
RKLB: Defense Contract Execution Will Test Vertically Integrated Platform Narrative
Rocket Lab's updated analyst price target has moved higher to $70.66 from $66.70, as analysts point to expanding national security contracts, the planned Iridium acquisition, and progress on the Neutron launch vehicle as key supports for the revised valuation assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Rocket Lab shows a broadly constructive view, with several firms lifting price targets and highlighting contract wins, backlog growth, and the planned Iridium acquisition.Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • Aug 19
Rocket Lab: The Math Doesn't Work
Summary Rocket Lab remains rated sell due to overvaluation, execution risk, dilution, and heightened competition from SpaceX’s IPO. Neutron rocket delays to 2027 threaten RKLB’s core investment thesis, as the launch vehicle is critical for future growth and competitive positioning. The $8B Iridium acquisition introduces significant dilution and financing risk, with a high purchase multiple and uncertain integration timeline. Despite record revenue and backlog, RKLB trades at over 50x forward sales, and concentrated customer risk amplifies downside if key contracts weaken. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • Aug 18
RKLB: Defense Contract Execution Will Test Vertically Integrated Platform Narrative
Rocket Lab's updated analyst price target has moved higher to $70.66 from $66.70, as analysts point to expanding national security contracts, the planned Iridium acquisition, and progress on the Neutron launch vehicle as key supports for the revised valuation assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Rocket Lab shows a broadly constructive view, with several firms lifting price targets and highlighting contract wins, backlog growth, and the planned Iridium acquisition.Narrative Update • Aug 04
RKLB: Iridium Integration And Defense Contracts Will Test Vertically Integrated Platform Narrative
Analysts have nudged their Rocket Lab fair value estimate higher to roughly $66.70 from about $64.40. This reflects updated price targets that reference the Iridium acquisition, new hypersonics launch awards, and a series of recent rating upgrades.
Narrative Update • Jul 21
RKLB: Iridium Acquisition Will Support Vertically Integrated Space Services Upside
The Rocket Lab analyst price target has been updated from $103.91 to $114.33. Analysts believe the planned Iridium acquisition, higher assumed revenue growth, and an expanded vertically integrated space services platform support a higher fair value, despite a slightly lower profit margin outlook and a very large forward P/E multiple.Narrative Update • Jul 07
RKLB: Iridium Deal Execution Risk Will Test Vertically Integrated Space Platform Narrative
Rocket Lab's updated analyst price target has moved higher from about $47 to roughly $64, as analysts highlight the planned Iridium acquisition as a key driver for a more vertically integrated space services platform and for refined launch pricing expectations. Analyst Commentary Street research around Rocket Lab has been intensely focused on the proposed Iridium acquisition, with many analysts framing it as a key step toward a more complete space services platform that couples launch, spacecraft manufacturing, and communications services under one roof.
Narrative Update • Jun 23
RKLB: Expanding National Security Backlog Will Drive Future Earnings Power
Rocket Lab's updated analyst price target of $150, supported by research pointing to higher modeled revenue growth alongside more cautious profit margin and P/E assumptions, reflects a recalibration of expectations as analysts weigh the company's position in a tight launch market against its path toward profitability. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Rocket Lab highlights a cluster of bullish analysts who are refining their views on the stock, with several changes to ratings and price targets that speak directly to expectations for execution, growth, and valuation discipline.Analysis Article • Jun 16
Rocket Lab (RKLB) Stock Could Be 28.5% Overvalued After Its Strong Run
Recent Price Moves Put Rocket Lab Stock in Focus Rocket Lab (RKLB) stock has swung sharply, with a gain over the past 3 months and a large 1-year total return, even as the share price declined over the past month. See our latest analysis for Rocket Lab. At a share price of $109.25, Rocket Lab has seen short term share price momentum fade with a 30 day share price return of down 12.44%, even as longer term total shareholder returns have been very strong. If you are looking beyond Rocket Lab...Narrative Update • Jun 08
RKLB: National Security Space Backlog Will Drive Future Earnings Power
Rocket Lab's analyst price target has shifted from $105.00 to about $149.03 as analysts point to industry launch under supply, an expanding backlog, infrastructure advantages, and a core business that is closer to profitability. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts have been steadily lifting their fair value estimates for Rocket Lab, pointing to a mix of execution in the launch business, an expanding backlog, and progress toward a more profitable core operation.Narrative Update • May 25
RKLB: Future Space Systems Backlog Delivery Risks May Restrain Elevated Expectations
Rocket Lab’s updated fair value estimate has shifted from about $87 to roughly $104, as analysts point to a series of higher price targets and new Buy ratings that emphasize the stock’s role as a scaled Western launch and space systems platform, as well as views that its potential share of the broader space economy is still being underappreciated. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Rocket Lab has centered on its role as a scaled Western launch and space systems platform, with several analysts updating ratings and price targets following earnings, backlog commentary, and sector-wide space coverage launches.Narrative Update • May 01
RKLB: National Security Payload Backlog Will Support Long Term Earnings Power
Rocket Lab's updated analyst price target of $105.00, down from $119.85, reflects analysts' higher revenue growth assumptions, slightly lower long term margin expectations, a modestly higher discount rate, and reduced future P/E multiples following a wave of recent target hikes and rating changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research shows a cluster of bullish analysts lifting price targets and, in some cases, ratings for Rocket Lab, reflecting growing confidence in the company’s execution and long term growth potential.
