NRG Energy (NRG) Stock Overview
Operates as an energy and home services company in the United States and Canada. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 5/6 |
| Future Growth | 4/6 |
| Past Performance | 0/6 |
| Financial Health | 1/6 |
| Dividends | 2/6 |
Rewards
Risk Analysis
NRG Community Fair Values
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Analyst Price Targets
NRG Energy, Inc. Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$142.21 |
| 52 Week High | US$189.96 |
| 52 Week Low | US$120.11 |
| Beta | 1.22 |
| 1 Month Change | 3.31% |
| 3 Month Change | -2.69% |
| 1 Year Change | -7.25% |
| 3 Year Change | 288.98% |
| 5 Year Change | 252.88% |
| Change since IPO | 1,377.51% |
Recent News & Updates
Narrative Update • Jun 23
NRG: LS Power Acquisition Will Recast Margin Mix And Future Earnings
NRG Energy's updated fair value estimate has shifted modestly lower to about $266 from roughly $275 as analysts refine their targets, reflecting higher assumed revenue growth, a slightly lower profit margin outlook, and updated P/E expectations across the utilities sector. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on NRG Energy shows a mixed but generally constructive tone, with several bullish analysts adjusting price targets while keeping a close eye on execution and sector trends.Analysis Article • Jun 20
NRG Energy (NRG) Stock Could Be 33.2% Undervalued on Its Electricity Demand Narrative
NRG Energy (NRG) has drawn fresh attention after recent share price moves, with the stock up 2.2% on the day and 7.6% over the past week, despite weaker returns over the past month and the past three months. See our latest analysis for NRG Energy. Stepping back from the latest bounce, NRG Energy’s share price has seen momentum cool over recent months, with the stock down over the year to date, even though the 3 year and 5 year total shareholder returns are very large. If this kind of...Recent updates
Narrative Update • Jun 23
NRG: LS Power Acquisition Will Recast Margin Mix And Future Earnings
NRG Energy's updated fair value estimate has shifted modestly lower to about $266 from roughly $275 as analysts refine their targets, reflecting higher assumed revenue growth, a slightly lower profit margin outlook, and updated P/E expectations across the utilities sector. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on NRG Energy shows a mixed but generally constructive tone, with several bullish analysts adjusting price targets while keeping a close eye on execution and sector trends.Analysis Article • Jun 20
NRG Energy (NRG) Stock Could Be 33.2% Undervalued on Its Electricity Demand Narrative
NRG Energy (NRG) has drawn fresh attention after recent share price moves, with the stock up 2.2% on the day and 7.6% over the past week, despite weaker returns over the past month and the past three months. See our latest analysis for NRG Energy. Stepping back from the latest bounce, NRG Energy’s share price has seen momentum cool over recent months, with the stock down over the year to date, even though the 3 year and 5 year total shareholder returns are very large. If this kind of...
Narrative Update • Jun 06
NRG: LS Power Deal And Mixed Outlook Will Shape Future Earnings
NRG Energy's updated fair value estimate has moved from $124.23 to $132.39 as analysts factor in recent price target revisions, including Morgan Stanley's lift to $162 and other Street updates, while also reflecting revised expectations for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research shows a mix of optimistic and cautious views on NRG Energy, with several firms refreshing price targets and ratings in a short span.Seeking Alpha • Jun 04
NRG Energy's Historic Run Isn't Over Yet
Summary NRG Energy, Inc. remains a compelling Buy due to robust growth drivers and attractive relative valuation. NRG's smart home segment, though only 7% of revenue, delivers 23.3% of economic gross margin and is expanding rapidly. Management anticipates 2026 EBITDA of $5.325–$5.825 billion, driven by rising power prices and data center demand. NRG's leverage is below most peers, supporting continued investment in capacity and growth initiatives, including a JV targeting 3 GW by 2032. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • May 23
NRG: LS Power Capacity Shift Will Reshape Future Margin And Earnings Mix
Analysts have adjusted the fair value estimate for NRG Energy to $274.77 from $282.66 as they factor in updated sector price targets, mixed revisions across firms, and the impact of the LS Power assets acquisition on growth assumptions and valuation inputs. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a generally constructive stance on NRG Energy, with several bullish analysts highlighting the LS Power assets acquisition, changes in generation capacity, and shifts in the retail and wholesale mix as key factors in their updated views.Narrative Update • May 07
NRG: LS Power Acquisition Will Likely Inflate Long Term Earnings Expectations
NRG Energy's updated analyst price target has shifted, alongside a fair value estimate moving to $124.23, as analysts weigh recent price target changes across firms and factor in revised assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, the discount rate, and a higher future P/E of 24.52x. Analyst Commentary Recent research on NRG Energy shows a mixed backdrop, with some firms lifting price targets and others trimming them as they reassess valuation, the impact of acquisitions, and execution risks around the updated business mix.Narrative Update • Apr 21
NRG: LS Power Capacity Shift Will Drive Future Margin Repricing
NRG Energy's updated analyst price target shifts modestly, reflecting mixed Street research that includes recent target cuts and raises as analysts reassess the impact of the LS Power acquisition, updated margin assumptions, and revised forward P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on NRG Energy points to a split view, but with a clear cluster of bullish analysts who are leaning into the LS Power acquisition and its impact on capacity, margin mix, and valuation frameworks.Narrative Update • Apr 05
NRG: LS Power Acquisition And Margin Expansion Will Drive Future Repricing
NRG Energy's updated analyst price target has edged lower to $282.26 from $312.69, as analysts factor in assumptions of slower revenue growth along with higher expected profit margins and a richer future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around NRG Energy points to a mix of views, but several high profile firms highlight potential upside tied to execution on recent acquisitions and expectations for stronger profitability.
