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Alphabet
BL
BlackGoat
Community Contributor
Alphabet: The Under-appreciated Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight
Summary Google trades at ~18× forward earnings; the cheapest among the Magnificent 7 Market is too focused on AI threats to Search and antitrust noise Meanwhile, Google is executing across AI, Cloud, and YouTube Key AI differentiator: unmatched distribution across 3B+ users via Search, Gmail, YouTube, Android, Chrome, and Cloud Quietly building a world-class AI infrastructure behind the scenes; including proprietary TPUs and a vertically integrated stack YouTube generated $8.93B in Q1 ad revenue (up 10% YoY); subscriptions hit 270M Google Cloud revenue up 28% YoY to $12.3B; now profitable Optionality from long-term bets like Waymo, DeepMind, and Verily Risk/reward is compelling; a strong candidate to beat the market long term Overview Despite being part of the "Magnificent Seven," Google’s stock lags due to perceived risks around disruption of its Search business from AI competitors and mounting antitrust concerns. But under the hood, Google has quietly built one of the most compelling setups in tech: with deep AI leadership, multiple high-growth businesses, and optionality from long-term moonshots like Waymo.
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US$282.83
FV
32.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
19
users have liked this narrative
3
users have commented on this narrative
57
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
Planet Labs PBC
AN
andreas_eliades
Community Contributor
Planet Labs: At The Heart Of The Emerging New Space Boom
Planet Labs leads the EO market with the largest satellite constellation, poised to capitalize on the growing demand for Earth Observation and geospatial data from companies and governments. Plunging space launch and GPU computation costs combined with advancements in CubeSat and AI technologies are boosting the utility of Earth Observation data.
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US$11.31
FV
45.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
30.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
18
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
61
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New
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Exxon Mobil
AG
Agricola
Community Contributor
Exxon in Guyana 5 year forecast Low $135 to High $189
Previous mistake rectified. So as pointed out in the comments, Chevron won the Hess bid (rather than Exxon) and took a large portion of the Stabroek block.
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US$174.00
FV
37.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
12.97%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
3
users have liked this narrative
4
users have commented on this narrative
15
users have followed this narrative
Updated
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Imperial Brands
AN
AnalystHighTarget
Consensus Narrative from 12 Analysts
Emerging Urbanization And Next-Generation Tobacco Options Will Reshape The Industry
Key Takeaways Premium brand focus, resilient portfolio, and geographic expansion position Imperial to outperform peers in both revenue growth and market share, even in challenging environments. Enhanced capital efficiency through ongoing buybacks, dividends, and leverage reduction is expected to drive higher shareholder returns and possible valuation gains.
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UK£39.00
FV
24.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
-21.53%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
2
users have followed this narrative
10 days ago
author updated this narrative
Nokia Oyj
AN
AnalystHighTarget
Consensus Narrative from 22 Analysts
Global Digitalization, IoT And 5G Will Redefine Network Infrastructure
Key Takeaways Expansion into AI-driven data centers and high-growth markets positions Nokia for accelerated revenue growth, margin expansion, and increased market share. Leadership in energy-efficient networks, 5G/6G innovation, and robust intellectual property underpins recurring growth, resilient earnings, and enhanced cash flow.
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€5.85
FV
40.7% undervalued
intrinsic discount
6.06%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
10 days ago
author updated this narrative
Banco do Brasil
AN
AnalystHighTarget
Consensus Narrative from 13 Analysts
Brazil Digital Transformation And Financial Inclusion Will Reshape Markets
Key Takeaways Rapid digital adoption and AI-driven credit analysis enable superior client engagement, operational efficiencies, and potential revenue growth well above analyst expectations. Expanding financial inclusion, market consolidation, and cross-selling strategies position the bank for sustained growth, higher margins, diversified earnings, and increased market power.
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R$39.00
FV
52.9% undervalued
intrinsic discount
14.11%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
10 days ago
author updated this narrative
Bayer
AN
AnalystHighTarget
Consensus Narrative from 19 Analysts
Digital Farming And Pharma Will Thrive Amid Urbanization
Key Takeaways Early EBIT margin gains from restructuring and digital farming could drive stronger-than-expected earnings and recurring revenue expansion in Crop Science. Accelerated pharmaceutical growth and portfolio innovation, including pipeline breakthroughs, could materially boost top-line and long-term net income.
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€38.76
FV
27.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
2.04%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
3
users have followed this narrative
10 days ago
author updated this narrative
China Unicom (Hong Kong)
AN
AnalystHighTarget
Consensus Narrative from 13 Analysts
5G And Cloud Trends Will Fuel Sustainable Digital Expansion
Key Takeaways Accelerated 5G and AI-driven service expansion, along with aggressive international growth, position China Unicom for stronger revenue and profit gains than competitors. Structural cost reductions and rising digital revenue streams enable sustainable margin improvement, with enhanced earnings visibility and potential for higher shareholder returns.
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HK$13.74
FV
29.9% undervalued
intrinsic discount
4.72%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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10 days ago
author updated this narrative
Publicis Groupe
AN
AnalystHighTarget
Consensus Narrative from 13 Analysts
AI Integration And Connected Media Will Unlock New Opportunities
Key Takeaways AI investments and proprietary data integration are driving platform efficiency, automation, and premium digital services, creating sustained margin improvement and a competitive advantage. Accelerated growth in Connected Media and strong global client retention are setting up resilient, above-industry revenue expansion as digital ad spend rises and new channels emerge.
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€133.00
FV
40.1% undervalued
intrinsic discount
-1.20%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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10 days ago
author updated this narrative
ASM International
AN
AnalystHighTarget
Consensus Narrative from 20 Analysts
AI And Next Generation Nodes Will Expand Deposition Markets
Key Takeaways Rapid adoption of advanced semiconductor nodes and growing complexity in memory architectures are significantly expanding ASM's revenue and margin opportunities beyond market expectations. Continued innovation and diversification across customers and technology platforms are driving recurring, high-margin revenues, supporting long-term growth and resilience amid industry cycles.
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€760.00
FV
45.2% undervalued
intrinsic discount
19.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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10 days ago
author updated this narrative
Biogen
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 30 Analysts
Rising Biosimilar Competition Will Erode Legacy Revenues
Key Takeaways Escalating competition and regulatory pressures threaten margins and revenue growth, especially for legacy neurology products and premium-priced therapies. Heavy reliance on a limited neurology pipeline magnifies risks tied to clinical outcomes and increased challenges from larger pharmaceutical rivals.
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US$115.00
FV
14.7% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-5.23%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
10 days ago
author updated this narrative
Johnson Controls International
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 20 Analysts
Rising Geopolitical Risks And Mature Markets Will Curtail Prospects
Key Takeaways Overreliance on mature markets and slow expansion into high-growth regions constrains top-line growth and threatens long-term market share. Competitive threats, rising costs, and shrinking demand for building solutions are set to erode margins and limit the effectiveness of their recurring revenue strategy.
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US$82.49
FV
29.1% overvalued
intrinsic discount
3.50%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
10 days ago
author updated this narrative
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