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Global Weekly Picks
Airbnb
TI
TickerTickle
Community Contributor
Airbnb (ABNB): Still one of the most interesting bets in travel
Key insights Airbnb is changing from a travel-only app to a full lifestyle platform (stays, rentals, experiences) International markets are growing faster than the US, which is slowing down Product experience is improving a lot, with AI making search and booking easier Regulations are becoming a big risk, especially in Europe where listings are getting removed The way people move around the world has changed. It’s not only about holidays anymore.
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US$163.75
FV
23.6% undervalued
intrinsic discount
12.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
11
users have liked this narrative
2
users have commented on this narrative
41
users have followed this narrative
New
narrative
ING Groep
PI
PittTheYounger
Community Contributor
ING leads the pack when it comes to pivoting towards non-lending income
ING, of course, is a bank; and banks don't like falling interest rates, right? For the dominant stream of income is their core business model, i.e. borrowing short-term and lending long-term, reaping the difference in interest rates in the process.
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€27.92
FV
23.7% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
5
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
14
users have followed this narrative
New
narrative
Coles Group
RO
Robbo
Community Contributor
Coles (ASX: COL): Safe, Steady, and Surprisingly Cheap
The supermarket chain Coles is the kind of “boring” business that may have been overlooked as an investment opportunity. Although it was divested from Wesfarmers in 2018, Coles’ heritage traces back to 1914 — giving it over 110 years of history.
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AU$22.00
FV
4.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
8.72%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
5
users have liked this narrative
2
users have commented on this narrative
15
users have followed this narrative
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Carlyle Group
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 15 Analysts
Rising Rates And Regulatory Costs Will Undercut Fee Streams
Key Takeaways Rising interest rates, inflation, and regulatory scrutiny threaten Carlyle's profitability by raising costs and pressuring fees, despite strong current earnings and asset growth. Increased competition and shifting investor demand toward passive and ESG strategies could erode management fees and limit long-term asset and revenue growth.
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US$50.00
FV
27.7% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-4.75%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
6 days ago
author updated this narrative
First Solar
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 30 Analysts
Rising Section 232 Tariffs And Disruptions Will Erode Solar Prospects
Key Takeaways Rising trade barriers, supply chain disruptions, and concentrated market exposure risk eroding margins and destabilizing revenue predictability. Intensifying competition and rapid technological advances threaten First Solar's product relevance, pricing power, and long-term market share.
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US$140.93
FV
41.8% overvalued
intrinsic discount
9.08%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
4
users have followed this narrative
6 days ago
author updated this narrative
Lennox International
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 17 Analysts
Evolving HVAC Practices Will Expose North American Vulnerabilities
Key Takeaways Greater competition from energy-efficient technologies, regulatory costs, and slow digital adoption could compress margins and limit future revenue and earnings growth. Heavy North American reliance and volatile weather trends risk unpredictable demand and more erratic financial performance over the long term.
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US$499.15
FV
18.5% overvalued
intrinsic discount
2.15%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
6 days ago
author updated this narrative
AppLovin
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 21 Analysts
Global Regulators And Ad-Blockers Will Undermine Digital Advertising
Key Takeaways Increasing data privacy regulations and consumer ad resistance threaten AppLovin's ad targeting effectiveness, limiting revenue and margin growth. Heavy dependence on mobile gaming and rising competition from tech giants could lead to market share loss, lower profitability, and stunted platform expansion.
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US$306.86
FV
43.0% overvalued
intrinsic discount
12.32%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
6 days ago
author updated this narrative
Snap-on
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 8 Analysts
Legacy Tools Will Suffer As EV Trends Disrupt Markets
Key Takeaways Electric vehicle adoption and digital automation are expected to steadily reduce demand and margins for Snap-on's core tool and diagnostic categories over time. Competitive pressure from e-commerce and industry consolidation undermines Snap-on's pricing power and profitability, while limited innovation accelerates brand and earnings erosion.
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US$236.00
FV
38.1% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-0.018%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
6 days ago
author updated this narrative
GoDaddy
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 17 Analysts
Intensified Cloud Competition Will Weaken Performance Yet Spur Renewal
Key Takeaways Intensifying competition and evolving technologies threaten long-term customer growth, pricing power, and differentiation in core and higher-value SaaS offerings. Regulatory, operational, and industry shifts could constrain profit margins and heighten risks to recurring revenue from domain and web presence services.
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US$150.00
FV
2.7% undervalued
intrinsic discount
7.07%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
6 days ago
author updated this narrative
Vistra
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 15 Analysts
Tight PJM And ERCOT Markets Will Constrain Margins Amid Renewables
Key Takeaways Long-term earnings growth faces headwinds from greater energy efficiency, distributed resources, regulatory risks, and decentralized consumer solutions. Margin compression and cash flow weakness could result from renewable adoption, stricter emissions mandates, and challenging capital requirements amid supply chain pressures.
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US$164.00
FV
20.3% overvalued
intrinsic discount
2.09%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
6 days ago
author updated this narrative
Southwest Airlines
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 20 Analysts
Remote Work Shifts And High Costs Will Erode Margins
Key Takeaways Declining business travel, regulatory costs, and rising labor expenses threaten margins, while reliance on a single aircraft type heightens operational risks. Competitive pressures, capital-intensive upgrades, and supply chain vulnerability challenge Southwest's ability to sustain historical returns and robust free cash flow.
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US$19.00
FV
65.8% overvalued
intrinsic discount
4.71%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
6 days ago
author updated this narrative
Eversource Energy
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 14 Analysts
Rising Capital Costs Will Compress Grid Margins And Spark Hope
Key Takeaways Increasing adoption of distributed energy and efficiency programs is constraining electricity demand growth and limiting potential revenue upside. Higher financing costs and regulatory challenges are putting sustained pressure on margins and posing risks to long-term earnings growth.
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US$51.21
FV
28.0% overvalued
intrinsic discount
0.92%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
6 days ago
author updated this narrative
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