New Narrative • Apr 29
Defense Backlog And Vertical Integration Will Drive Rocket Lab Toward $85 Despite Neutron Execution Risk
Key Takeaways Rocket Lab is mid-transformation from a small-launch specialist into a vertically integrated space and defense prime, with Space Systems now ~67% of revenue and growing fastest. A $1.85B backlog (+73% YoY) anchored by the $816M SDA Tranche 3 award provides multi-year revenue visibility that the current trailing P/S of ~72x doesn't yet fully reflect.Narrative Update • Apr 16
RKLB: Future Launch Cadence And Backlog Execution Will Shape Balanced Risk Profile
Analysts trimmed the fair value estimate for Rocket Lab by about $3 to reflect more conservative profit margin and revenue growth inputs, even as recent upgrades and higher price targets across the Street point to continued interest in the stock. Analyst Commentary Street research in recent weeks has focused on how Rocket Lab executes on launch cadence, integrates acquisitions, and scales space systems, with several firms adjusting price targets and ratings as expectations reset.Narrative Update • Apr 01
RKLB: National Security Payload Backlog Will Drive Long Term Upside
The analyst price target for Rocket Lab edges higher to $119.85 from $119.10 as analysts factor in slightly stronger revenue growth assumptions, a modestly higher long term profit margin, and a marginally lower discount rate, while keeping future P/E expectations broadly similar. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Rocket Lab reflect a mix of enthusiasm and caution, with bullish analysts highlighting execution in launch and space systems, alongside new growth avenues from acquisitions and government programs, while more neutral and bearish voices focus on timing risks and the market already pricing in key growth drivers.Narrative Update • Mar 18
RKLB: Space Systems Momentum And National Security Payloads Will Drive Long Term Upside
Rocket Lab's updated analyst price target of $119.10, up from $120.00, reflects a recalibration that factors in higher modeled revenue growth, a slightly lower profit margin, and recent analyst enthusiasm around space systems momentum, a growing launch cadence, and the Geost acquisition as a new payload offering for U.S. National Security Missions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research shows a cluster of bullish analysts lifting their price targets on Rocket Lab after the latest quarterly update and the Geost acquisition.Narrative Update • Mar 04
RKLB: Future Launch Cadence And Backlog Strength Will Offset Testing Setbacks
Narrative Update Our analyst price target for Rocket Lab moves higher to $89.88 from $83.96, reflecting Street research that points to improved margin expectations, a lower assumed future P/E multiple, and supportive commentary around launch execution, space systems backlog, and new payload opportunities such as the Geost acquisition and Golden Domes work. Analyst Commentary Street research around Rocket Lab has tilted more positive overall, with several bullish analysts lifting their price targets and a smaller group of cautious voices flagging execution and growth expectations as areas to watch.
