Turning Point Brands Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Turning Point Brands is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 15.8% and 22.3% per annum respectively while EPS is expected to grow by 14.4% per annum.

Key information

15.8%

Earnings growth rate

14.38%

EPS growth rate

Tobacco earnings growth	12.2%
Revenue growth rate	22.3%
Future return on equity	n/a
Analyst coverage	Low
Last updated	02 Jul 2025

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

There's Been No Shortage Of Growth Recently For Turning Point Brands' (NYSE:TPB) Returns On Capital

Jul 08

Turning Point Brands: Alp's Momentum Accelerates, But Upside Is Limited

May 08

Turning Point Brands, Inc. (NYSE:TPB) Stocks Shoot Up 47% But Its P/E Still Looks Reasonable

May 08

Shareholders Will Probably Hold Off On Increasing Turning Point Brands, Inc.'s (NYSE:TPB) CEO Compensation For The Time Being

May 01

Under The Bonnet, Turning Point Brands' (NYSE:TPB) Returns Look Impressive

Apr 05

Turning Point Brands: Little Asymmetrical Upside Left (Rating Downgrade)

Mar 01

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Turning Point Brands, Inc. (NYSE:TPB) With Shares Advancing 25%

Feb 13

Turning Point Brands: Scaling An Alp With Tucker Carlson

Dec 30

Turning Point Brands: Alp Is Off To A Fast Start

Dec 18

Turning Point Brands, Inc.'s (NYSE:TPB) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 47% Above Its Share Price

Dec 09

Turning Point Brands, Inc.'s (NYSE:TPB) P/E Still Appears To Be Reasonable

Nov 07

Turning Point Brands: Why This Tobacco Stock Winner Has More Room To Run

Oct 14

Zig-Zag's Critical Moves Ignite Market Share Growth And Solidify Lifestyle Brand Dominance

Sep 24 Zig-Zag's revenue growth, driven by its North American segment and expansion into alternative channels, suggests a strong potential for future revenue increases.

TPB: A Growth Nicotine And Cannabis-Adjacent Co. That Can Be A Share Buyback Machine

Aug 08

Turning Point Brands: Entry Into Oral Nicotine Pouch Category Is A 2024 Catalyst

Mar 01

Turning Point Brands (NYSE:TPB) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of $0.065

Dec 07

Turning Point: Double-Digit Growth Of Stoker's MST May Imply Undervaluation

Nov 11

Turning Point Brands (NYSE:TPB) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.065

Aug 28

Turning Point Brands' (NYSE:TPB) Dividend Will Be $0.065

Aug 09

Turning Point Brands Reports Positive Q2 Income And Free Cash Flow

Aug 04

Does Turning Point Brands (NYSE:TPB) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Jun 08

Turning Point Brands (NYSE:TPB) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.065

May 21

Turning Point Brands' (NYSE:TPB) Dividend Will Be $0.065

May 07

Turning Point Brands (NYSE:TPB) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of $0.065

Feb 27

We Think Turning Point Brands (NYSE:TPB) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

Feb 25

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:TPB - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2027	621	N/A	N/A	N/A	1
12/31/2026	471	65	72	76	4
12/31/2025	432	55	59	64	4
3/31/2025	384	50	55	62	N/A
12/31/2024	361	47	62	67	N/A
9/30/2024	316	48	71	76	N/A
6/30/2024	312	46	70	75	N/A
3/31/2024	308	43	70	74	N/A
12/31/2023	325	39	61	67	N/A
9/30/2023	408	12	49	54	N/A
6/30/2023	415	13	46	51	N/A
3/31/2023	414	8	25	33	N/A
12/31/2022	321	32	22	30	N/A
9/30/2022	417	39	27	35	N/A
6/30/2022	419	41	28	38	N/A
3/31/2022	439	51	49	57	N/A
12/31/2021	445	52	62	68	N/A
9/30/2021	445	55	53	60	N/A
6/30/2021	440	51	57	64	N/A
3/31/2021	422	45	47	53	N/A
12/31/2020	405	38	38	44	N/A
9/30/2020	380	12	47	51	N/A
6/30/2020	373	9	29	34	N/A
3/31/2020	361	12	34	38	N/A
12/31/2019	362	16	33	38	N/A
9/30/2019	376	31	27	32	N/A
6/30/2019	363	33	26	29	N/A
3/31/2019	350	29	16	19	N/A
12/31/2018	333	25	N/A	13	N/A
9/30/2018	312	24	N/A	10	N/A
6/30/2018	302	23	N/A	29	N/A
3/31/2018	293	21	N/A	40	N/A
12/31/2017	286	20	N/A	30	N/A
9/30/2017	266	34	N/A	30	N/A
6/30/2017	244	33	N/A	25	N/A
3/31/2017	223	27	N/A	6	N/A
12/31/2016	206	27	N/A	9	N/A
9/30/2016	199	12	N/A	11	N/A
6/30/2016	200	10	N/A	17	N/A
3/31/2016	196	8	N/A	19	N/A
12/31/2015	197	9	N/A	24	N/A
9/30/2015	199	10	N/A	10	N/A
6/30/2015	197	8	N/A	8	N/A
3/31/2015	200	-8	N/A	15	N/A
12/31/2014	200	-29	N/A	6	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: TPB's forecast earnings growth (15.8% per year) is above the savings rate (2.9%).

