PostNL N.V.

ENXTAM:PNL Stock Report

Market Cap: €522.9m

PostNL Valuation

Is PNL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PNL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

€3.35
Fair Value
69.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
5
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: PNL (€1.03) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€3.35)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PNL is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PNL?

Key metric: As PNL is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for PNL. This is calculated by dividing PNL's market cap by their current revenue.
What is PNL's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.2x
Sales€3.28b
Market Cap€522.92m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does PNL's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for PNL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.2x
FERGR Ferrari Group
2.1x6.61%€762.4m
INPST InPost
1.8x16.40%€5.2b
TVSSCS TVS Supply Chain Solutions
0.6x10.80%₹55.7b
BPOST bpost/SA
0.1x2.09%€442.0m
PNL PostNL
0.2x2.85%€522.9m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: PNL is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the peer average (1.2x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does PNL's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Logistics Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
PNL 0.2xIndustry Avg. 0.8xNo. of Companies8PS00.40.81.21.62+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: PNL is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the European Logistics industry average (0.8x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PNL's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PNL PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.2x
Fair PS Ratio0.3x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: PNL is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PNL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€1.03
€1.01
-1.75%
13.43%€1.20€0.80n/a5
Sep ’26€0.96
€0.97
+0.83%
13.68%€1.20€0.80n/a5
Aug ’26€0.93
€0.96
+3.77%
14.59%€1.20€0.77n/a5
Jul ’26€0.95
€0.96
+1.00%
14.59%€1.20€0.77n/a5
Jun ’26€0.96
€0.96
+0.84%
14.59%€1.20€0.77n/a5
May ’26€0.90
€1.01
+12.19%
12.96%€1.20€0.84n/a5
Apr ’26€0.99
€0.98
-1.50%
14.16%€1.20€0.82n/a6
Mar ’26€1.01
€0.98
-3.01%
14.16%€1.20€0.82n/a6
Feb ’26€0.98
€1.06
+8.01%
16.41%€1.40€0.84n/a7
Jan ’26€1.04
€1.10
+5.57%
14.19%€1.40€0.90n/a8
Dec ’25€1.04
€1.10
+6.28%
14.19%€1.40€0.90n/a8
Nov ’25€1.10
€1.17
+6.44%
10.68%€1.40€1.00n/a8
Oct ’25€1.24
€1.26
+2.23%
15.69%€1.65€1.00€1.038
Sep ’25€1.24
€1.26
+1.73%
15.69%€1.65€1.00€0.968
Aug ’25€1.34
€1.26
-5.90%
16.22%€1.65€1.00€0.938
Jul ’25€1.29
€1.29
+0.19%
15.26%€1.65€1.00€0.958
Jun ’25€1.33
€1.24
-6.20%
11.45%€1.40€1.00€0.968
May ’25€1.27
€1.34
+6.06%
9.23%€1.50€1.10€0.906
Apr ’25€1.26
€1.34
+6.31%
9.23%€1.50€1.10€0.996
Mar ’25€1.28
€1.39
+8.51%
9.19%€1.50€1.10€1.017
Feb ’25€1.33
€1.57
+17.98%
12.71%€1.90€1.30€0.987
Jan ’25€1.41
€1.61
+14.12%
10.71%€1.90€1.40€1.048
Dec ’24€1.48
€1.74
+17.62%
18.83%€2.50€1.40€1.048
Nov ’24€1.73
€1.93
+11.79%
15.69%€2.50€1.40€1.108
Oct ’24€2.02
€1.93
-4.30%
15.69%€2.50€1.40€1.248
€1.01
Fair Value
1.8% overvalued intrinsic discount
5
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/10/01 23:55
End of Day Share Price 2025/10/01 00:00
Earnings2025/06/28
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

PostNL N.V. is covered by 33 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Maarten BakkerABN AMRO Bank N.V.
Marco LimiteBarclays
Susanna InvernizziBarclays