Narrative Update • Mar 22
NRG: Future Cash Returns From LS Power Assets And Dividends Will Matter
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for NRG Energy slightly lower to about $202 per share. This reflects updated views on more moderate revenue growth, a somewhat higher profit margin, and a richer future P/E, driven in part by recent research citing the impact of LS Power acquisitions and a more balanced retail and wholesale mix.Narrative Update • Mar 07
NRG: LS Power Deal Will Likely Overstate Long Term Earnings Upside
Narrative Update: NRG Energy The updated analyst price target for NRG Energy has shifted from about $145 to about $113 as analysts factor in the LS Power acquisition, which they say doubles generation capacity, reshapes the retail and wholesale mix, and adds potential benefits to key financial metrics. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around NRG Energy focuses on the LS Power asset acquisition, with several firms updating coverage and targets as they incorporate this deal into their models.Narrative Update • Feb 21
NRG: Future Cash Returns From Gas Assets And Dividends Will Matter
Analysts have nudged their blended price target for NRG Energy higher to $153, reflecting updated assumptions that pair a slightly higher fair value estimate with modest tweaks to revenue growth, profit margin, discount rate, and future P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around NRG Energy shows a mix of optimism and caution, with price targets moving in both directions and ratings holding steady in the middle of the range.Narrative Update • Feb 07
NRG: Future Earnings Power From LS Power Assets May Reprice Shares
Analysts have modestly lifted their fair value estimate for NRG Energy to about $313, even as recent price target tweaks from firms like Jefferies, Wells Fargo and Morgan Stanley reflect ongoing debate over growth, margins and an updated future P/E near 24x. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around NRG Energy highlights a mix of caution and optimism, with several bullish analysts focusing on where execution and valuation may still offer room for upside relative to their fair value work and updated P/E assumptions.Narrative Update • Jan 24
NRG: Future Earnings Power And Policy Tailwinds May Reprice Shares
Analysts have lifted their price targets on NRG Energy, with one recent move of US$1 and another of US$4, citing updated assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E that contribute to a higher overall valuation framework. Analyst Commentary Recent research has leaned positive on NRG Energy, with bullish analysts revisiting their models and adjusting fair value assumptions.Narrative Update • Jan 10
NRG: Data Center Pipelines And Buybacks Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have slightly raised their fair value estimate for NRG Energy to about $201.96 from $201.58 and increased their price target to $145, reflecting updated views on long term profit margins and future P/E assumptions across regulated and diversified utilities and IPPs. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around NRG Energy highlights a mix of optimism and caution as analysts update their views across the broader Regulated and Diversified Utilities and IPP group. Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts are comfortable reaffirming a neutral stance while still lifting their price targets to US$145, which signals confidence that updated P/E assumptions and margin expectations support a higher fair value anchor for the stock.Narrative Update • Dec 21
NRG: Expanding Data Center Power Deals Will Drive Future Free Cash Flow Upside
Analysts have modestly trimmed their blended fair value estimate for NRG Energy to approximately $201.58 from about $208.14 per share, citing improving revenue growth expectations, slightly lower projected profit margins, and a recalibration of valuation multiples amid rising price targets across the independent power producer peer group. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research highlights a broadly constructive stance on NRG Energy, with multiple price target increases and a new positive initiation reinforcing confidence in the company’s valuation and cash flow outlook.Narrative Update • Dec 10
NRG: Power Price Optimism Will Likely Overstate Long Term Data Center Upside
The updated analyst price target for NRG Energy has increased to $145, up from a prior fair value of about $106. Analysts attribute this change to stronger expected profitability, improved cash flow visibility from rising power and capacity prices, and growing upside from data center driven demand and portfolio optionality.Narrative Update • Dec 07
NRG: Expanding Data Center Power Deals Will Drive Future Earnings Upside
Analysts have modestly raised their price target for NRG Energy, citing improving cash flow visibility for thermal independent power producers, supportive power and capacity pricing, and growing upside from potential data center power deals and M&A activity. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on NRG Energy remains broadly constructive, with several firms lifting price targets and highlighting improving fundamentals across the independent power producer landscape.Narrative Update • Nov 22
