Pearson Valuation

Is PSON undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PSON when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: PSON (£9.77) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£16.87)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PSON is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PSON?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

PSON key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA11.8x
PEG Ratio2.5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does PSON's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for PSON vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average20.1x
TRB Tribal Group
21.7x14.6%UK£112.8m
WTB Whitbread
16.9x12.2%UK£5.3b
IHG InterContinental Hotels Group
22.2x6.8%UK£13.2b
GRG Greggs
19.6x5.6%UK£2.8b
PSON Pearson
17.2x6.9%UK£6.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PSON is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.2x) compared to the peer average (20.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PSON's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Consumer Services Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.3%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.3%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PSON is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.2x) compared to the Global Consumer Services industry average (16.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PSON's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PSON PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio17.2x
Fair PE Ratio23.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: PSON is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PSON forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£9.77
UK£11.32
+15.8%
8.2%UK£12.71UK£10.00n/a11
Jun ’25UK£9.48
UK£11.33
+19.5%
8.1%UK£12.71UK£10.00n/a11
May ’25UK£9.67
UK£11.34
+17.2%
8.2%UK£12.71UK£10.00n/a11
Apr ’25UK£10.42
UK£11.35
+9.0%
8.4%UK£12.76UK£10.00n/a11
Mar ’25UK£10.14
UK£11.26
+11.0%
9.6%UK£13.07UK£9.65n/a11
Feb ’25UK£9.68
UK£11.27
+16.4%
9.9%UK£13.19UK£9.75n/a11
Jan ’25UK£9.64
UK£10.89
+13.0%
7.7%UK£12.25UK£9.75n/a11
Dec ’24UK£9.20
UK£10.86
+18.1%
8.2%UK£12.25UK£9.75n/a11
Nov ’24UK£9.65
UK£10.96
+13.6%
7.7%UK£12.25UK£9.75n/a11
Oct ’24UK£8.68
UK£10.58
+21.8%
8.5%UK£12.10UK£9.00n/a12
Sep ’24UK£8.40
UK£10.43
+24.2%
8.7%UK£11.90UK£9.00n/a13
Aug ’24UK£8.45
UK£10.38
+22.9%
8.2%UK£11.90UK£9.00n/a13
Jul ’24UK£8.22
UK£10.39
+26.4%
9.7%UK£12.30UK£8.95UK£9.8413
Jun ’24UK£8.10
UK£10.39
+28.3%
9.7%UK£12.30UK£8.95UK£9.4813
May ’24UK£8.87
UK£10.36
+16.8%
9.9%UK£12.30UK£8.85UK£9.6713
Apr ’24UK£8.44
UK£10.41
+23.3%
11.0%UK£12.30UK£8.85UK£10.4213
Mar ’24UK£9.28
UK£10.49
+13.0%
11.3%UK£12.44UK£8.80UK£10.1413
Feb ’24UK£9.12
UK£10.50
+15.2%
11.1%UK£12.44UK£8.90UK£9.6813
Jan ’24UK£9.39
UK£10.09
+7.5%
12.8%UK£12.00UK£7.80UK£9.6413
Dec ’23UK£9.44
UK£9.94
+5.3%
12.4%UK£11.81UK£7.80UK£9.2013
Nov ’23UK£9.62
UK£9.86
+2.5%
12.3%UK£11.50UK£7.80UK£9.6514
Oct ’23UK£8.67
UK£9.07
+4.6%
14.9%UK£10.80UK£5.20UK£8.6815
Sep ’23UK£8.73
UK£8.94
+2.4%
15.3%UK£10.86UK£5.20UK£8.4015
Aug ’23UK£8.53
UK£8.49
-0.4%
17.1%UK£10.50UK£5.20UK£8.4514
Jul ’23UK£7.43
UK£8.26
+11.2%
16.3%UK£10.00UK£5.20UK£8.2214

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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