Ampol Limited

ASX:ALD Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$6.3b

Ampol Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Ampol's revenue is forecast to decline at 2.2% per annum while its annual earnings are expected to grow at 27.8% per year. EPS is expected to grow by 26.8% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 16.1% in 3 years.

Key information

27.8%

Earnings growth rate

26.77%

EPS growth rate

Oil and Gas earnings growth0.4%
Revenue growth rate-2.2%
Future return on equity16.10%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated14 May 2025

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Ampol Limited's (ASX:ALD) CEO Might Not Expect Shareholders To Be So Generous This Year

May 08
Ampol Limited's (ASX:ALD) CEO Might Not Expect Shareholders To Be So Generous This Year

Ampol (ASX:ALD) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

Apr 20
Ampol (ASX:ALD) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

Investors Aren't Buying Ampol Limited's (ASX:ALD) Revenues

Apr 02
Investors Aren't Buying Ampol Limited's (ASX:ALD) Revenues
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Investments In Low-Sulfur Fuels And EV Charging Will Expand Offerings, But Project Risks May Affect Future Margins

Feb 09 Investment in renewable fuels and EV infrastructure aims to drive revenue growth and enhance competitive position in low-carbon transport markets.

Returns At Ampol (ASX:ALD) Are On The Way Up

Dec 04
Returns At Ampol (ASX:ALD) Are On The Way Up

Does Ampol (ASX:ALD) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Sep 19
Does Ampol (ASX:ALD) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

There's No Escaping Ampol Limited's (ASX:ALD) Muted Earnings

May 03
There's No Escaping Ampol Limited's (ASX:ALD) Muted Earnings

Ampol (ASX:ALD) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

Mar 12
Ampol (ASX:ALD) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

Is Ampol Limited (ASX:ALD) Trading At A 23% Discount?

Feb 18
Is Ampol Limited (ASX:ALD) Trading At A 23% Discount?

Ampol (ASX:ALD) Will Want To Turn Around Its Return Trends

Jan 31
Ampol (ASX:ALD) Will Want To Turn Around Its Return Trends

A Look At The Fair Value Of Ampol Limited (ASX:ALD)

Nov 08
A Look At The Fair Value Of Ampol Limited (ASX:ALD)

Ampol (ASX:ALD) Might Be Having Difficulty Using Its Capital Effectively

Oct 23
Ampol (ASX:ALD) Might Be Having Difficulty Using Its Capital Effectively

Is Ampol (ASX:ALD) A Risky Investment?

Oct 05
Is Ampol (ASX:ALD) A Risky Investment?

Ampol's (ASX:ALD) Dividend Is Being Reduced To A$0.95

Aug 29
Ampol's (ASX:ALD) Dividend Is Being Reduced To A$0.95

Do Ampol's (ASX:ALD) Earnings Warrant Your Attention?

Aug 20
Do Ampol's (ASX:ALD) Earnings Warrant Your Attention?

Is Now The Time To Put Ampol (ASX:ALD) On Your Watchlist?

May 17
Is Now The Time To Put Ampol (ASX:ALD) On Your Watchlist?

Ampol (ASX:ALD) Will Want To Turn Around Its Return Trends

Apr 18
Ampol (ASX:ALD) Will Want To Turn Around Its Return Trends

These 4 Measures Indicate That Ampol (ASX:ALD) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

Mar 15
These 4 Measures Indicate That Ampol (ASX:ALD) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

Ampol (ASX:ALD) Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last Year

Feb 22
Ampol (ASX:ALD) Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last Year

With EPS Growth And More, Ampol (ASX:ALD) Makes An Interesting Case

Jan 24
With EPS Growth And More, Ampol (ASX:ALD) Makes An Interesting Case

A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of Ampol Limited (ASX:ALD)

Dec 08
A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of Ampol Limited (ASX:ALD)

Investors Shouldn't Overlook The Favourable Returns On Capital At Ampol (ASX:ALD)

Oct 30
Investors Shouldn't Overlook The Favourable Returns On Capital At Ampol (ASX:ALD)

Here's Why Ampol (ASX:ALD) Has Caught The Eye Of Investors

Oct 14
Here's Why Ampol (ASX:ALD) Has Caught The Eye Of Investors

Does Ampol (ASX:ALD) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Sep 19
Does Ampol (ASX:ALD) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of Ampol Limited (ASX:ALD)

Sep 07
A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of Ampol Limited (ASX:ALD)

Ampol's (ASX:ALD) Dividend Will Be Increased To A$1.20

Aug 26
Ampol's (ASX:ALD) Dividend Will Be Increased To A$1.20

Returns On Capital At Ampol (ASX:ALD) Paint A Concerning Picture

Jul 15
Returns On Capital At Ampol (ASX:ALD) Paint A Concerning Picture

Is There An Opportunity With Ampol Limited's (ASX:ALD) 30% Undervaluation?

Jun 05
Is There An Opportunity With Ampol Limited's (ASX:ALD) 30% Undervaluation?

Is Ampol (ASX:ALD) Using Too Much Debt?

May 19
Is Ampol (ASX:ALD) Using Too Much Debt?

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

ASX:ALD - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (AUD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/202732,9806357331,1677
12/31/202633,2185486811,0478
12/31/202532,7203784878248
12/31/202434,878123141915N/A
9/30/202436,2124143221,054N/A
6/30/202437,5467054961,187N/A
3/31/202437,6486277261,350N/A
12/31/202337,7495499611,518N/A
9/30/202338,6773409631,463N/A
6/30/202339,6051309641,408N/A
3/31/202339,0484297331,159N/A
12/31/202238,492728502909N/A
9/30/202233,626810N/AN/AN/A
6/30/202228,760892264626N/A
3/31/202224,821706287630N/A
12/31/202120,883521310635N/A
9/30/202118,847484N/AN/AN/A
6/30/202116,812447318542N/A
3/31/202116,111-19179405N/A
12/31/202015,409-48541268N/A
9/30/202017,730-442141387N/A
6/30/202020,051-399242506N/A
3/31/202021,179-8403675N/A
12/31/201922,307383564844N/A
9/30/201922,081358479786N/A
6/30/201921,854333395728N/A
3/31/201921,793447319662N/A
12/31/201821,731560244597N/A
9/30/201820,290649N/AN/AN/A
6/30/201818,848737N/A778N/A
3/31/201817,567678N/A757N/A
12/31/201716,286619N/A735N/A
9/30/201716,697588N/AN/AN/A
6/30/201717,107556N/A700N/A
3/31/201717,520583N/A814N/A
12/31/201617,933610N/A928N/A
9/30/201618,285537N/A975N/A
6/30/201618,636465N/A1,021N/A
3/31/201619,281493N/A953N/A
12/31/201519,927522N/A885N/A
9/30/201520,563377N/A765N/A
6/30/201521,199232N/A646N/A
3/31/201522,715126N/A654N/A
12/31/201424,23120N/A662N/A
9/30/201425,092259N/A615N/A
6/30/201425,953498N/A569N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: ALD's forecast earnings growth (27.8% per year) is above the savings rate (2.7%).

Earnings vs Market: ALD's earnings (27.8% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the Australian market (11.6% per year).

High Growth Earnings: ALD's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: ALD's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-2.2% per year).

High Growth Revenue: ALD's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-2.2% per year).

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: ALD's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (16.1%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/05/16 14:00
End of Day Share Price 2025/05/16 00:00
Earnings2024/12/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Ampol Limited is covered by 20 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Dale KoendersBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Chris SavageBell Potter
David ErringtonBofA Global Research