Serco Group plc

LSE:SRP Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£1.6b

Serco Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Serco Group is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 32.4% and 3.8% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 34.3% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 15.7% in 3 years.

Key information

32.4%

Earnings growth rate

34.3%

EPS growth rate

Commercial Services earnings growth20.2%
Revenue growth rate3.8%
Future return on equity15.7%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated12 Mar 2025

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

There's No Escaping Serco Group plc's (LON:SRP) Muted Earnings

Jun 10
There's No Escaping Serco Group plc's (LON:SRP) Muted Earnings

Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of Serco Group plc (LON:SRP)

May 22
Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of Serco Group plc (LON:SRP)

With EPS Growth And More, Serco Group (LON:SRP) Makes An Interesting Case

Feb 23
With EPS Growth And More, Serco Group (LON:SRP) Makes An Interesting Case

Is Serco Group plc (LON:SRP) Worth UK£1.6 Based On Its Intrinsic Value?

Dec 13
Is Serco Group plc (LON:SRP) Worth UK£1.6 Based On Its Intrinsic Value?

Here's Why Serco Group (LON:SRP) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Nov 10
Here's Why Serco Group (LON:SRP) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Serco Group's (LON:SRP) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year

Sep 04
Serco Group's (LON:SRP) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year

Serco Group (LON:SRP) Is Increasing Its Dividend To £0.0114

Aug 20
Serco Group (LON:SRP) Is Increasing Its Dividend To £0.0114

Serco Group (LON:SRP) Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last Year

Aug 06
Serco Group (LON:SRP) Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last Year

These 4 Measures Indicate That Serco Group (LON:SRP) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

Mar 21
These 4 Measures Indicate That Serco Group (LON:SRP) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

Serco Group (LON:SRP) Has Announced That It Will Be Increasing Its Dividend To £0.0192

Mar 03
Serco Group (LON:SRP) Has Announced That It Will Be Increasing Its Dividend To £0.0192

Is There An Opportunity With Serco Group plc's (LON:SRP) 24% Undervaluation?

Jan 30
Is There An Opportunity With Serco Group plc's (LON:SRP) 24% Undervaluation?

Calculating The Fair Value Of Serco Group plc (LON:SRP)

Oct 18
Calculating The Fair Value Of Serco Group plc (LON:SRP)

Serco Group's (LON:SRP) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

Sep 02
Serco Group's (LON:SRP) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

Is Serco Group (LON:SRP) A Risky Investment?

Aug 27
Is Serco Group (LON:SRP) A Risky Investment?

Are Serco Group plc (LON:SRP) Investors Paying Above The Intrinsic Value?

Jun 29
Are Serco Group plc (LON:SRP) Investors Paying Above The Intrinsic Value?

Does Serco Group (LON:SRP) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

May 27
Does Serco Group (LON:SRP) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Serco Group (LON:SRP) Has Announced That It Will Be Increasing Its Dividend To UK£0.016

Apr 28
Serco Group (LON:SRP) Has Announced That It Will Be Increasing Its Dividend To UK£0.016

Serco Group's (LON:SRP) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

Mar 23
Serco Group's (LON:SRP) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

Serco Group's (LON:SRP) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year

Mar 02
Serco Group's (LON:SRP) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year

Here's Why I Think Serco Group (LON:SRP) Is An Interesting Stock

Nov 16
Here's Why I Think Serco Group (LON:SRP) Is An Interesting Stock

Is Serco Group plc (LON:SRP) Trading At A 33% Discount?

Aug 27
Is Serco Group plc (LON:SRP) Trading At A 33% Discount?

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

LSE:SRP - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (GBP Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20275,3591671653856
12/31/20265,1351591573327
12/31/20254,9171441283067
12/31/20244,78744385419N/A
9/30/20244,77492363396N/A
6/30/20244,761139341373N/A
3/31/20244,817171356383N/A
12/31/20234,874202370393N/A
9/30/20234,851207351373N/A
6/30/20234,828212333352N/A
3/31/20234,681184320340N/A
12/31/20224,534155308327N/A
9/30/20224,485158299321N/A
6/30/20224,436160290315N/A
3/31/20224,430232304333N/A
12/31/20214,425304318350N/A
9/30/20214,327301305344N/A
6/30/20214,230299293337N/A
3/31/20214,057216256303N/A
12/31/20203,885134218269N/A
9/30/20203,740128209251N/A
6/30/20203,595123201234N/A
3/31/20203,42286140168N/A
12/31/20193,2485079103N/A
9/30/20193,097515683N/A
6/30/20192,946513463N/A
3/31/20192,89159133N/A
12/31/20182,83767-323N/A
9/30/20182,82346N/A-11N/A
6/30/20182,81026N/A-25N/A
3/31/20182,8809N/A-23N/A
12/31/20172,951-8N/A-20N/A
9/30/20172,988-33N/A-35N/A
6/30/20173,025-57N/A-49N/A
3/31/20173,018-20N/A-56N/A
12/31/20163,01117N/A-62N/A
9/30/20163,0345N/A-24N/A
6/30/20163,058-7N/A14N/A
3/31/20163,117-47N/A-3N/A
12/31/20153,177-86N/A-19N/A
6/30/20153,182-1,024N/A-78N/A
3/31/20153,389-1,007N/A-8N/A
12/31/20143,596-990N/A63N/A
9/30/20144,080-654N/A53N/A
6/30/20144,19723N/A42N/A
3/31/20144,24161N/A25N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: SRP's forecast earnings growth (32.4% per year) is above the savings rate (2.3%).

Earnings vs Market: SRP's earnings (32.4% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the UK market (14.1% per year).

High Growth Earnings: SRP's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: SRP's revenue (3.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the UK market (4.2% per year).

High Growth Revenue: SRP's revenue (3.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: SRP's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (15.7%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/03/28 03:20
End of Day Share Price 2025/03/28 00:00
Earnings2024/12/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Serco Group plc is covered by 37 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Alejandro AcostaAlezor Research
Paul Daniel SullivanBarclays
James RosenthalBarclays