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Guzman y Gomez LimitedASX:GYG Stock Report

Market Cap AU$2.7b
Share Price
AU$25.52
My Fair Value
AU$28
7.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
1Y-28.1%
7D-11.9%
Portfolio Value
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Guzman y Gomez Limited

ASX:GYG Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$2.7b

Guzman y Gomez (GYG) Stock Overview

Operates and manages quick service restaurants in Australia, Singapore, Japan, and the United States. More details

GYG fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation0/6
Future Growth4/6
Past Performance2/6
Financial Health6/6
Dividends0/6

Rewards

Earnings are forecast to grow 33.2% per year

Became profitable this year

Risk Analysis

High level of non-cash earnings


GYG Community Fair Values

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Guzman y Gomez

Expanding Fast Casual Networks Will Capture Australia And US Markets

Key Takeaways Rapid network and digital expansion, along with wellness-focused menu innovations, position GYG for sustained revenue, market share, and margin growth. Success in international markets, especially the U.S., could drive substantial long-term value and enhance global brand presence.
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AU$27.62
FV
7.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
19.55%
Revenue growth p.a.
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Guzman y Gomez

Digital Ordering And Urbanization Will Redefine Global Fast Casual Dining

Key Takeaways Rapid expansion, operational innovations, and premium positioning set the stage for accelerating growth, outpacing analyst expectations for restaurant openings and profit margins. Strong digital ecosystem and international growth potential provide significant optionality and long-term earnings upside, with brand loyalty and pricing power outcompeting legacy brands.
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AU$36.00
FV
29.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
22.28%
Revenue growth p.a.
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Guzman y Gomez Limited Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Guzman y Gomez
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceAU$25.52
52 Week HighAU$45.99
52 Week LowAU$22.00
Beta0
1 Month Change-5.24%
3 Month Change-16.03%
1 Year Change-28.07%
3 Year Changen/a
5 Year Changen/a
Change since IPO-14.93%

Recent News & Updates

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International Expansion And Digital Ordering Will Drive Fast Casual Trends

Aggressive expansion and digital innovation are fueling higher sales growth, margin improvement, and stronger operating leverage in the domestic fast-casual market.

Recent updates

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International Expansion And Digital Ordering Will Drive Fast Casual Trends

Aggressive expansion and digital innovation are fueling higher sales growth, margin improvement, and stronger operating leverage in the domestic fast-casual market.

Shareholder Returns

GYGAU HospitalityAU Market
7D-11.9%1.0%0.6%
1Y-28.1%13.7%10.9%

Return vs Industry: GYG underperformed the Australian Hospitality industry which returned 13.7% over the past year.

Return vs Market: GYG underperformed the Australian Market which returned 10.9% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is GYG's price volatile compared to industry and market?
GYG volatility
GYG Average Weekly Movement6.7%
Hospitality Industry Average Movement6.0%
Market Average Movement8.8%
10% most volatile stocks in AU Market18.5%
10% least volatile stocks in AU Market3.4%

Stable Share Price: GYG has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the Australian market.

Volatility Over Time: GYG's weekly volatility (7%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
200513,000Steven Markswww.guzmanygomez.com.au

Guzman y Gomez Limited operates and manages quick service restaurants in Australia, Singapore, Japan, and the United States. Its restaurants offer Mexican-inspired food through a chain of quick service restaurants, as well as drive thru, delivery, digital channels, strip, and drive thru formats. The company also manages a franchise network of quick service restaurants.

Guzman y Gomez Limited Fundamentals Summary

How do Guzman y Gomez's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
GYG fundamental statistics
Market capAU$2.67b
Earnings (TTM)AU$14.48m
Revenue (TTM)AU$465.04m
179.2x
P/E Ratio
5.6x
P/S Ratio

Is GYG overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
GYG income statement (TTM)
RevenueAU$465.04m
Cost of RevenueAU$298.60m
Gross ProfitAU$166.43m
Other ExpensesAU$151.96m
EarningsAU$14.48m

Last Reported Earnings

Jun 30, 2025

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)0.14
Gross Margin35.79%
Net Profit Margin3.11%
Debt/Equity Ratio0%

How did GYG perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

0.5%
Current Dividend Yield
88%
Payout Ratio

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/08/28 15:37
End of Day Share Price 2025/08/28 00:00
Earnings2025/06/30
Annual Earnings2025/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Guzman y Gomez Limited is covered by 12 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Thomas KierathBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Sean XuCLSA
Elijah MayrGoldman Sachs