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Playa Hotels & Resorts Future Growth
Future criteria checks 3/6
Playa Hotels & Resorts is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 23.9% and 3.3% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 31.4% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 17.4% in 3 years.
Key information
23.9%
Earnings growth rate
31.40%
EPS growth rate
| Hospitality earnings growth | 18.4% |
| Revenue growth rate | 3.3% |
| Future return on equity | 17.39% |
| Analyst coverage | Low |
| Last updated | 16 Jun 2025 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • Feb 12
Hyatt's Playa Hotels Acquisition Is A Reasonable Deal For Both Parties
Summary On Monday, Hyatt Hotels announced a deal to acquire the remainder of Playa Hotels stock that it didn't already own. I believe this is a fair deal for both companies. Playa shareholders get to exit at a record-high stock price, while Hyatt gains valuable properties and potential for additional value creation through asset recycling. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Feb 05
Calculating The Fair Value Of Playa Hotels & Resorts N.V. (NASDAQ:PLYA)
Key Insights Playa Hotels & Resorts' estimated fair value is US$15.49 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Playa...Analysis Article • Jan 08
Does Playa Hotels & Resorts (NASDAQ:PLYA) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...Analysis Article • Dec 24
Optimistic Investors Push Playa Hotels & Resorts N.V. (NASDAQ:PLYA) Shares Up 27% But Growth Is Lacking
Despite an already strong run, Playa Hotels & Resorts N.V. ( NASDAQ:PLYA ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of...Analysis Article • Dec 21
Is Playa Hotels & Resorts N.V. (NASDAQ:PLYA) Potentially Undervalued?
While Playa Hotels & Resorts N.V. ( NASDAQ:PLYA ) might not have the largest market cap around , it led the NASDAQGS...Analysis Article • Nov 08
We Ran A Stock Scan For Earnings Growth And Playa Hotels & Resorts (NASDAQ:PLYA) Passed With Ease
Investors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks...
New Narrative • Sep 16
Calculated Expansions And Efficient Cost Management Propel Hospitality Leader To New Heights
Expansion in the Pacific and renovations like at Ziva Cancun Resort aim to enhance guest experiences, likely boosting revenue and EBITDA.Analysis Article • Aug 03
Playa Hotels & Resorts (NASDAQ:PLYA) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's...Seeking Alpha • May 30
Playa Hotels & Resorts: Occupancy Growth Across Dominican Republic Quite Encouraging
Summary Playa Hotels & Resorts has seen impressive growth in occupancy and RevPAR across the Dominican Republic segment of the portfolio. Revenue growth across the Yucatan Peninsula has also been encouraging. I take a bullish view on Playa Hotels & Resorts. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • May 10
Investors Aren't Entirely Convinced By Playa Hotels & Resorts N.V.'s (NASDAQ:PLYA) Earnings
With a median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of close to 17x in the United States, you could be forgiven for...Analysis Article • Feb 27
Is Playa Hotels & Resorts N.V. (NASDAQ:PLYA) Potentially Undervalued?
Playa Hotels & Resorts N.V. ( NASDAQ:PLYA ), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a significant share price rise...Analysis Article • Jan 04
Playa Hotels & Resorts (NASDAQ:PLYA) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Analysis Article • Nov 04
Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Playa Hotels & Resorts N.V. (NASDAQ:PLYA)?
While Playa Hotels & Resorts N.V. ( NASDAQ:PLYA ) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it saw...Analysis Article • Sep 21
Here's Why Playa Hotels & Resorts (NASDAQ:PLYA) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...Analysis Article • Aug 04
Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Playa Hotels & Resorts N.V. (NASDAQ:PLYA)
Key Insights The projected fair value for Playa Hotels & Resorts is US$7.69 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity...Analysis Article • Jun 03
Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine Playa Hotels & Resorts N.V. (NASDAQ:PLYA)?
While Playa Hotels & Resorts N.V. ( NASDAQ:PLYA ) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it saw a...Analysis Article • May 05
Is Playa Hotels & Resorts (NASDAQ:PLYA) Using Too Much Debt?