Earnings vs Market: TPB's earnings (15.8% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (14.8% per year).

High Growth Earnings: TPB's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: TPB's revenue (22.3% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (8.9% per year).

High Growth Revenue: TPB's revenue (22.3% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if TPB's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time

Discover growth companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2025/07/17 08:48
End of Day Share Price	2025/07/17 00:00
Earnings	2025/03/31
Annual Earnings	2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Turning Point Brands, Inc. is covered by 11 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Aaron Grey	Alliance Global Partners
Gaurav Jain	Barclays
Susan Anderson	B. Riley Securities, Inc.

Turning Point Brands Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Turning Point Brands, Inc. Updates Earnings Guidance for the Full Year 2025

Price target increased by 8.8% to US$77.50

Price target increased by 9.6% to US$71.25

Price target increased by 12% to US$68.75

Price target increased by 12% to US$47.50

Price target increased by 23% to US$42.50

Recent updates

There's Been No Shortage Of Growth Recently For Turning Point Brands' (NYSE:TPB) Returns On Capital

Now 20% undervalued

Director recently sold US$1.9m worth of stock

Upcoming dividend of US$0.075 per share

Director recently sold US$1.1m worth of stock

Executive Chairman notifies of intention to sell stock

High number of new directors

Now 21% undervalued

Director recently sold US$766k worth of stock

First quarter dividend of US$0.075 announced

Turning Point Brands: Alp's Momentum Accelerates, But Upside Is Limited

Turning Point Brands Declares Regular Quarterly Dividend, Payable on July 11, 2025

Turning Point Brands, Inc. (NYSE:TPB) Stocks Shoot Up 47% But Its P/E Still Looks Reasonable

First quarter 2025 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Turning Point Brands, Inc. Updates Earnings Guidance for the Full Year 2025

Shareholders Will Probably Hold Off On Increasing Turning Point Brands, Inc.'s (NYSE:TPB) CEO Compensation For The Time Being

Zig-Zag to Unveil Its Newest Product: Zig-Zag Organic Hemp Cones

Under The Bonnet, Turning Point Brands' (NYSE:TPB) Returns Look Impressive

Turning Point Brands, Inc., Annual General Meeting, May 08, 2025

Upcoming dividend of US$0.075 per share

Price target increased by 8.8% to US$77.50

Full year 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Third quarter dividend increased to US$0.075

Turning Point Brands: Little Asymmetrical Upside Left (Rating Downgrade)

Turning Point Brands, Inc. Declares Quarterly Dividend, Payable on April 11, 2025

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Turning Point Brands, Inc. (NYSE:TPB) With Shares Advancing 25%

Price target increased by 9.6% to US$71.25

Turning Point Brands: Scaling An Alp With Tucker Carlson

Turning Point Brands: Alp Is Off To A Fast Start

Price target increased by 12% to US$68.75

Upcoming dividend of US$0.07 per share

Turning Point Brands, Inc. has filed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of $100 million.

Turning Point Brands, Inc.'s (NYSE:TPB) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 47% Above Its Share Price

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 17%

Third quarter dividend of US$0.07 announced

Third quarter 2024 earnings: EPS in line with analyst expectations despite revenue beat

Turning Point Brands, Inc.'s (NYSE:TPB) P/E Still Appears To Be Reasonable

Turning Point Brands, Inc. Declares Common Stock Dividend, Payable on January 10, 2025

Turning Point Brands: Why This Tobacco Stock Winner Has More Room To Run

Zig-Zag's Critical Moves Ignite Market Share Growth And Solidify Lifestyle Brand Dominance

Upcoming dividend of US$0.07 per share

New minor risk - Insider selling

Independent Director exercised options and sold US$212k worth of stock

TPB: A Growth Nicotine And Cannabis-Adjacent Co. That Can Be A Share Buyback Machine

Second quarter dividend of US$0.07 announced

Price target increased by 12% to US$47.50

Second quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Turning Point Brands Q2: Great Underlying Growth Goes Unnoticed

Turning Point Brands, Inc. Declares a Regular Quarterly Dividend, Payable on October 4, 2024

Turning Point Brands, Inc. to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Aug 01, 2024

Chief Strategy Officer recently bought US$127k worth of stock

Chief Revenue Officer recently bought US$70k worth of stock

Upcoming dividend of US$0.07 per share

High number of new directors

Turning Point Brands: Stable Business With Great Cash Flow Yield

First quarter dividend of US$0.07 announced

Price target increased by 23% to US$42.50

First quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Turning Point Brands, Inc. Declares Regular Quarterly Common Stock Dividend, Payable on July 5, 2024

Turning Point Brands, Inc., Annual General Meeting, May 01, 2024

Turning Point Brands' (NYSE:TPB) Dividend Will Be Increased To $0.07

Upcoming dividend of US$0.07 per share

Turning Point Brands, Inc. Announces Chief Financial Officer Changes

Turning Point Brands (NYSE:TPB) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of $0.07

Fourth quarter dividend of US$0.07 announced

Turning Point Brands, Inc. (NYSE:TPB) Doing What It Can To Lift Shares

Turning Point Brands: Entry Into Oral Nicotine Pouch Category Is A 2024 Catalyst

Full year 2023 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

Turning Point Brands (NYSE:TPB) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of $0.065