NRG: Expanding Data Center Agreements Will Drive Long-Term Earnings Upside
NRG Energy’s analyst price target has increased modestly, rising from $207.23 to $208.14. Analysts cite improving profitability, stronger expected revenue growth, and positive outlooks for independent power producers due to favorable utility sector trends.Narrative Update • Nov 07
NRG: Future Data Center Demand Will Drive Significant Upside Potential
NRG Energy's analyst price target has increased from $194.77 to $207.23. Analysts cite rising cash flows, stronger data center demand, and a favorable industry outlook as key drivers for the upward revision.Narrative Update • Oct 24
Future Positioning Will Rely On Energy Transition And Data Center Demand
Analysts have increased their price target for NRG Energy, raising the estimate by nearly $3 to $194.77. They cite resilient cash flows, strong execution, and rising profitability, despite slightly lower revenue growth expectations.Narrative Update • Oct 10
Electrification And Digital Integration Will Shape Future Position
Analysts have raised their price target for NRG Energy from $176.95 to $191.95 per share, citing stronger revenue growth forecasts, as well as heightened expectations for datacenter power deals and continued sector momentum. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts are raising price targets for NRG Energy, citing accelerating cash flows for thermal independent power producers.Narrative Update • Sep 24
Electrification And Digital Integration Will Shape Future Position
Analysts have raised NRG Energy’s price target to $176.95, citing attractive relative valuation, strong operational execution, and expected tailwinds from rising AI-driven power demand and hyperscaler contracts. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlight NRG’s attractive valuation relative to peers, noting its portfolio offers significant optionality despite not having the highest-quality assets or business mix.Analysis Article • Jul 18
Is NRG Energy (NYSE:NRG) A Risky Investment?
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Seeking Alpha • Mar 11
NRG Energy: Attractively Priced As Demand Ratchets Up
Summary NRG Energy has pulled back ~15% since my last coverage, improving its risk/reward profile. The company has reaffirmed 2025 guidance, and while Q4 revenue missed, adjusted EPS far exceeded analyst expectations. AI-driven power demand, Vivint's strong performance, and aggressive capital returns bolster the investment thesis. NRG trades at a discount to peers like Vistra, while offering a 7.65% total shareholder yield. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaShareholder Returns
| NRG | US Electric Utilities | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 7.6% | 0.7% | -2.3% |
| 1Y | -7.2% | 10.8% | 21.2% |
Return vs Industry: NRG underperformed the US Electric Utilities industry which returned 10.8% over the past year.
Return vs Market: NRG underperformed the US Market which returned 21.2% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| NRG volatility | |
|---|---|
| NRG Average Weekly Movement | 6.8% |
| Electric Utilities Industry Average Movement | 3.0% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.2% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.7% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.1% |
Stable Share Price: NRG has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: NRG's weekly volatility (7%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1989 | 16,702 | Rob Gaudette | www.nrg.com |
NRG Energy, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an energy and home services company in the United States and Canada. It operates through the Texas, East, West/Other, Vivint Smart Home, and Corporate Activities segments. The company offers retail electricity, energy management, demand response and virtual power plant programs, carbon offsets, smart home security, and automation services.
NRG Energy, Inc. Fundamentals Summary
| NRG fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$29.04b |
| Earnings (TTM) | US$172.00m |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$32.38b |
174.4x
P/E Ratio0.9x
P/S RatioIs NRG overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| NRG income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$32.38b |
| Cost of Revenue | US$27.06b |
| Gross Profit | US$5.33b |
| Other Expenses | US$5.15b |
| Earnings | US$172.00m |
Last Reported Earnings
Mar 31, 2026
Next Earnings Date
n/a
| Earnings per share (EPS) | 0.82 |
| Gross Margin | 16.45% |
| Net Profit Margin | 0.53% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 474.5% |
How did NRG perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonDividends
1.3%
Current Dividend Yield210%
Payout RatioCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/06/24 21:42 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/06/24 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
NRG Energy, Inc. is covered by 27 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Daniel Ford | Barclays |
| Nicholas Campanella | Barclays |
| James Thalacker | BMO Capital Markets Equity Research |