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...Analysis Article • Apr 14
Calculating The Fair Value Of Playa Hotels & Resorts N.V. (NASDAQ:PLYA)
Key Insights The projected fair value for Playa Hotels & Resorts is US$8.81 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity...Analysis Article • Mar 01
Analysts Just Made A Decent Upgrade To Their Playa Hotels & Resorts N.V. (NASDAQ:PLYA) Forecasts
Playa Hotels & Resorts N.V. ( NASDAQ:PLYA ) shareholders will have a reason to smile today, with the analysts making...Analysis Article • Feb 17
At US$7.83, Is Playa Hotels & Resorts N.V. (NASDAQ:PLYA) Worth Looking At Closely?
Playa Hotels & Resorts N.V. ( NASDAQ:PLYA ), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a significant share price rise...Analysis Article • Jan 25
Playa Hotels & Resorts (NASDAQ:PLYA) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...Analysis Article • Jan 01
Estimating The Fair Value Of Playa Hotels & Resorts N.V. (NASDAQ:PLYA)
Does the January share price for Playa Hotels & Resorts N.V. ( NASDAQ:PLYA ) reflect what it's really worth? Today, we...Analysis Article • Sep 26
We Think Playa Hotels & Resorts (NASDAQ:PLYA) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Seeking Alpha • Sep 20
Playa Hotels & resorts re-authorize $100M share repurchase program
Playa Hotels & Resorts (NASDAQ:PLYA) Board has re-authorized the repurchase of up to $100M of the company's outstanding ordinary shares.Analysis Article • Aug 27
Should You Think About Buying Playa Hotels & Resorts N.V. (NASDAQ:PLYA) Now?
Playa Hotels & Resorts N.V. ( NASDAQ:PLYA ), is not the largest company out there, but it saw significant share price...Seeking Alpha • Jul 11
Playa Hotels & Resorts: Long-Term Outlook Encouraging
Playa Hotels & Resorts has shown encouraging RevPAR growth across its portfolio. A rising quick ratio means the company is better placed to handle a potential slowdown in revenue growth. I take a long-term bullish view of the stock. Investment Thesis: Strong growth in RevPAR as well as a rising quick ratio indicates that Playa Hotels & Resorts (PLYA) is seeing an encouraging recovery following the COVID-19 pandemic. I take a long-term bullish view on the stock. In a previous article, I made the argument that Playa Hotels & Resorts could see upside going forward as a result of a recovery in RevPAR (revenue per available room) and ADR (the average daily rate) across the company's major geographies. Moreover, with property prices rising in the Dominican Republic, I also made the argument that rising prices would provide a buffer against lower than expected resort bookings. With that being said, inflationary concerns and bearish market sentiment has coincided with a significant drop in the stock: investing.com The purpose of this article is to analyse whether the recent sell-off was overdone and if Playa Hotels & Resorts could reasonably see upside from here. Portfolio Performance Overall, Playa Hotels & Resorts saw a strong rebound in ADR and RevPAR from 2020 through to last year. To get a better overview of revenue performance across the different geographies in the company's portfolio, I decided to collate quarterly data on ADR and RevPAR for all quarters in 2020 and 2021. The ADR and RevPAR figures were then averaged by year in order to determine performance across each geography in the portfolio. The calculations were performed using SQL, and these can be found along with the original quarterly figures here. 2020 Portfolio ADR RevPAR RevPAR (% by portfolio) Jamaica 315.39 128.55 31.10% Yucatan Peninsula 292.27 120.73 29.21% Pacific Coast 395.25 102.31 24.75% Dominican Republic 239.74 61.79 14.95% Source: Calculations made by author. 2021 Portfolio ADR RevPAR RevPAR (% by portfolio) Yucatan Peninsula 318.49 168.23 29.48% Pacific Coast 344.01 163.14 28.58% Jamaica 300.86 129.1 22.62% Dominican Republic 268.1 110.26 19.32% Source: Calculations made by author. When looking at average RevPAR by year - we can see that the Yucatan Peninsula has become the largest revenue generator in the company's portfolio, and this accounted for just under 30% of overall revenue in 2021. However, what is also noteworthy is that the Jamaica region saw average RevPAR for 2020 and 2021 at virtually identical levels and Jamaica was the top revenue earner for the company in 2020. With that being said, the Yucatan Peninsula and Dominican Republic saw growth in both RevPAR and ADR, while the Pacific Coast and Jamaica saw a drop in ADR despite RevPAR growing by 59% for the former and remaining flat for the latter. 