Ampol Past Earnings Performance
Past criteria checks 1/6
Ampol's earnings have been declining at an average annual rate of -10.2%, while the Oil and Gas industry saw earnings growing at 16.1% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 12% per year. Ampol's return on equity is 4%, and it has net margins of 0.3%.
Key information
-10.24%
Earnings growth rate
-10.41%
EPS growth rate
| Oil and Gas Industry Growth | 32.60% |
| Revenue growth rate | 12.01% |
| Return on equity | 3.96% |
| Net Margin | 0.26% |
| Next Earnings Update | 24 Aug 2026 |
Recent past performance updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • Jun 18
ALD: Future Returns Will Rely On EG Deal And Energy Transition
The Analyst Price Target for Ampol has been adjusted slightly higher to A$37.27 from A$36.46. This reflects analysts’ updated assumptions on modestly higher revenue growth, profit margins, and a small change in the applied discount rate and future P/E multiple.Narrative Update • Jun 02
ALD: Future Returns Will Depend On Energy Transition And Steady Earnings
Analysts have maintained their A$36.46 price target for Ampol, indicating that only minor adjustments have been made to discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions, rather than any change in their overall valuation view. What's in the News Ampol remains Australia’s largest listed petroleum refiner and fuel retailer, with operations spanning refining, fuel marketing, convenience retail and emerging mobility services.Narrative Update • May 13
ALD: Future Returns Will Rely On Dividend Timing And Steady Earnings Expectations
Analysts have nudged their price target for Ampol slightly higher to A$36.46 from A$36.26, reflecting updated assumptions around discount rates, modest revenue growth, future profit margins and price-to-earnings (P/E) expectations. What's in the News Ampol declared an ordinary fully franked dividend of A$0.60 per share for the six months ended December 31, 2025, giving income focused investors clear visibility on the upcoming payout schedule (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Apr 24
ALD: Future Returns Will Rely On Upcoming Dividend And Steady Earnings Expectations
Ampol's analyst price target has shifted from A$34.64 to A$36.26, with analysts pointing to updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and a slightly lower future P/E multiple as the key drivers of this change. What's in the News Ampol declared an ordinary fully franked dividend of A$0.60 per share for the six months ended December 31, 2025, giving investors clarity on upcoming cash distributions (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Apr 08
ALD: Future Returns Will Be Supported By Upcoming Dividend And Stable Earnings Outlook
Ampol’s analyst price target has shifted from A$33.72 to A$34.64, with analysts citing small changes in the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions as the basis for the revised valuation. What's in the News Ampol declared an ordinary fully franked dividend of A$0.60 per share for the six months ended December 31, 2025.Narrative Update • Mar 24
ALD: Future Returns Will Be Supported By Upcoming Dividend And Stable Payout Outlook
Analysts have nudged their Ampol valuation higher, with the fair value estimate moving from A$33.32 to A$33.72 as they factor in updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples. What's in the News Ampol declared an ordinary fully franked dividend of A$0.60 per share for the six months ended December 31, 2025, giving investors clarity on the upcoming payout schedule (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Mar 10
ALD: Future Returns Will Be Supported By Upcoming Dividend And Stable Margins
Ampol's analyst price target has edged down slightly from A$33.74 to A$33.32 as analysts update their assumptions on growth, margins and future P/E settings while keeping their overall view broadly intact. What's in the News Ampol declared an ordinary fully franked dividend of A$0.60 per share for the six months ended December 31, 2025, giving investors clarity on the latest half year cash return from the company (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Feb 20
ALD: Future Earnings Will Be Supported By Stable Margins And Undervalued Shares
Analysts have kept their A$33.74 price target for Ampol unchanged, with only minor tweaks to the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions behind the valuation. Valuation Changes Fair Value: unchanged at A$33.74 per share, indicating no shift in the core valuation output.Narrative Update • Feb 06
ALD: Future Earnings Will Be Supported By Stable Margins And Undervalued Shares
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Ampol to A$33.74 from A$34.22, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and a slightly higher discount rate, along with a modest adjustment to the expected future P/E multiple. Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate: trimmed from A$34.22 to A$33.74, a small reduction in the assessed upside for the shares.Narrative Update • Jan 22
ALD: Earnings Outlook Will Strengthen As Margins Support Undervalued Share Price
Analysts have nudged their Ampol fair value estimate slightly lower, from A$34.29 to A$34.22. This reflects updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples.Narrative Update • Jan 07
ALD: Fair Value Confidence Will Support Positive Long Term Earnings Outlook
Analysts have maintained their fair value estimate for Ampol at A$34.29, making only minor adjustments to the discount rate, long-term revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions to reflect updated modelling rather than a change in their overall view. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Kept unchanged at A$34.29 per share, indicating no shift in the central valuation outcome.Narrative Update • Dec 14
ALD: Future Earnings Outlook Will Remain Balanced Amid Slight Margin And Growth Assumption Shifts
Analysts have nudged their price target on Ampol slightly higher to approximately A$34.30 from about A$33.90, citing marginally improved profit margin expectations and a modestly lower discount rate, while also tempering long term revenue growth assumptions. Valuation Changes The fair value estimate has risen slightly to around A$34.29 from about A$33.90.Analysis Article • Dec 03
Investors Aren't Buying Ampol Limited's (ASX:ALD) Revenues
Ampol Limited's ( ASX:ALD ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x might make it look like a strong buy right now...Narrative Update • Nov 27
ALD: Future Earnings Outlook To Remain Balanced Amid Minor Model Adjustments
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Ampol from $33.50 to $33.90. This change reflects minor model adjustments and refined assumptions regarding discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and projected price-to-earnings ratios.Narrative Update • Nov 13
ALD: Interim Dividend Set For September Reflects Balanced Payout Approach