New Narrative • Mar 04
Rocket Lab: A Growth Story Trading on the Future of Space Economy
Rocket Lab represents a company in transition. It is no longer simply a small-launch provider, yet it has not fully matured into a profitable aerospace contractor.New Narrative • Mar 02
Rocket Lab - Stock Narrative
Rocket Lab today is a niche company accelerating through development in the aerospace industry, financially stronger than its early stage reputation suggests, but still very much in an early, speculative phase, yet to see any profits. Based in the United States, they provide international launch services and space systems solutions, in the early phase of development and scaling with cutting edge technologies such as the Neutron rocket on the horizon..New Narrative • Feb 21
Rocket Lab (RKLB): A Rising Challenger in the Space Economy
Rocket Lab has rapidly evolved from a niche small-satellite launch provider into one of the most compelling end-to-end space companies in the market. With ambitions that stretch far beyond launching rockets, the company is positioning itself as a serious long-term competitor in the rapidly expanding space economy.Narrative Update • Feb 18
RKLB: Future Launch Cadence Will Offset Neutron Testing Setbacks
Analysts recently lifted their Rocket Lab fair value estimate from $68.75 to $83.96, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, discount rates and long term P/E multiples following a mix of price target changes, rating moves and launch timing commentary across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research paints a mixed picture around Rocket Lab, with several bullish voices adjusting price targets upward while others question how much upside is already reflected in the shares.Narrative Update • Feb 04
RKLB: Launch Execution And Space Systems Mix Will Drive Long-Term Upside
Analysts have nudged their Rocket Lab price targets higher by about $20 to $60, citing a mix of higher targets from BofA, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and Stifel, partially offset by a KeyBanc downgrade that argues much of the growth story is already well known. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Rocket Lab reflects a split view, with bullish analysts lifting targets and highlighting execution on both launch and space systems, while others flag timeline and valuation risks.Narrative Update • Jan 21
RKLB: Space Industry Consolidation And Margin Gains Will Drive Long-Term Upside
Rocket Lab's analyst price target has been raised from US$85 to US$120, as analysts point to a very large implied future P/E multiple, improved profit margin assumptions to 15.82% and continued interest in the company as a potential winner in expected space industry consolidation. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Rocket Lab has been active, with a cluster of target price revisions and rating changes reflecting how divided opinion remains on execution risk, valuation and the pace of commercialization across launch and space systems.Narrative Update • Jan 06
RKLB: Extended Neutron Spending Will Constrain Future Cash Generation Despite Strong Launch Activity
Narrative Update: Rocket Lab Analyst View The updated analyst price target for Rocket Lab moves to about $68.75 from about $65.67. This reflects a blend of higher Street targets tied to consolidation potential in the space sector, robust Electron launch demand, and ongoing contributions from the Space Systems business, partially balanced by program spending tied to the revised Neutron launch schedule.Shareholder Returns
| RKLB | US Aerospace & Defense | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | -11.6% | -5.9% | -1.2% |
| 1Y | 53.7% | 20.5% | 18.3% |
Return vs Industry: RKLB exceeded the US Aerospace & Defense industry which returned 20.5% over the past year.
Return vs Market: RKLB exceeded the US Market which returned 18.3% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| RKLB volatility | |
|---|---|
| RKLB Average Weekly Movement | 13.2% |
| Aerospace & Defense Industry Average Movement | 9.9% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.2% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.4% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.1% |
Stable Share Price: RKLB's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: RKLB's weekly volatility (13%) has been stable over the past year, but is still higher than 75% of US stocks.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2006 | 2,600 | Peter Beck | rocketlabcorp.com |
Rocket Lab Corporation, a space company, provides launch services and space systems solutions in the United States, Canada, Japan, and internationally. The company operates through launch services and space systems segments. The company provides launch services, spacecraft design services, spacecraft components, spacecraft manufacturing, optical systems, and other spacecraft and on-orbit management solutions and constellation management services, as well as designs and manufactures small and medium-class rockets and develops flight and ground software.
Rocket Lab Corporation Fundamentals Summary
| RKLB fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$43.43b |
| Earnings (TTM) | -US$165.46m |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$769.15m |
56.5x
P/S Ratio-262.5x
P/E RatioIs RKLB overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| RKLB income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$769.15m |
| Cost of Revenue | US$482.53m |
| Gross Profit | US$286.62m |
| Other Expenses | US$452.07m |
| Earnings | -US$165.46m |
Last Reported Earnings
Jun 30, 2026
Next Earnings Date
n/a
| Earnings per share (EPS) | -0.28 |
| Gross Margin | 37.26% |
| Net Profit Margin | -21.51% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 0.4% |
How did RKLB perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/08/24 03:36 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/08/21 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/06/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Rocket Lab Corporation is covered by 29 analysts. 18 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Peter Arment | Baird |
| Ronald Epstein | BofA Global Research |
| Andre Madrid | BTIG |