Beacon Roofing Supply, Inc.

NasdaqGS:BECN Stock Report

Market Cap: US$6.7b

Beacon Roofing Supply Valuation

Is BECN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BECN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BECN ($112.18) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($143.05)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BECN is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BECN?

Key metric: As BECN is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for BECN. This is calculated by dividing BECN's market cap by their current earnings.
What is BECN's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio18.6x
EarningsUS$373.40m
Market CapUS$6.72b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BECN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BECN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average24.6x
SITE SiteOne Landscape Supply
47.3x19.6%US$6.5b
AL Air Lease
11.5x12.6%US$5.5b
HRI Herc Holdings
18.2x15.0%US$6.2b
GATX GATX
21.4x7.1%US$5.6b
BECN Beacon Roofing Supply
18.6x13.0%US$6.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BECN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.6x) compared to the peer average (24.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BECN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Trade Distributors Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
BYU BAIYU Holdings
0.8xn/aUS$8.94m
No more companies available in this PE range
BECN 18.6xIndustry Avg. 17.2xNo. of Companies7PE01020304050+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BECN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.6x) compared to the US Trade Distributors industry average (17.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BECN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BECN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio18.6x
Fair PE Ratio22.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: BECN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BECN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$112.18
US$115.68
+3.1%
11.4%US$140.00US$95.00n/a12
Nov ’25US$93.34
US$114.01
+22.1%
10.5%US$140.00US$95.00n/a11
Oct ’25US$84.85
US$111.93
+31.9%
11.1%US$140.00US$95.00n/a12
Sep ’25US$90.60
US$111.93
+23.5%
11.1%US$140.00US$95.00n/a12
Aug ’25US$98.27
US$116.09
+18.1%
9.6%US$140.00US$95.00n/a12
Jul ’25US$86.84
US$114.55
+31.9%
9.6%US$140.00US$95.00n/a13
Jun ’25US$97.06
US$114.50
+18.0%
10.0%US$140.00US$95.00n/a12
May ’25US$96.95
US$108.92
+12.3%
11.5%US$135.00US$90.00n/a12
Apr ’25US$100.23
US$105.58
+5.3%
11.3%US$129.00US$90.00n/a12
Mar ’25US$85.89
US$104.33
+21.5%
10.3%US$122.00US$90.00n/a12
Feb ’25US$83.73
US$100.75
+20.3%
10.3%US$122.00US$85.00n/a12
Jan ’25US$87.02
US$99.17
+14.0%
11.2%US$119.00US$80.00n/a12
Dec ’24US$82.90
US$96.33
+16.2%
11.0%US$115.00US$80.00n/a12
Nov ’24US$72.97
US$96.00
+31.6%
8.1%US$108.00US$80.00US$93.3412
Oct ’24US$77.17
US$96.92
+25.6%
6.4%US$108.00US$86.00US$84.8512
Sep ’24US$80.77
US$96.92
+20.0%
6.4%US$108.00US$86.00US$90.6012
Aug ’24US$86.93
US$91.00
+4.7%
9.7%US$105.00US$75.00US$98.2712
Jul ’24US$82.98
US$78.33
-5.6%
14.3%US$100.00US$61.00US$86.8412
Jun ’24US$64.64
US$75.67
+17.1%
14.3%US$100.00US$61.00US$97.0612
May ’24US$60.70
US$75.33
+24.1%
15.1%US$98.00US$60.00US$96.9512
Apr ’24US$58.85
US$75.58
+28.4%
14.8%US$98.00US$60.00US$100.2312
Mar ’24US$65.00
US$75.58
+16.3%
14.8%US$98.00US$60.00US$85.8912
Feb ’24US$58.81
US$69.23
+17.7%
16.4%US$91.00US$52.00US$83.7313
Jan ’24US$52.79
US$69.50
+31.7%
16.4%US$91.00US$54.00US$87.0212
Dec ’23US$59.00
US$68.92
+16.8%
14.2%US$87.00US$54.00US$82.9012
Nov ’23US$56.56
US$68.25
+20.7%
12.1%US$80.00US$55.00US$72.9712

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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