bpost/SA Valuation

Is BPOST undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BPOST when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
€3.98
Fair Value
61.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
6
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: BPOST (€1.53) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€3.98)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BPOST is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BPOST?

Key metric: As BPOST is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for BPOST. This is calculated by dividing BPOST's market cap by their current revenue.
What is BPOST's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.07x
Sales€4.34b
Market Cap€305.20m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does BPOST's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for BPOST vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.5x
0.03xn/a€73.0m
9304 Shibusawa Logistics
0.6xn/aJP¥48.4b
JYD Jayud Global Logistics
4.6xn/aUS$371.1m
KSC K&S
0.6xn/aAU$495.4m
BPOST bpost/SA
0.07x4.2%€305.2m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: BPOST is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the peer average (1.5x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does BPOST's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Logistics Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.0.7x6.3%
BPOST bpost/SA
0.07x4.2%US$332.61m
BPOST 0.1xIndustry Avg. 0.7xNo. of Companies8PS00.40.81.21.62+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.0.7x14.4%
BPOST bpost/SA
0.07x98.7%US$332.61m
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: BPOST is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the European Logistics industry average (0.7x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BPOST's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BPOST PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.07x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate BPOST's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BPOST forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€1.53
€2.48
+62.4%
47.6%€5.00€1.50n/a6
Mar ’26€1.52
€2.68
+76.3%
39.3%€5.00€2.00n/a6
Feb ’26€1.86
€2.81
+50.6%
33.6%€5.00€2.10n/a7
Jan ’26€1.97
€2.98
+51.0%
29.0%€5.00€2.10n/a8
Dec ’25€1.90
€3.03
+59.5%
27.6%€5.00€2.10n/a8
Nov ’25€2.38
€3.09
+29.7%
25.3%€5.00€2.55n/a8
Oct ’25€2.54
€3.48
+36.8%
26.4%€5.00€2.55n/a8
Sep ’25€2.56
€3.63
+41.8%
23.4%€5.00€2.75n/a8
Aug ’25€2.62
€3.75
+43.1%
20.4%€5.00€3.00n/a8
Jul ’25€3.11
€4.25
+36.7%
26.6%€6.90€3.30n/a8
Jun ’25€3.35
€4.25
+27.1%
26.6%€6.90€3.30n/a8
May ’25€3.70
€4.37
+18.3%
26.8%€6.90€3.20n/a7
Apr ’25€3.46
€4.37
+26.2%
26.8%€6.90€3.20n/a7
Mar ’25€3.65
€4.63
+26.9%
21.5%€6.90€3.50€1.529
Feb ’25€3.75
€5.08
+35.6%
23.0%€7.00€3.50€1.869
Jan ’25€4.66
€5.32
+14.0%
17.9%€7.00€4.00€1.979
Dec ’24€4.69
€5.32
+13.3%
17.9%€7.00€4.00€1.909
Nov ’24€5.11
€5.22
+2.2%
19.1%€7.00€4.00€2.389
Oct ’24€5.19
€5.09
-1.7%
20.5%€7.00€4.00€2.549
Sep ’24€4.37
€4.61
+5.3%
18.8%€7.00€4.00€2.569
Aug ’24€4.33
€4.79
+10.7%
21.2%€7.00€4.00€2.627
Jul ’24€4.02
€4.81
+19.6%
20.9%€7.00€4.00€3.117
Jun ’24€3.95
€4.99
+26.3%
19.4%€7.00€4.00€3.357
May ’24€4.46
€5.47
+22.7%
18.2%€7.00€4.00€3.707
Apr ’24€5.25
€6.09
+16.0%
9.0%€7.00€5.30€3.467
Mar ’24€5.05
€6.09
+20.5%
9.0%€7.00€5.30€3.657
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 6 Analysts
€2.48
Fair Value
38.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
6
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


Discover undervalued companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/03/19 03:46
End of Day Share Price 2025/03/19 00:00
Earnings2024/12/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

bpost NV/SA is covered by 22 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Robert Jan VosABN AMRO Bank N.V.
Marco LimiteBarclays
William Fitzalan HowardBerenberg