Adairs Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Adairs is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 15% and 5.9% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 14.4% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 19.5% in 3 years.

Key information

15.0%

Earnings growth rate

14.4%

EPS growth rate

Specialty Retail earnings growth	8.6%
Revenue growth rate	5.9%
Future return on equity	19.5%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	25 Nov 2024

Recent future growth updates

Adairs Limited Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

Aug 30

AU$2.15 - That's What Analysts Think Adairs Limited (ASX:ADH) Is Worth After These Results

Feb 27

Recent updates

Further Upside For Adairs Limited (ASX:ADH) Shares Could Introduce Price Risks After 37% Bounce

Oct 16

Improved Earnings Required Before Adairs Limited (ASX:ADH) Stock's 34% Jump Looks Justified

Mar 12

AU$2.15 - That's What Analysts Think Adairs Limited (ASX:ADH) Is Worth After These Results

Feb 27

Investors Don't See Light At End Of Adairs Limited's (ASX:ADH) Tunnel

Jan 19

When Should You Buy Adairs Limited (ASX:ADH)?

Oct 19

Is Adairs Limited (ASX:ADH) Potentially Undervalued?

May 24

Adairs (ASX:ADH) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of A$0.08

Feb 22

When Should You Buy Adairs Limited (ASX:ADH)?

Feb 08

What Does Adairs Limited's (ASX:ADH) Share Price Indicate?

Oct 07

Adairs (ASX:ADH) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

Sep 16

Adairs (ASX:ADH) Has Announced A Dividend Of A$0.10

Aug 24

What Is Adairs Limited's (ASX:ADH) Share Price Doing?

Jun 09

Adairs' (ASX:ADH) Dividend Is Being Reduced To AU$0.08

Feb 23

Does Adairs (ASX:ADH) Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?

Jan 24

It Looks Like Shareholders Would Probably Approve Adairs Limited's (ASX:ADH) CEO Compensation Package

Oct 13

Adairs' (ASX:ADH) Dividend Is Being Reduced To AU$0.10

Aug 22

Here's Why We Think Adairs (ASX:ADH) Is Well Worth Watching

May 11

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

ASX:ADH - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (AUD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
6/30/2027	711	53	79	120	8
6/30/2026	668	48	73	112	8
6/30/2025	620	39	66	100	8
6/30/2024	594	31	66	94	N/A
3/31/2024	597	32	76	103	N/A
12/31/2023	600	34	85	113	N/A
9/30/2023	610	36	90	111	N/A
6/25/2023	621	38	96	108	N/A
3/25/2023	634	43	87	99	N/A
12/25/2022	647	49	78	89	N/A
9/25/2022	606	47	65	75	N/A
6/26/2022	564	45	52	61	N/A
3/26/2022	532	41	62	73	N/A
12/26/2021	499	37	72	85	N/A
9/26/2021	499	51	89	101	N/A
6/27/2021	500	64	106	117	N/A
3/27/2021	476	65	111	120	N/A
12/27/2020	452	66	116	124	N/A
9/27/2020	420	51	103	110	N/A
6/28/2020	389	35	90	97	N/A
3/28/2020	375	32	68	75	N/A
12/29/2019	360	28	46	53	N/A
9/29/2019	352	29	37	44	N/A
6/30/2019	344	30	28	35	N/A
3/31/2019	337	31	29	36	N/A
12/30/2018	330	32	29	37	N/A
9/30/2018	322	31	31	38	N/A
7/1/2018	315	31	32	39	N/A
4/1/2018	302	28	N/A	38	N/A
12/31/2017	289	26	N/A	37	N/A
9/30/2017	277	24	N/A	32	N/A
7/2/2017	265	21	N/A	28	N/A
4/2/2017	262	22	N/A	30	N/A
1/1/2017	260	22	N/A	32	N/A
10/1/2016	257	25	N/A	28	N/A
7/3/2016	253	27	N/A	24	N/A
12/27/2015	232	12	N/A	34	N/A
9/27/2015	221	8	N/A	33	N/A
6/28/2015	211	3	N/A	32	N/A
12/28/2014	185	6	N/A	16	N/A
9/28/2014	177	7	N/A	21	N/A
6/29/2014	168	7	N/A	26	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: ADH's forecast earnings growth (15% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: ADH's earnings (15% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the Australian market (12.5% per year).

