Keeping the music on! Endlessly curious about markets & finance! A keen observer from a silent corner in the world. Only thing I want to remind myself daily - "Markets can remain irrational, longer than you can remain solvent"
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EU#8 - Anheuser-Busch InBev: Courage, Capital, and the Discipline to Build an Empire
EU#8 - Anheuser-Busch InBev: Courage, Capital, and the Discipline to Build an Empire It takes only three ingredients to brew beer: water, barley, and hops. But building a global beer empire is different.Read more
Sustainable Dominance: Justifying a $270 Fair Value
Catalysts The Rubin Supercycle : The successful shipment of Vera Rubin systems in late 2026—offering up to 10x better performance per watt —ensures that competitors cannot erode market share. This keeps hardware demand "off the charts".Read more
NVIDIA Is the Best Business in America. That Doesn't Mean You Should Buy It.
NVIDIA closed fiscal 2026 with $96.6 billion in free cash flow, $54.1 billion of net cash on the balance sheet, and 71% gross margins. The crowd is looking for the right moment to sell.Read more
Strategic Expansion Meets Valuation Reality at $23
Balancing High-Growth Potential with Capital Dilution Intuitive Machines (LUNR) has successfully shifted from a high-risk startup to a Lunar Infrastructure Prime, backed by a $943M backlog and a strategic pivot toward high-margin data services via the Lanteris acquisition. While the trajectory toward positive Adjusted EBITDA in 2026 is clear, the current stock price reflects a "perfection premium" that overlooks recent share dilution.Read more
A baby being thrown out with the AI bathwater?
As a bargain hunter, I often find myself drawn to companies that have been heavily sold off, on the assumption that Mr Market may be acting irrationally and has overshot to the downside. HiTech Group Australia Limited may be one such case.Read more
From Copper Cable Specialist to Full-Spectrum AI Connectivity Platform
Key Takeaways • DustPhotonics acquisition (April 13, 2026) is a declaration of war on Marvell's core optical market. For $750M cash + earnout shares (~$1.3B total), Credo acquires silicon photonics PIC technology covering 400G, 800G, 1.6T, and a 3.2T roadmap.Read more
From AI Infrastructure Plumber to Full-Stack AI Factory Architect
Key Takeaways • Marvell is the only player simultaneously covering custom ASIC design, 1.6T optical DSP, silicon photonics (Celestial AI), and CXL switching — a full-stack moat no single competitor replicates today. • NVIDIA's $2B equity investment (March 31, 2026) into Marvell via NVLink Fusion is not a component deal — it is an ecosystem architecture deal.Read more
Deep Dive: Assessing the Sustainability of CRWV’s Compute-as-a-Service Model
Deep Dive: Assessing the Sustainability of CRWV’s Compute-as-a-Service Model I’ve been looking into the business model of CRWV and its reliance on high-leverage hardware acquisition. Here’s a breakdown of why the current trajectory might face significant structural headwinds compared to established players.Read more
The $135 Billion Bet That Should Make Every Shareholder Nervous
Zuckerberg Is Building a Railroad. The Question Is Whether Anyone Needs to Go Where It Leads.Read more