2022 Portfolio ADR RevPAR RevPAR (% by portfolio) Yucatan Peninsula 429.45 308.75 27.02% Pacific Coast 454.61 302.89 26.50% Jamaica 415.11 280.54 24.55% Dominican Republic 324.26 250.68 21.93% Source: Calculations made by author. While only the first quarter of data for 2022 is available, we seem to be seeing a continuation of this trend so far, with Yucatan Peninsula and the Pacific Coast remaining the top two by revenue along with higher ADR across these portfolios. What is particularly noteworthy is that both the Yucatan Peninsula and the Dominican Republic were able to increase average price charged per day to customers while also increasing revenue. This might suggest that customers who book across these portfolios are less price sensitive and even if inflation does somewhat lower the recovery for travel demand this summer - I take the view that revenue across these geographies could increase further in spite of rising prices. Looking Forward The rebound in revenue to date has been encouraging. Going forward - it is unclear to what extent inflation can be expected to dampen demand from here. In spite of the rebound in revenue growth we saw last year, the stock could see some downside if growth this year comes lower than expected due to inflationary concerns.Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2027 | 947 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1 |
| 12/31/2026 | 962 | 92 | 114 | 236 | 4 |
| 12/31/2025 | 883 | 64 | 104 | 217 | 2 |
| 3/31/2025 | 896 | 63 | 24 | 134 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 929 | 74 | 16 | 113 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 952 | 66 | 53 | 134 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 981 | 58 | 79 | 139 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 993 | 65 | 102 | 148 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 965 | 54 | 90 | 136 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 934 | 39 | 59 | 97 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 925 | 47 | 92 | 128 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 899 | 57 | 131 | 166 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 847 | 57 | 129 | 158 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 812 | 71 | 153 | 180 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 761 | 61 | 119 | 141 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 669 | 23 | 76 | 94 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 529 | -90 | 12 | 30 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 421 | -164 | -73 | -53 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 299 | -230 | -123 | -85 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 172 | -310 | -189 | -153 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 271 | -262 | -137 | -100 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 348 | -207 | -155 | -81 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 451 | -158 | -169 | -42 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 611 | -70 | -116 | 54 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 630 | -4 | -140 | 72 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 639 | -1 | -96 | 116 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 650 | 24 | -34 | 132 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 634 | 40 | -29 | 112 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 616 | 19 | N/A | 114 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 591 | 22 | N/A | 89 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 567 | 22 | N/A | 72 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 562 | -6 | N/A | 85 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 560 | -9 | N/A | 64 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 553 | -27 | N/A | 93 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 549 | -35 | N/A | 86 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 536 | -19 | N/A | 82 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 521 | -23 | N/A | 76 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 508 | -18 | N/A | 71 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 481 | -14 | N/A | 64 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 451 | -23 | N/A | 48 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 408 | -30 | N/A | 31 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 377 | -58 | N/A | 5 | N/A |
| 3/31/2015 | 382 | -60 | N/A | -1 | N/A |
| 12/31/2014 | 367 | -74 | N/A | 4 | N/A |
| 6/30/2014 | 350 | -71 | N/A | 28 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: PLYA's forecast earnings growth (23.9% per year) is above the savings rate (2.9%).
Earnings vs Market: PLYA's earnings (23.9% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (14.5% per year).
High Growth Earnings: PLYA's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: PLYA's revenue (3.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (8.7% per year).
High Growth Revenue: PLYA's revenue (3.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: PLYA's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (17.4%).
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2025/06/17 16:15 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2025/06/13 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2024/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Playa Hotels & Resorts N.V. is covered by 6 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Tyler Batory | Brean Capital Historical (Janney Montgomery) |
| Nicholas Joseph | Citigroup Inc |
| Chris Woronka | Deutsche Bank |