High Growth Earnings: ADH's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: ADH's revenue (5.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the Australian market (5.9% per year).

High Growth Revenue: ADH's revenue (5.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: ADH's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (19.5%).

Discover growth companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2025/01/15 07:50
End of Day Share Price	2025/01/15 00:00
Earnings	2024/06/30
Annual Earnings	2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Adairs Limited is covered by 12 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Aryan Norozi	Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Chamithri Ratnapala	Bell Potter
Allan Franklin	Canaccord Genuity

Adairs Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Adairs Limited Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 12%

Price target decreased by 14% to AU$2.09

Price target increased by 16% to AU$2.46

AU$2.15 - That's What Analysts Think Adairs Limited (ASX:ADH) Is Worth After These Results

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 27%

Recent updates

MD, CEO & Executive Director exercised options and sold AU$104k worth of stock

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16%

Further Upside For Adairs Limited (ASX:ADH) Shares Could Introduce Price Risks After 37% Bounce

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 17%

Interim Non-Executive Independent Chair recently bought AU$184k worth of stock

Adairs Limited Announces Board and Committee Changes

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.07 per share

We Think You Can Look Beyond Adairs' (ASX:ADH) Lackluster Earnings

Adairs Limited Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 18%

Full year 2024 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 12%

Price target decreased by 14% to AU$2.09

Adairs Limited, Annual General Meeting, Oct 25, 2024

Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine Adairs Limited (ASX:ADH)?

Adairs Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2024 Results on Aug 28, 2024

Price target increased by 16% to AU$2.46

MD, CEO & Executive Director exercised options to buy AU$167k worth of stock.

These 4 Measures Indicate That Adairs (ASX:ADH) Is Using Debt Extensively

Independent Non-Executive Director recently sold AU$613k worth of stock

Improved Earnings Required Before Adairs Limited (ASX:ADH) Stock's 34% Jump Looks Justified

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.05 per share

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 30%

Dividend of AU$0.05 announced

AU$2.15 - That's What Analysts Think Adairs Limited (ASX:ADH) Is Worth After These Results

First half 2024 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.10 (vs AU$0.13 in 1H 2023)

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 27%

Investors Don't See Light At End Of Adairs Limited's (ASX:ADH) Tunnel

Insufficient new directors

Adairs Limited to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Feb 26, 2024

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 22%

Adairs Limited Announces Executive Appointments

When Should You Buy Adairs Limited (ASX:ADH)?

Adairs Limited, Annual General Meeting, Nov 24, 2023

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

Adairs Limited Announces Michael Cherubino to Step Down as A Director

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 17%

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

Price target decreased by 7.2% to AU$1.71

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 17%

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 28%

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 12%

Adairs Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Aug 21, 2023

Price target decreased by 14% to AU$2.33

Price target decreased by 7.1% to AU$2.67

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 17%

Is Adairs Limited (ASX:ADH) Potentially Undervalued?

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.08 per share at 7.8% yield

Adairs (ASX:ADH) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of A$0.08

First half 2023 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.13 (vs AU$0.10 in 1H 2022)

Adairs Limited Declares Interim Fully Franked Dividend, Payable on 6 April 2023

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 17%

When Should You Buy Adairs Limited (ASX:ADH)?

Adairs Limited to Report First Half, 2023 Results on Feb 20, 2023

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

What Does Adairs Limited's (ASX:ADH) Share Price Indicate?

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Adairs (ASX:ADH) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.10 per share

Adairs (ASX:ADH) Has Announced A Dividend Of A$0.10

Price target decreased to AU$3.04

Full year 2022 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.26 (vs AU$0.38 in FY 2021)

Adairs Limited Declares Ordinary Fully Paid Distribution for the Period of Six Months Ended June 26, 2022, Payable on September 22, 2022

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

Adairs Limited, Annual General Meeting, Oct 21, 2022

Adairs Limited to Report Second Half, 2022 Results on Aug 22, 2022

Price target decreased to AU$3.43

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Less than half of directors are independent