United Parcel Service, Inc.

NYSE:UPS Stock Report

Market Cap: US$81.7b

United Parcel Service Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

United Parcel Service is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 7.2% and 1.6% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 8.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 43.5% in 3 years.

Key information

7.2%

Earnings growth rate

8.2%

EPS growth rate

Logistics earnings growth9.7%
Revenue growth rate1.6%
Future return on equity43.5%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated01 May 2025

Recent future growth updates

United Parcel Service, Inc. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

Jul 25
United Parcel Service, Inc. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

Recent updates

Here's Why Shareholders Should Examine United Parcel Service, Inc.'s (NYSE:UPS) CEO Compensation Package More Closely

May 01
Here's Why Shareholders Should Examine United Parcel Service, Inc.'s (NYSE:UPS) CEO Compensation Package More Closely

UPS Stock Has Upside Despite Recession Fears

May 01

Sentiment Still Eluding United Parcel Service, Inc. (NYSE:UPS)

Apr 24
Sentiment Still Eluding United Parcel Service, Inc. (NYSE:UPS)

UPS: Recession Risk Might Already Be Reflected In The Stock Price

Apr 22
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Network Reconfiguration And Healthcare Expansion Will Drive Efficiency

Apr 08 UPS's efficiency initiatives and network reconfiguration are expected to drive significant cost savings, expanding margins and improving earnings.

UPS: The Company Is Being Hit From Multiple Angles

Mar 11

UPS Cuts Amazon Deal: Short-Term Pain For Long-Term Gain

Feb 13

United Parcel Service (NYSE:UPS) Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last Year

Feb 09
United Parcel Service (NYSE:UPS) Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last Year

UPS: One Of The Easiest Shorts In 2025

Feb 06

Wall Street Lunch: GDP Falls Short Of Consensus

Jan 30

UPS Looks To Be Nearing Turnaround Territory

Jan 24

Does United Parcel Service (NYSE:UPS) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Dec 30
Does United Parcel Service (NYSE:UPS) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

UPS: The Whole Package For Value Investors

Dec 24

UPS Is An Excellent Company

Dec 15

An Intrinsic Calculation For United Parcel Service, Inc. (NYSE:UPS) Suggests It's 23% Undervalued

Dec 13
An Intrinsic Calculation For United Parcel Service, Inc. (NYSE:UPS) Suggests It's 23% Undervalued

UPS: How I'm Grabbing More Yield

Nov 15

Investors Can Find Comfort In United Parcel Service's (NYSE:UPS) Earnings Quality

Nov 13
Investors Can Find Comfort In United Parcel Service's (NYSE:UPS) Earnings Quality

UPS Q3 Earnings Preview: Volume Mix And Recent Acquisitions Should Be In Focus

Oct 21

UPS's Huge Free Cash Backs Its Leading Dividend

Oct 15

The Returns At United Parcel Service (NYSE:UPS) Aren't Growing

Oct 11
The Returns At United Parcel Service (NYSE:UPS) Aren't Growing

UPS Has Too Much To Prove To Be A Buy

Oct 05

Recent Struggles Of UPS Stock May Be A Good Opportunity For Income Investors

Sep 27

These 4 Measures Indicate That United Parcel Service (NYSE:UPS) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

Sep 25
These 4 Measures Indicate That United Parcel Service (NYSE:UPS) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

United Parcel Service: I Love The Truck, But I Want A Better Price

Aug 27

United Parcel Service Is A Buy Now

Jul 31

United Parcel Service, Inc. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

Jul 25
United Parcel Service, Inc. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

UPS: A Nearly 5% Yielding A-Rated Strong Buy For This Overvalued Market

Jul 22

United Parcel Service: Good Risk/Reward In The Long Run

Jul 13

An Intrinsic Calculation For United Parcel Service, Inc. (NYSE:UPS) Suggests It's 35% Undervalued

Jul 02
An Intrinsic Calculation For United Parcel Service, Inc. (NYSE:UPS) Suggests It's 35% Undervalued

Here's Why United Parcel Service (NYSE:UPS) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Jun 19
Here's Why United Parcel Service (NYSE:UPS) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

United Parcel Service: Buying Shares While It Is On The 'Operating Table'

Jun 12

United Parcel Service (NYSE:UPS) Has More To Do To Multiply In Value Going Forward

