Meituan Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Meituan is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 26.3% and 13.1% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 28.6% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 18.9% in 3 years.

Key information

26.3%

Earnings growth rate

28.6%

EPS growth rate

Hospitality earnings growth	25.9%
Revenue growth rate	13.1%
Future return on equity	18.9%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	29 Oct 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

SEHK:3690 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (CNY Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	444,564	55,576	64,614	67,919	31
12/31/2025	387,550	44,590	56,488	64,704	44
12/31/2024	334,452	32,836	37,729	42,916	43
6/30/2024	305,690	22,530	35,936	46,644	N/A
3/31/2024	291,403	15,866	31,574	38,453	N/A
12/31/2023	276,745	13,856	33,642	40,522	N/A
9/30/2023	263,178	10,556	29,741	34,192	N/A
6/30/2023	249,330	8,179	27,922	32,373	N/A
3/31/2023	232,304	2,375	25,008	30,739	N/A
12/31/2022	219,955	-6,686	5,680	11,411	N/A
9/30/2022	209,349	-10,942	2,240	8,928	N/A
6/30/2022	195,560	-22,153	-11,195	-4,507	N/A
3/31/2022	188,380	-24,394	-19,870	-10,859	N/A
12/31/2021	179,128	-23,538	-13,022	-4,011	N/A
9/30/2021	168,155	-20,444	-14,337	-961	N/A
6/30/2021	154,508	-4,128	-11,996	6,380	N/A
3/31/2021	135,269	1,439	-6,096	9,084	N/A
12/31/2020	114,795	4,708	-7,349	8,475	N/A
9/30/2020	104,205	8,411	-2,565	6,959	N/A
6/30/2020	96,288	3,425	1,746	6,269	N/A
3/31/2020	94,269	2,092	1,015	3,816	N/A
12/31/2019	96,742	2,239	2,574	5,574	N/A
9/30/2019	88,272	-2,644	N/A	N/A	N/A
6/30/2019	79,940	-87,275	-6,705	-3,816	N/A
3/31/2019	72,511	-95,858	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2018	64,771	-115,477	-11,456	-9,180	N/A
9/30/2018	55,756	-114,213	N/A	N/A	N/A
6/30/2018	46,497	-35,270	-5,769	-4,381	N/A
3/31/2018	38,314	-33,766	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2017	33,928	-18,917	N/A	-310	N/A
12/31/2016	12,988	-10,894	N/A	-1,918	N/A
12/31/2015	4,019	-9,231	N/A	-4,004	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: 3690's forecast earnings growth (26.3% per year) is above the savings rate (2.3%).

Earnings vs Market: 3690's earnings (26.3% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the Hong Kong market (12.4% per year).

High Growth Earnings: 3690's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: 3690's revenue (13.1% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Hong Kong market (7.7% per year).

High Growth Revenue: 3690's revenue (13.1% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: 3690's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (18.9%).

Meituan Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 11%

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 17%

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 16%

Consensus estimates of losses per share improve by 23%

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 11%

Recent updates

Co-Founder recently sold HK$258m worth of stock

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 21%

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16%

Meituan (SEHK:3690) announces an Equity Buyback.

First half 2024 earnings released: EPS: CN¥2.70 (vs CN¥1.30 in 1H 2023)

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 11%

Meituan to Report First Half, 2024 Results on Aug 28, 2024

Independent Non-Executive Director recently sold HK$5.0m worth of stock

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 17%

First quarter 2024 earnings released

Meituan to Report Q1, 2024 Results on Jun 06, 2024

Meituan's (HKG:3690) Strong Earnings Are Of Good Quality

Co-Founder recently sold HK$116m worth of stock

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations

Returns At Meituan (HKG:3690) Are On The Way Up

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16%

Meituan's (HKG:3690) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 69% Above Its Share Price

We Think Meituan (HKG:3690) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 16%

Meituan Appoints Marjorie Mun Tak Yang as Member of the Audit Committee

Meituan to Report Q4, 2023 Results on Mar 22, 2024

What Meituan's (HKG:3690) 26% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You

Pinning Down Meituan's (HKG:3690) P/S Is Difficult Right Now

We Think Meituan (HKG:3690) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease

Meituan's (HKG:3690) Returns On Capital Are Heading Higher

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 19%

Meituan to Report Q3, 2023 Results on Nov 28, 2023

At HK$110, Is It Time To Put Meituan (HKG:3690) On Your Watch List?

Second quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.75 (vs CN¥0.18 loss in 2Q 2022)

Co-Founder recently sold HK$2.8m worth of stock

Meituan (HKG:3690) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

Second quarter 2023 earnings released

Meituan's (HKG:3690) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 35% Above Its Share Price

Meituan to Report First Half, 2023 Results on Aug 24, 2023

Co-Founder recently sold HK$20m worth of stock

Meituan's (HKG:3690) Share Price Could Signal Some Risk

Meituan Approves to Elect Marjorie Mun Tak Yang as an Independent Non-Executive Director

Meituan Announces Executive Changes

What Does Meituan's (HKG:3690) Share Price Indicate?

Now 21% undervalued

Meituan, Annual General Meeting, Jun 30, 2023

The Return Trends At Meituan (HKG:3690) Look Promising

First quarter 2023 earnings released

Meituan (HKG:3690) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

Meituan Launches Food Delivery Brand KeeTa Amid Hong Kong Debut

Meituan to Report Q1, 2023 Results on May 25, 2023

Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of Meituan (HKG:3690)

Now 23% undervalued after recent price drop

Full year 2022 earnings: EPS in line with analyst expectations despite revenue beat

Now 20% undervalued

Is Meituan (HKG:3690) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?

Now 22% undervalued

Co-Founder recently sold HK$164m worth of stock

Co-Founder & Executive Director recently sold HK$93m worth of stock

Is There An Opportunity With Meituan's (HKG:3690) 30% Undervaluation?

What Does Meituan's (HKG:3690) Share Price Indicate?

Third quarter 2022 earnings released

Meituan Announces Resignation of Lau Chi Ping Martin from Board of Directors

Meituan to Report Q3, 2022 Results on Nov 25, 2022

Less than half of directors are independent

Now 22% undervalued after recent price drop

Now 23% undervalued after recent price drop

Is Meituan (HKG:3690) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

Tencent Reportedly Looks to Sell Off More Investments to Pay for Stock Repurchases, Future Growth

Estimating The Fair Value Of Meituan (HKG:3690)

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

Co-Founder recently sold HK$1.2m worth of stock