Central Petroleum Future Growth
Future criteria checks 5/6
Central Petroleum is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 85.7% and 32.8% per annum respectively while EPS is expected to grow by 86.2% per annum.
Key information
85.7%
Earnings growth rate
86.19%
EPS growth rate
| Oil and Gas earnings growth | 11.8% |
| Revenue growth rate | 32.8% |
| Future return on equity | n/a |
| Analyst coverage | Low |
| Last updated | 20 Apr 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • Jun 07
CTP: Completed Share Buyback Will Support Future Margin Strength And Upside Potential
Analysts have maintained their fair value estimate for Central Petroleum at A$0.22 per share. This reflects unchanged assumptions regarding the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E, and indicates that the latest research has not altered their overall price target view.Narrative Update • May 24
CTP: Completed Buyback Will Support Future Margin Strength And Upside Potential
Analysts have kept their fair value estimate for Central Petroleum steady at A$0.22 per share, reflecting unchanged assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E. They view this as consistent with their existing price target rationale.Narrative Update • May 06
CTP: Completed Buyback Tranche Will Support Future Margin Strength And Upside Potential
Analysts have kept Central Petroleum's fair value estimate steady at A$0.22 per share, with only slight model tweaks to the discount rate and future P/E assumptions supporting the unchanged price target rationale. What's in the News Central Petroleum completed a share buyback tranche, repurchasing 799,500 shares between July 30, 2025 and December 31, 2025, representing 0.11% of shares for A$0.05 million (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Apr 21
CTP: Share Buyback Will Support Stronger Margins And Future Upside Potential
Analysts have lifted their price target for Central Petroleum from A$0.20 to about A$0.22, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E valuations. What's in the News Central Petroleum completed a share buyback tranche covering 799,500 shares, equal to 0.11% of its shares, between July 30, 2025 and December 31, 2025 (Key Developments).Analysis Article • Jan 30
Investors Aren't Entirely Convinced By Central Petroleum Limited's (ASX:CTP) Earnings
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 7.2x Central Petroleum Limited ( ASX:CTP ) may be sending very bullish...
New Narrative • Feb 14
Helium Recovery Project At Mereenie Will Provide Additional Revenue Stream
New agreements and well developments in Northern Territory will boost sales volumes, cash flows, and revenue growth.Analysis Article • Jun 19
Central Petroleum Limited's (ASX:CTP) 25% Dip In Price Shows Sentiment Is Matching Revenues
Central Petroleum Limited ( ASX:CTP ) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough...Analysis Article • Jun 04
Here's Why Central Petroleum (ASX:CTP) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Analysis Article • Apr 22
Central Petroleum Limited's (ASX:CTP) Shares Bounce 35% But Its Business Still Trails The Industry
Despite an already strong run, Central Petroleum Limited ( ASX:CTP ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 35...Analysis Article • Oct 31
Is Central Petroleum (ASX:CTP) A Risky Investment?
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Analysis Article • Apr 04
Central Petroleum (ASX:CTP) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company...Analysis Article • Nov 03
We Think Some Shareholders May Hesitate To Increase Central Petroleum Limited's (ASX:CTP) CEO Compensation
Shareholders of Central Petroleum Limited ( ASX:CTP ) will have been dismayed by the negative share price return over...Analysis Article • May 17
Do Central Petroleum's (ASX:CTP) Earnings Warrant Your Attention?
For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to...Analysis Article • Nov 03
Shareholders May Be More Conservative With Central Petroleum Limited's (ASX:CTP) CEO Compensation For Now
In the past three years, shareholders of Central Petroleum Limited ( ASX:CTP ) have seen a loss on their investment...Analysis Article • May 09
Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of Central Petroleum Limited (ASX:CTP)
Does the May share price for Central Petroleum Limited ( ASX:CTP ) reflect what it's really worth? Today, we will...Analysis Article • Apr 18
Central Petroleum Limited's (ASX:CTP) Business Is Yet to Catch Up With Its Share Price
There wouldn't be many who think Central Petroleum Limited's ( ASX:CTP ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 19.2x is...Analysis Article • Mar 28
These 4 Measures Indicate That Central Petroleum (ASX:CTP) Is Using Debt Extensively
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...Analysis Article • Mar 02
Does Central Petroleum (ASX:CTP) Have The Makings Of A Multi-Bagger?
What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term...Analysis Article • Feb 09
The Central Petroleum (ASX:CTP) Share Price Has Gained 61% And Shareholders Are Hoping For More
One simple way to benefit from the stock market is to buy an index fund. But if you buy good businesses at attractive...Analysis Article • Jan 11
Here's What We Think About Central Petroleum's (ASX:CTP) CEO Pay
Leon Devaney has been the CEO of Central Petroleum Limited ( ASX:CTP ) since 2018, and this article will examine the...Analysis Article • Dec 15
Are Central Petroleum's (ASX:CTP) Statutory Earnings A Good Reflection Of Its Earnings Potential?
Statistically speaking, it is less risky to invest in profitable companies than in unprofitable ones. Having said that...Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/30/2028 | 97 | 44 | 44 | 55 | 1 |
| 6/30/2027 | 63 | 21 | -2 | 29 | 1 |
| 6/30/2026 | 45 | 6 | -8 | 17 | 1 |
| 12/31/2025 | 47 | 5 | 6 | 15 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 45 | 6 | 6 | 14 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 44 | 8 | 6 | 14 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 40 | 4 | 7 | 13 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 36 | 0 | 8 | 11 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 37 | 6 | 6 | 9 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 37 | 12 | 4 | 7 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 40 | 15 | 2 | 5 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 43 | 17 | -1 | 2 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 41 | 5 | -3 | 0 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 39 | -8 | -5 | -2 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 37 | -14 | -5 | -1 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 35 | -20 | -4 | 0 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 39 | 0 | -6 | 2 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 42 | 21 | -7 | 4 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 48 | 25 | -7 | 5 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 54 | 28 | -7 | 6 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 57 | 14 | 5 | 15 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 60 | 0 | 18 | 24 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 59 | 2 | 23 | 25 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 58 | 5 | 29 | 25 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 62 | 5 | 24 | 20 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 65 | 5 | 20 | 16 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 70 | 7 | 19 | 20 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 75 | 8 | 18 | 25 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 67 | -3 | N/A | 14 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 59 | -15 | N/A | 2 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 48 | -22 | N/A | -4 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 37 | -29 | N/A | -10 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 36 | -22 | N/A | -2 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 35 | -14 | N/A | 5 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 32 | -18 | N/A | 4 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 30 | -22 | N/A | 3 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 27 | -24 | N/A | 1 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 25 | -25 | N/A | 0 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 25 | -22 | N/A | -1 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 24 | -19 | N/A | -1 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 24 | -20 | N/A | -1 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 24 | -21 | N/A | -1 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 20 | -19 | N/A | -4 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 16 | -17 | N/A | -6 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 13 | -23 | N/A | -8 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 10 | -28 | N/A | -11 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: CTP's forecast earnings growth (85.7% per year) is above the savings rate (3.6%).
Earnings vs Market: CTP's earnings (85.7% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the Australian market (12.1% per year).
High Growth Earnings: CTP's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: CTP's revenue (32.8% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Australian market (6.2% per year).
High Growth Revenue: CTP's revenue (32.8% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if CTP's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/06/10 08:48 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/06/10 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/06/30 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Central Petroleum Limited is covered by 3 analysts. 1 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Peter Dupont | Edison Investment Research |
| Adrian Prendergast | Morgans Financial Limited |
| Michael Bentley | MST Financial Services Pty Limited |