Jun 05
United Parcel Service (NYSE:UPS) Has More To Do To Multiply In Value Going Forward

United Parcel Service Offers Good Long-Term Value

Jun 03

United Parcel Service, Inc. (NYSE:UPS) Not Flying Under The Radar

May 22
United Parcel Service, Inc. (NYSE:UPS) Not Flying Under The Radar

United Parcel Service's (NYSE:UPS) Dividend Will Be $1.63

May 05
United Parcel Service's (NYSE:UPS) Dividend Will Be $1.63

United Parcel Service: I See Persisting Profit Pressure Ahead

Apr 24

UPSwing: Why This Delivery Giant May Be Poised For Takeoff

Mar 28

United Parcel Service: Buy This Undervalued Income Pick Now

Mar 22
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Expanding Healthcare Logistics and Strategic Cost Cuts Set to Boost Revenue and Margins

Feb 28Expansion in healthcare logistics and building a new air hub in Hong Kong highlight a focus on high-margin sectors and international growth.

UPS: Upside Already Priced In, 'Hold' Until Something Changes

Feb 27

UPS: Undervalued Dividend Giant With Upside Potential

Feb 20

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:UPS - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/202791,8847,0835,35711,40215
12/31/202688,6596,6836,37910,52729
12/31/202587,7415,8305,3968,34729
3/31/202590,9105,8565,3749,124N/A
12/31/202491,0705,7826,21310,122N/A
9/30/202490,6865,6664,3589,218N/A
6/30/202489,5025,2544,6479,953N/A
3/31/202489,7395,9265,61311,197N/A
12/31/202390,9586,7085,08010,238N/A
9/30/202393,0748,5565,55911,159N/A
6/30/202396,17410,0136,20411,405N/A
3/31/202398,88510,7817,15111,981N/A
12/31/2022100,33811,5489,33514,104N/A
9/30/2022101,07611,18810,11614,018N/A
6/30/2022100,09910,93310,93414,846N/A
3/31/202298,75710,76011,04814,956N/A
12/31/202197,28712,89010,81315,007N/A
9/30/202194,4126,4508,17412,937N/A
6/30/202192,4666,0787,94912,966N/A
3/31/202189,5015,1707,12712,440N/A
12/31/202084,6281,3435,04710,459N/A
9/30/202080,3004,5846,96612,229N/A
6/30/202077,3804,3774,79510,379N/A
3/31/202074,9694,2943,1138,912N/A
12/31/201974,0944,4402,2598,639N/A
9/30/201973,3744,9992,8538,982N/A
6/30/201972,5004,7573,4239,718N/A
3/31/201971,9084,5574,66110,921N/A
12/31/201871,8614,791N/A12,711N/A
9/30/201870,9885,434N/A6,483N/A
6/30/201869,7175,185N/A6,058N/A
3/31/201868,1885,084N/A5,307N/A
12/31/201766,5854,905N/A1,479N/A
9/30/201764,5413,570N/A5,528N/A
6/30/201763,2963,581N/A4,401N/A
3/31/201761,9983,466N/A4,042N/A
12/31/201661,6103,422N/A6,473N/A
9/30/201660,0295,001N/A6,378N/A
6/30/201659,3384,988N/A7,884N/A
3/31/201658,8044,949N/A7,349N/A
12/31/201558,3634,844N/A7,430N/A
9/30/201558,2043,966N/A7,950N/A
6/30/201558,2573,923N/A8,133N/A
3/31/201558,4303,147N/A6,210N/A
12/31/201458,2323,032N/A5,726N/A
9/30/201457,3133,746N/A6,435N/A
6/30/201456,5443,629N/A5,705N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: UPS's forecast earnings growth (7.2% per year) is above the savings rate (2.8%).

Earnings vs Market: UPS's earnings (7.2% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (13.9% per year).

High Growth Earnings: UPS's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: UPS's revenue (1.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (8.5% per year).

High Growth Revenue: UPS's revenue (1.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: UPS's Return on Equity is forecast to be very high in 3 years time (43.5%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/05/04 20:04
End of Day Share Price 2025/05/02 00:00
Earnings2025/03/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

United Parcel Service, Inc. is covered by 52 analysts. 29 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Will ChienAccountability Research Corporation
John EadeArgus Research Company
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research