Ferguson Enterprises Inc.

NYSE:FERG Stock Report

Market Cap: US$34.2b

Ferguson Enterprises Valuation

Is FERG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FERG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
US$255.24
Fair Value
32.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
20
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: FERG ($172.26) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($255.24)

Significantly Below Fair Value: FERG is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FERG?

Key metric: As FERG is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for FERG. This is calculated by dividing FERG's market cap by their current earnings.
What is FERG's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio20.9x
EarningsUS$1.64b
Market CapUS$34.23b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does FERG's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for FERG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average30.2x
FAST Fastenal
40.9x8.7%US$47.1b
URI United Rentals
17x9.1%US$43.3b
GWW W.W. Grainger
26.9x6.8%US$51.3b
WSO Watsco
36.3x11.0%US$17.7b
FERG Ferguson Enterprises
20.9x10.3%US$34.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: FERG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.9x) compared to the peer average (30.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does FERG's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Trade Distributors Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
MWG Multi Ways Holdings
1.5xn/aUS$10.00m
BYU BAIYU Holdings
0.8xn/aUS$8.94m
No more companies available in this PE range
FERG 20.9xIndustry Avg. 20.3xNo. of Companies7PE01020304050+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: FERG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.9x) compared to the US Trade Distributors industry average (20.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FERG's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FERG PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio20.9x
Fair PE Ratio25x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: FERG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst FERG forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$172.26
US$193.71
+12.4%
10.3%US$258.00US$168.00n/a20
Apr ’26US$160.75
US$193.05
+20.1%
10.3%US$258.00US$168.00n/a21
Mar ’26US$177.50
US$215.16
+21.2%
10.8%US$258.00US$168.00n/a19
Feb ’26US$181.12
US$216.34
+19.4%
10.9%US$258.00US$168.00n/a18
Jan ’26US$173.57
US$222.71
+28.3%
9.2%US$258.00US$168.00n/a17
Dec ’25US$215.93
US$225.53
+4.4%
9.4%US$258.00US$167.00n/a17
Nov ’25US$197.98
US$225.12
+13.7%
9.4%US$258.00US$167.00n/a17
Oct ’25US$199.51
US$223.00
+11.8%
9.8%US$258.00US$167.00n/a16
Sep ’25US$205.71
US$222.59
+8.2%
12.2%US$263.00US$156.00n/a17
Aug ’25US$216.33
US$223.82
+3.5%
12.3%US$263.00US$156.00n/a16
Jul ’25US$190.01
US$216.70
+14.0%
17.0%US$263.00US$106.50n/a18
Jun ’25US$205.74
US$216.20
+5.1%
17.8%US$265.00US$106.50n/a18
May ’25US$211.43
US$214.48
+1.4%
17.2%US$263.00US$106.50US$169.7018
Apr ’25US$217.28
US$214.48
-1.3%
17.2%US$263.00US$106.50US$160.7518
Mar ’25US$214.43
US$190.67
-11.1%
16.8%US$235.00US$106.00US$177.5016
Feb ’25US$191.68
US$188.60
-1.6%
16.1%US$225.00US$106.00US$181.1216
Jan ’25US$193.07
US$181.39
-6.0%
14.5%US$222.00US$106.00US$173.5717
Dec ’24US$172.41
US$172.56
+0.08%
12.8%US$193.00US$106.00US$215.9317
Nov ’24US$153.59
US$172.09
+12.0%
13.2%US$193.00US$106.00US$197.9816
Oct ’24US$164.47
US$171.23
+4.1%
12.6%US$193.00US$106.00US$199.5115
Sep ’24US$162.23
US$164.71
+1.5%
13.1%US$188.00US$106.00US$205.7114
Aug ’24US$162.21
US$163.00
+0.5%
13.5%US$188.00US$106.00US$216.3313
Jul ’24US$157.31
US$162.23
+3.1%
13.2%US$188.00US$106.00US$190.0113
Jun ’24US$145.59
US$156.64
+7.6%
14.5%US$194.00US$105.00US$205.7411
May ’24US$142.03
US$150.02
+5.6%
14.2%US$194.00US$105.00US$211.4310
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 20 Analysts
US$193.71
Fair Value
11.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
20
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/05/04 01:42
End of Day Share Price 2025/05/02 00:00
Earnings2025/01/31
Annual Earnings2024/07/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Ferguson Enterprises Inc. is covered by 58 analysts. 23 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
David MantheyBaird
Paul Daniel SullivanBarclays
Matthew BouleyBarclays