NVR Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

NVR's revenue and earnings are forecast to decline at 3.1% and 11.2% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to decline by 1.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 37.9% in 3 years.

Key information

-11.2%

Earnings growth rate

-1.2%

EPS growth rate

Consumer Durables earnings growth4.0%
Revenue growth rate-3.1%
Future return on equity37.9%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated25 Apr 2025

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

NVR: Valuation Trading At A Premium Despite Macro Headwinds

Apr 24

Should You Investigate NVR, Inc. (NYSE:NVR) At US$7,134?

Apr 22
Should You Investigate NVR, Inc. (NYSE:NVR) At US$7,134?

These 4 Measures Indicate That NVR (NYSE:NVR) Is Using Debt Safely

Apr 11
These 4 Measures Indicate That NVR (NYSE:NVR) Is Using Debt Safely

An Intrinsic Calculation For NVR, Inc. (NYSE:NVR) Suggests It's 25% Undervalued

Mar 31
An Intrinsic Calculation For NVR, Inc. (NYSE:NVR) Suggests It's 25% Undervalued

NVR (NYSE:NVR) Ticks All The Boxes When It Comes To Earnings Growth

Mar 09
NVR (NYSE:NVR) Ticks All The Boxes When It Comes To Earnings Growth

NVR, Inc.: A Rare Opportunity To Buy A Wonderful Company

Feb 11

There's No Escaping NVR, Inc.'s (NYSE:NVR) Muted Earnings

Jan 30
There's No Escaping NVR, Inc.'s (NYSE:NVR) Muted Earnings

A Look Into NVR's (NYSE:NVR) Impressive Returns On Capital

Jan 07
A Look Into NVR's (NYSE:NVR) Impressive Returns On Capital

These 4 Measures Indicate That NVR (NYSE:NVR) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

Dec 26
These 4 Measures Indicate That NVR (NYSE:NVR) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

Is It Time To Consider Buying NVR, Inc. (NYSE:NVR)?

Dec 14
Is It Time To Consider Buying NVR, Inc. (NYSE:NVR)?

NVR, Inc.: Potentially Topping Out

Dec 04

A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of NVR, Inc. (NYSE:NVR)

Dec 02
A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of NVR, Inc. (NYSE:NVR)

NVR (NYSE:NVR) Knows How To Allocate Capital

Sep 27
NVR (NYSE:NVR) Knows How To Allocate Capital

High But Declining Rates Set NVR Up For Success

Sep 24

Is NVR (NYSE:NVR) A Risky Investment?

Sep 15
Is NVR (NYSE:NVR) A Risky Investment?

NVR: An Awesome Compounder That's Run Up Too Far Too Fast

Sep 04

Risks To Shareholder Returns Are Elevated At These Prices For NVR, Inc. (NYSE:NVR)

Sep 03
Risks To Shareholder Returns Are Elevated At These Prices For NVR, Inc. (NYSE:NVR)

What Is NVR, Inc.'s (NYSE:NVR) Share Price Doing?

Aug 22
What Is NVR, Inc.'s (NYSE:NVR) Share Price Doing?

Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of NVR, Inc. (NYSE:NVR)

Jul 23
Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of NVR, Inc. (NYSE:NVR)

Shareholders Are Optimistic That NVR (NYSE:NVR) Will Multiply In Value

Jun 28
Shareholders Are Optimistic That NVR (NYSE:NVR) Will Multiply In Value

NVR Continues To Capitalize On Housing Shortage And High Mortgage Rates

Jun 21

Here's Why NVR (NYSE:NVR) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Jun 16
Here's Why NVR (NYSE:NVR) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

At US$7,458, Is It Time To Put NVR, Inc. (NYSE:NVR) On Your Watch List?

May 23
At US$7,458, Is It Time To Put NVR, Inc. (NYSE:NVR) On Your Watch List?

NVR, Inc. (NYSE:NVR) Looks Inexpensive But Perhaps Not Attractive Enough

May 08
NVR, Inc. (NYSE:NVR) Looks Inexpensive But Perhaps Not Attractive Enough

Revisiting NVR: Still An Attractive Investment

Jan 11

NVR: A Deep Dive Into This Phenomenal Homebuilder

Nov 23

NVR: Controlled Risk With Potential Upside

Oct 03

NVR: Still Undervalued Despite The Surge This Year

Aug 31

Right Tail Capital - NVR Corp:  Fantastic Returns On Incremental Capital

Jul 26

NVR: Lots Of Cash But No Margin Of Safety

Jul 02

NVR, Inc.: Recession Fears Loom Over This Exceptional Homebuilder

Jun 14

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:NVR - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/202710,692N/AN/AN/A1
12/31/20269,7621,2971,137N/A6
12/31/20259,8611,2841,214N/A5
3/31/202510,7431,587N/AN/AN/A
12/31/202410,6871,6821,3451,374N/A
9/30/202410,2811,6351,2031,233N/A
6/30/202410,1241,6381,5041,533N/A
3/31/20249,8471,6421,2981,329N/A
12/31/20239,6831,5921,4731,498N/A
9/30/20239,9421,6361,7941,819N/A
6/30/202310,1191,6151,7461,767N/A
3/31/202310,4081,6441,8591,876N/A
12/31/202210,5751,7261,8521,870N/A
9/30/202210,0721,6051,2951,313N/A
6/30/20229,6811,5261,1491,169N/A
3/31/20229,3031,4141,2051,223N/A
12/31/20218,9661,2371,2251,242N/A
9/30/20219,0861,2071,3121,328N/A
6/30/20218,6801,1321,0611,076N/A
3/31/20218,0189741,1691,185N/A
12/31/20207,563901909925N/A
9/30/20207,209852918936N/A
6/30/20207,136820914935N/A
3/31/20207,320866686707N/A
12/31/20197,426879844867N/A
9/30/20197,428855719741N/A
6/30/20197,366827835856N/A
3/31/20197,349820851873N/A
12/31/20187,187797N/A723N/A
9/30/20187,006690N/A727N/A
6/30/20186,819656N/A562N/A
3/31/20186,574601N/A540N/A
12/31/20176,320538N/A570N/A
9/30/20176,255564N/A631N/A
6/30/20176,123519N/A564N/A
3/31/20175,966463N/A546N/A
12/31/20165,833425N/A393N/A
9/30/20165,635408N/A290N/A
6/30/20165,500407N/A256N/A
3/31/20165,355409N/A165N/A
12/31/20155,168383N/A227N/A
9/30/20154,941348N/A242N/A
6/30/20154,741322N/A161N/A
3/31/20154,598297N/A199N/A
12/31/20144,452282N/A185N/A
9/30/20144,367280N/A140N/A
6/30/20144,353273N/A344N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: NVR's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-11.2% per year).

Earnings vs Market: NVR's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-11.2% per year).

High Growth Earnings: NVR's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: NVR's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-3.1% per year).

High Growth Revenue: NVR's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-3.1% per year).


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: NVR's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (37.9%)


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/04/25 21:42
End of Day Share Price 2025/04/25 00:00
Earnings2025/03/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

NVR, Inc. is covered by 26 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Rafe JadrosichBofA Global Research
Carl ReichardtBTIG
Megan Talbott McGrathBuckingham Research Group Inc.