Magna International Valuation

Is MG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MG (CA$65.05) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CA$120.22)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MG is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MG?

Key metric: As MG is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MG. This is calculated by dividing MG's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MG's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio12.4x
EarningsUS$1.08b
Market CapUS$13.37b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MG's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average9.4x
LNR Linamar
6.6xn/aCA$3.9b
MRE Martinrea International
7.8x50.2%CA$784.3m
XTC Exco Technologies
10.7xn/aCA$331.8m
CON Continental
12.4x23.4%€12.5b
MG Magna International
12.4x17.4%CA$18.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.4x) compared to the peer average (9.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MG's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the North American Auto Components Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
MG 12.4xIndustry Avg. 18.3xNo. of Companies5PE01020304050+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.4x) compared to the North American Auto Components industry average (18.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MG's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MG PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.4x
Fair PE Ratio8.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MG forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCA$65.05
CA$67.06
+3.1%
22.0%CA$87.28CA$37.21n/a7
Nov ’25CA$58.54
CA$65.94
+12.6%
24.6%CA$87.17CA$33.05n/a7
Oct ’25CA$55.27
CA$63.99
+15.8%
25.0%CA$86.77CA$33.05n/a7
Sep ’25CA$56.64
CA$71.19
+25.7%
13.9%CA$88.39CA$58.77n/a6
Aug ’25CA$59.63
CA$78.47
+31.6%
16.4%CA$97.67CA$61.64n/a6
Jul ’25CA$57.34
CA$80.54
+40.5%
14.7%CA$96.64CA$64.76n/a7
Jun ’25CA$61.66
CA$80.54
+30.6%
14.7%CA$96.64CA$64.76n/a7
May ’25CA$65.55
CA$88.04
+34.3%
9.2%CA$96.72CA$76.48n/a6
Apr ’25CA$72.38
CA$87.98
+21.6%
8.6%CA$95.99CA$77.08n/a6
Mar ’25CA$73.25
CA$87.92
+20.0%
8.8%CA$96.57CA$76.91n/a6
Feb ’25CA$77.03
CA$92.26
+19.8%
9.8%CA$105.18CA$77.33n/a5
Jan ’25CA$78.29
CA$97.40
+24.4%
5.0%CA$105.51CA$91.32n/a5
Dec ’24CA$75.15
CA$97.40
+29.6%
5.0%CA$105.51CA$91.32n/a5
Nov ’24CA$66.86
CA$95.91
+43.4%
7.1%CA$109.05CA$90.46CA$58.545
Oct ’24CA$72.79
CA$96.39
+32.4%
6.7%CA$108.94CA$90.76CA$55.275
Sep ’24CA$80.17
CA$96.12
+19.9%
6.6%CA$108.18CA$90.12CA$56.645
Aug ’24CA$85.03
CA$92.87
+9.2%
12.0%CA$113.87CA$81.19CA$59.635
Jul ’24CA$74.79
CA$89.01
+19.0%
4.6%CA$93.88CA$83.20CA$57.345
Jun ’24CA$65.59
CA$89.01
+35.7%
4.6%CA$93.88CA$83.20CA$61.665
May ’24CA$70.54
CA$87.07
+23.4%
5.6%CA$92.62CA$80.36CA$65.555
Apr ’24CA$72.39
CA$91.06
+25.8%
8.5%CA$103.80CA$82.22CA$72.385
Mar ’24CA$76.28
CA$90.28
+18.4%
9.1%CA$100.82CA$79.86CA$73.255
Feb ’24CA$89.93
CA$100.25
+11.5%
7.6%CA$111.12CA$90.09CA$77.035
Jan ’24CA$76.06
CA$109.66
+44.2%
15.0%CA$138.41CA$90.40CA$78.295
Dec ’23CA$82.73
CA$108.63
+31.3%
15.1%CA$136.74CA$88.75CA$75.155
Nov ’23CA$76.11
CA$105.53
+38.7%
23.5%CA$146.53CA$72.89CA$66.865

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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