Analysts have raised their price target for Ampol from $33.39 to $33.50, reflecting increased optimism about the company's stronger projected revenue growth, even though there is a slight decline in profit margin expectations. What's in the News Ampol's board declared an interim ordinary dividend of 40 cents per share, fully franked, for the first half of 2025 (Key Developments) This dividend represents a payout ratio of 53%, which aligns with Ampol's policy of paying out 50% to 70% of underlying RCOP net profit after tax (Key Developments) The 2025 interim dividend is lower compared to the 60 cents per share paid for the 2024 interim dividend (Key Developments) The record date for the interim dividend is September 1, 2025, with payment scheduled for September 25, 2025; the ex-date is August 29, 2025 (Key Developments) Valuation Changes Consensus Analyst Price Target increased marginally from A$33.39 to A$33.50 Discount Rate decreased from 6.98% to 6.70% Revenue Growth forecast rose significantly from 1.16% to 2.51% Net Profit Margin expectation edged down from 1.95% to 1.86% Future P/E ratio remained stable, changing slightly from 15.09x to 15.12xAnalysis Article • Nov 07
Returns Are Gaining Momentum At Ampol (ASX:ALD)
If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for...Narrative Update • Oct 30
ALD: Recent Acquisitions Will Drive Cost Synergies Despite Integration Risks Ahead
Ampol's analyst price target has been raised from ARS 32.65 to ARS 33.39, with analysts citing improved earnings visibility and cost synergy opportunities following the acquisition of EG Australia as key drivers for the upward revision. Analyst Commentary Recent street research indicates a shift in sentiment among market observers, with the price target for Ampol seeing notable upward revisions.Analysis Article • Oct 15
Ampol (ASX:ALD) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...Analysis Article • Aug 20
Ampol's (ASX:ALD) Dividend Will Be A$0.40
Ampol Limited ( ASX:ALD ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of A$0.40 per share on the 25th of September. This...Narrative Update • Aug 19
Lytton Refinery Upgrade And EV Expansion Will Meet Future Cleaner Energy Demands
Analysts have raised Ampol’s price target from A$31.05 to A$32.69, reflecting optimism over the accretive EG Australia acquisition, anticipated cost synergies, and the potential for earnings improvement as integration benefits are realized. Analyst Commentary The acquisition of EG Australia provides high earnings visibility.Analysis Article • Aug 14
Ampol Limited's (ASX:ALD) Low P/S No Reason For Excitement
ASX:ALD 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Ampol's Fair Values from the Community and select yours Ampol...
New Narrative • Feb 09
Investments In Low-Sulfur Fuels And EV Charging Will Expand Offerings, But Project Risks May Affect Future Margins
Investment in renewable fuels and EV infrastructure aims to drive revenue growth and enhance competitive position in low-carbon transport markets.Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
How Ampol makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.
Earnings and Revenue History
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec 25 | 31,366 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 25 | 31,647 | -28 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 25 | 31,929 | -138 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 25 | 33,403 | -8 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 24 | 34,878 | 123 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 24 | 36,212 | 414 | -459 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 24 | 37,546 | 705 | -918 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 24 | 37,648 | 627 | -459 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 23 | 37,749 | 549 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 23 | 38,677 | 340 | 937 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 23 | 39,605 | 130 | 1,875 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 23 | 39,048 | 429 | 1,796 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 22 | 38,492 | 728 | 1,716 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 22 | 33,626 | 810 | 1,565 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 22 | 28,760 | 892 | 1,414 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 22 | 24,821 | 706 | 1,359 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 21 | 20,883 | 521 | 1,304 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 21 | 18,847 | 484 | 1,333 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 21 | 16,812 | 447 | 1,361 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 21 | 16,111 | -19 | 1,412 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 20 | 15,409 | -485 | 1,462 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 20 | 17,730 | -442 | 1,442 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 20 | 20,051 | -399 | 1,422 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 20 | 21,179 | -8 | 1,376 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 19 | 22,307 | 383 | 1,330 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 19 | 22,081 | 358 | 1,325 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 19 | 21,854 | 333 | 1,320 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 19 | 21,793 | 447 | 1,303 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 18 | 21,731 | 560 | 1,285 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 18 | 20,290 | 649 | 1,247 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 18 | 18,848 | 737 | 1,208 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 18 | 17,567 | 678 | 1,179 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 17 | 16,286 | 619 | 1,150 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 17 | 16,697 | 588 | 1,126 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 17 | 17,107 | 556 | 1,103 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 17 | 17,520 | 583 | 1,079 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 16 | 17,933 | 610 | 1,056 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 16 | 18,285 | 537 | 1,046 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 16 | 18,636 | 465 | 1,036 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 16 | 19,281 | 493 | 1,055 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 15 | 19,927 | 522 | 1,074 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 15 | 20,563 | 377 | 1,127 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 15 | 21,199 | 232 | 1,180 | 0 |
Quality Earnings: ALD has a large one-off loss of A$115.0M impacting its last 12 months of financial results to 31st December, 2025.
Growing Profit Margin: ALD's current net profit margins (0.3%) are lower than last year (0.4%).
Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: ALD has become profitable over the past 5 years, growing earnings by -10.2% per year.
Accelerating Growth: ALD's has had negative earnings growth over the past year, so it can't be compared to its 5-year average.
Earnings vs Industry: ALD had negative earnings growth (-32.7%) over the past year, making it difficult to compare to the Oil and Gas industry average (-23.9%).
Return on Equity
High ROE: ALD's Return on Equity (4%) is considered low.
Return on Assets
Return on Capital Employed
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/06/19 16:11 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/06/19 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Ampol Limited is covered by 17 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Dale Koenders | Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited |
| Chris Savage | Bell Potter |
| David Errington | BofA Global Research |