SFS Group Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of SFSN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

SFSN (CHF121.8) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (CHF179.86)

Is SFSN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SFSN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SFSN (CHF121.8) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CHF179.86)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SFSN is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SFSN?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

The above table shows the n/a ratio for SFSN. This is calculated by dividing SFSN's market cap by their current preferred multiple.
What is SFSN's n/a Ratio?
n/a	0x
n/a	n/a
Market Cap	CHF 4.74b

SFSN key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	1.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	10.9x
PEG Ratio	2.7x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SFSN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SFSN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	27.3x
GF Georg Fischer	21.7x	16.5%	CHF 5.1b
SUN Sulzer	19.9x	9.7%	CHF 4.6b
DAE Dätwyler Holding	44.6x	22.3%	CHF 3.0b
BCHN Burckhardt Compression Holding	23x	9.1%	CHF 2.1b
SFSN SFS Group	17.8x	6.7%	CHF 4.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SFSN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.8x) compared to the peer average (27.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SFSN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CH Machinery Industry?

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	11.3%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

Fetching data

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	11.3%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SFSN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.8x) compared to the European Machinery industry average (17.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SFSN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SFSN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	17.8x
Fair PE Ratio	19.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SFSN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SFSN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	CHF 121.80	CHF 129.80 +6.6%	8.3%	CHF 140.00	CHF 109.00	n/a	5
Jun ’25	CHF 122.00	CHF 127.00 +4.1%	8.8%	CHF 140.00	CHF 109.00	n/a	5
May ’25	CHF 109.40	CHF 118.60 +8.4%	11.6%	CHF 135.00	CHF 98.00	n/a	5
Apr ’25	CHF 118.60	CHF 117.60 -0.8%	10.7%	CHF 131.00	CHF 98.00	n/a	5
Mar ’25	CHF 111.80	CHF 111.88 +0.07%	13.8%	CHF 130.00	CHF 85.00	n/a	6
Feb ’25	CHF 106.40	CHF 111.88 +5.2%	13.8%	CHF 130.00	CHF 85.00	n/a	6
Jan ’25	CHF 104.20	CHF 112.72 +8.2%	14.0%	CHF 130.00	CHF 85.00	n/a	6
Dec ’24	CHF 98.10	CHF 112.72 +14.9%	14.0%	CHF 130.00	CHF 85.00	n/a	6
Nov ’24	CHF 90.70	CHF 116.88 +28.9%	17.0%	CHF 145.00	CHF 85.00	n/a	6
Oct ’24	CHF 100.20	CHF 120.05 +19.8%	15.1%	CHF 145.00	CHF 85.00	n/a	6
Sep ’24	CHF 101.80	CHF 124.61 +22.4%	16.2%	CHF 152.00	CHF 85.00	n/a	7
Aug ’24	CHF 103.40	CHF 125.67 +21.5%	17.8%	CHF 155.00	CHF 85.00	n/a	6
Jul ’24	CHF 117.80	CHF 124.83 +6.0%	20.6%	CHF 155.00	CHF 75.00	CHF 121.20	6
Jun ’24	CHF 121.00	CHF 123.08 +1.7%	21.6%	CHF 155.00	CHF 75.00	CHF 122.00	6
May ’24	CHF 116.20	CHF 123.08 +5.9%	21.6%	CHF 155.00	CHF 75.00	CHF 109.40	6
Apr ’24	CHF 118.40	CHF 117.92 -0.4%	22.7%	CHF 155.00	CHF 75.00	CHF 118.60	6
Mar ’24	CHF 110.80	CHF 115.17 +3.9%	23.7%	CHF 154.00	CHF 75.00	CHF 111.80	6
Feb ’24	CHF 107.00	CHF 115.17 +7.6%	23.7%	CHF 154.00	CHF 75.00	CHF 106.40	6
Jan ’24	CHF 87.50	CHF 115.17 +31.6%	23.7%	CHF 154.00	CHF 75.00	CHF 104.20	6
Dec ’23	CHF 92.40	CHF 115.17 +24.6%	23.7%	CHF 154.00	CHF 75.00	CHF 98.10	6
Nov ’23	CHF 90.30	CHF 118.17 +30.9%	22.1%	CHF 154.00	CHF 75.00	CHF 90.70	6
Oct ’23	CHF 85.20	CHF 118.17 +38.7%	22.1%	CHF 154.00	CHF 75.00	CHF 100.20	6
Sep ’23	CHF 89.40	CHF 118.50 +32.6%	21.6%	CHF 154.00	CHF 77.00	CHF 101.80	6
Aug ’23	CHF 104.40	CHF 129.50 +24.0%	17.7%	CHF 173.00	CHF 105.00	CHF 103.40	6
Jul ’23	CHF 95.50	CHF 131.67 +37.9%	16.9%	CHF 173.00	CHF 105.00	CHF 117.80	6

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.