We’ve recently updated our valuation analysis.

Exco Technologies Valuation

Is XTC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Analyst Forecast

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for XTC?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

XTC key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.8x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA7.3x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does XTC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for XTC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyPEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.1x
MRE Martinrea International
13.3x46.2%CA$1.0b
LNR Linamar
10.7xn/aCA$4.1b
MG Magna International
19x25.2%CA$24.3b
SSA Spectra Products
13.4xn/aCA$2.6m
XTC Exco Technologies
15.6xn/aCA$295.7m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: XTC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.6x) compared to the peer average (14.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does XTC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the North American Auto Components Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a34.2%
n/an/an/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: XTC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.6x) compared to the North American Auto Components industry average (14.2x)


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is XTC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

XTC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio15.6x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate XTC's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of XTC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: XTC (CA$7.6) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CA$4.14)

Significantly Below Fair Value: XTC is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst XTC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCA$7.60
CA$10.63
+39.8%
15.3%CA$12.25CA$9.00n/a2
Jan ’24CA$7.70
CA$10.63
+38.0%
15.3%CA$12.25CA$9.00n/a2
Dec ’23CA$8.22
CA$10.63
+29.3%
15.3%CA$12.25CA$9.00n/a2
Nov ’23CA$6.92
CA$10.75
+55.3%
16.3%CA$12.50CA$9.00n/a2
Oct ’23CA$7.70
CA$10.75
+39.6%
16.3%CA$12.50CA$9.00n/a2
Sep ’23CA$8.58
CA$10.75
+25.3%
16.3%CA$12.50CA$9.00n/a2
Aug ’23CA$8.74
CA$11.25
+28.7%
20.0%CA$13.50CA$9.00n/a2
Jul ’23CA$7.99
CA$11.25
+40.8%
20.0%CA$13.50CA$9.00n/a2
Jun ’23CA$8.50
CA$11.25
+32.4%
20.0%CA$13.50CA$9.00n/a2
May ’23CA$8.61
CA$11.25
+30.7%
20.0%CA$13.50CA$9.00n/a2
Apr ’23CA$9.11
CA$11.75
+29.0%
14.9%CA$13.50CA$10.00n/a2
Mar ’23CA$9.32
CA$11.75
+26.1%
14.9%CA$13.50CA$10.00n/a2
Feb ’23CA$10.09
CA$13.13
+30.1%
16.2%CA$15.25CA$11.00n/a2
Jan ’23CA$10.31
CA$13.13
+27.3%
16.2%CA$15.25CA$11.00CA$7.702
Dec ’22CA$9.08
CA$13.25
+45.9%
17.0%CA$15.50CA$11.00CA$8.222
Nov ’22CA$9.75
CA$13.25
+35.9%
17.0%CA$15.50CA$11.00CA$6.922
Oct ’22CA$9.90
CA$13.25
+33.8%
17.0%CA$15.50CA$11.00CA$7.702
Sep ’22CA$10.23
CA$13.25
+29.5%
17.0%CA$15.50CA$11.00CA$8.582
Aug ’22CA$10.28
CA$13.50
+31.3%
13.9%CA$15.50CA$11.00CA$8.743
Jul ’22CA$10.42
CA$13.08
+25.6%
13.3%CA$15.25CA$11.00CA$7.993
Jun ’22CA$10.98
CA$13.08
+19.2%
13.3%CA$15.25CA$11.00CA$8.503
May ’22CA$10.73
CA$13.08
+21.9%
13.3%CA$15.25CA$11.00CA$8.613
Apr ’22CA$10.70
CA$12.58
+17.6%
12.6%CA$14.75CA$11.00CA$9.113
Mar ’22CA$10.85
CA$12.58
+16.0%
12.6%CA$14.75CA$11.00CA$9.323
Feb ’22CA$9.57
CA$10.00
+4.5%
14.1%CA$12.00CA$9.00CA$10.093
Jan ’22CA$9.23
CA$10.00
+8.3%
14.1%CA$12.00CA$9.00CA$10.313

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.


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