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US$395
FV
5.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
10.63%
Revenue growth p.a.
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US$30
FV
1.1k% overvalued intrinsic discount
-28.34%
Revenue growth p.a.
6.5k
users have viewed this narrative
29users have liked this narrative
10users have commented on this narrative
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US$1.48k
FV
37.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
18.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
2.6k
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US$381
10.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
Fair Value
Revenue
70.28% p.a.
Profit Margin
50%
Future PE
20x
Price in 2031
US$656.98
HK$200
40.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
Fair Value
Revenue
-24.81% p.a.
Profit Margin
12.26%
Future PE
17.68x
Price in 2030
HK$293.51
RM 0.13
76.9% overvalued intrinsic discount
Fair Value
Revenue
N/A
Profit Margin
0.9%
Future PE
149.08x
Price in 2031
RM 0.22
CRMD logo
CorMedix

CRMD is trading at 5.9x trough-year EBITDA with the market ascribing near-zero value to two near-term pipeline events

Investment Thesis DefenCath's regulatory moat (only FDA-approved antimicrobial CLS in the U.S., NCE+GAIN exclusivity through 2033, composition patent to 2042) is intact and the 72% real-world CRBSI reduction is standard-of-care quality data; the TDAPA pricing step-down is a commercial mechanics event, not a competitive displacement event The stock at $7.02 prices in approximately the bear case ($6.54), meaning investors are effectively receiving the REZZAYO prophylaxis Phase III binary and the DefenCath TPN pipeline for free — an unusual asymmetry for a cash-flow-positive commercial pharma company Operating cash flow of $175M in FY2025 and $148.5M in cash provides full self-funding of pipeline without dilution risk, and the $75M buyback at current prices represents management's explicit capital allocation conviction about intrinsic value The Melinta acquisition was well-priced ($30M goodwill on $391M identified intangibles) and adds an annualizing $130M+ revenue stream with shared call points that provide SG&A leverage as the combined platform scales Post-TDAPA recovery in 2027 (3x–5x higher add-on payment vs. H2 2026 per management, plus Medicare Advantage contracting upside not in guidance) provides a clearly identified catalyst path back to re-rating independent of pipeline success Risk Considerations ReSPECT Phase III failure (data Q2 2026) would eliminate ~$221M of base case rNPV, trigger impairment of the $143M IPR&D intangible, and likely reset the stock to the $5.60 52-week low or below — this is the primary binary risk and is near-term Customer concentration at 79% revenue from three accounts is structurally dangerous; any publicly announced reduction in DefenCath orders from a major dialysis organization would be a material negative event with little warning The Q4 GAAP EPS miss ($0.16 vs.Read more

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US$11
35.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
Fair Value
Revenue
36.4% p.a.
Profit Margin
51.99%
Future PE
3.42x
Price in 2031
US$15.41