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Alphabet
BL
BlackGoat
Community Contributor
Alphabet: The Under-appreciated Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight
Summary Google trades at ~18× forward earnings; the cheapest among the Magnificent 7 Market is too focused on AI threats to Search and antitrust noise Meanwhile, Google is executing across AI, Cloud, and YouTube Key AI differentiator: unmatched distribution across 3B+ users via Search, Gmail, YouTube, Android, Chrome, and Cloud Quietly building a world-class AI infrastructure behind the scenes; including proprietary TPUs and a vertically integrated stack YouTube generated $8.93B in Q1 ad revenue (up 10% YoY); subscriptions hit 270M Google Cloud revenue up 28% YoY to $12.3B; now profitable Optionality from long-term bets like Waymo, DeepMind, and Verily Risk/reward is compelling; a strong candidate to beat the market long term Overview Despite being part of the "Magnificent Seven," Google’s stock lags due to perceived risks around disruption of its Search business from AI competitors and mounting antitrust concerns. But under the hood, Google has quietly built one of the most compelling setups in tech: with deep AI leadership, multiple high-growth businesses, and optionality from long-term moonshots like Waymo.
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US$282.83
FV
30.2% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
18
users have liked this narrative
2
users have commented on this narrative
43
users have followed this narrative
Updated
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Planet Labs PBC
AN
andreas_eliades
Community Contributor
Planet Labs: At The Heart Of The Emerging New Space Boom
Planet Labs leads the EO market with the largest satellite constellation, poised to capitalize on the growing demand for Earth Observation and geospatial data from companies and governments. Plunging space launch and GPU computation costs combined with advancements in CubeSat and AI technologies are boosting the utility of Earth Observation data.
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US$11.31
FV
44.5% undervalued
intrinsic discount
30.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
17
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
50
users have followed this narrative
New
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Exxon Mobil
AG
Agricola
Community Contributor
Exxon in Guyana 5 year forecast Low $135 to High $189
Key Assumptions: Successful Guyana and South America Deposits: ExxonMobil’s Stabroek Block in Guyana is assumed to achieve full operational success, contributing significantly to production growth. The block is estimated to hold over 11 billion barrels of recoverable oil, with production scaling rapidly.
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US$189.00
FV
40.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
14.85%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
2
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
9
users have followed this narrative
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OGE Energy
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 9 Analysts
Robust Infrastructure Investments Will Shape A Dynamic Energy Future
Key Takeaways Sustained customer growth, electrification trends, and major projects are driving higher revenue and expanding opportunities, especially with data centers and large industrial clients. Strategic investments in infrastructure, favorable policies, and a strong financial position support stable earnings, improved margins, and long-term profitability.
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US$45.50
FV
1.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
3.28%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
2
users have followed this narrative
about 1 hour ago
author updated this narrative
Fastenal
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 10 Analysts
Tariff Pressures And Lagging Digital Efforts Will Shape Future Prospects
Key Takeaways Revenue challenges and margin pressures arise from a sluggish marketplace, uncertain macroeconomic conditions, and unabsorbed tariff increases. Incomplete sourcing diversification and elevated inventory levels risk impacting revenue, margins, cash flow, and growth potential.
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US$32.30
FV
43.7% overvalued
intrinsic discount
7.38%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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about 1 hour ago
author updated this narrative
Constellation Energy
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 13 Analysts
Distributed Energy And Nuclear Setbacks Will Undermine Long Term Stability
Key Takeaways Rapid growth of distributed and renewable energy threatens both customer retention and profitability due to declining demand for grid electricity and increased competition. Regulatory uncertainty and high nuclear operating costs risk eroding earnings stability and may necessitate plant closures or limit long-term investment viability.
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US$197.27
FV
75.0% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-17.45%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
2
users have followed this narrative
about 1 hour ago
author updated this narrative
Williams Companies
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 19 Analysts
Decarbonization Pressures Will Undermine Heavy Pipeline Investments
Key Takeaways Shifting energy policies and rapid renewable adoption threaten Williams Companies' core natural gas business, risking underutilized assets and margin compression. Regulatory hurdles, high capital spending, and US market concentration expose the company to elevated financial and operational risks amid energy transition trends.
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US$49.47
FV
19.7% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-1.52%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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about 1 hour ago
author updated this narrative
Lennar
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 14 Analysts
High US Mortgage Rates Will Squeeze Housing Demand And Margins
Key Takeaways Challenging macroeconomic conditions and high interest rates are reducing housing demand and impacting revenue growth. Increased sales incentives to address affordability concerns are expected to compress margins and net income.
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US$95.00
FV
18.3% overvalued
intrinsic discount
0.96%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
2
users have followed this narrative
about 1 hour ago
author updated this narrative
DoorDash
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 36 Analysts
US And European Labor Rules Will Strain Delivery Prospects
Key Takeaways Stricter labor regulations and mounting environmental concerns could increase costs and weaken DoorDash's long-term growth and profitability. Heavy reliance on acquisitions, discounts, and expanding into competitive markets risks sustained unprofitability and challenges to market leadership.
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US$182.04
FV
36.2% overvalued
intrinsic discount
17.83%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
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0
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about 1 hour ago
author updated this narrative
FTI Consulting
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 2 Analysts
Global Regulatory Trends Will Expand International Service Markets
Key Takeaways Expanding regulatory complexity and rising digital risks fuel strong demand for FTI's specialized consulting services, supporting revenue growth and higher-margin, recurring client mandates. Strategic investments in talent, proprietary technology, and global presence enhance FTI's ability to capture premium business and benefit from industry consolidation.
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US$185.00
FV
7.6% undervalued
intrinsic discount
5.32%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
2
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about 1 hour ago
author updated this narrative
United Rentals
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 18 Analysts
Aging Diesel Fleet And Cost Pressures Will Squeeze Margins
Key Takeaways Shifting toward ancillary revenue streams and rising regulatory costs threaten long-term margins, while persistent debt reliance increases vulnerability to credit and integration risks. Slowing infrastructure investment, industry digitalization, and innovative competitors could weaken demand, compress core rental growth, and erode market share if adaptation is lacking.
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US$615.91
FV
42.9% overvalued
intrinsic discount
3.15%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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about 1 hour ago
author updated this narrative
ATI
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 9 Analysts
We Will Secure Long-Term Aerospace And Defense Contracts
Key Takeaways Expanding long-term contracts in aerospace and defense markets is expected to drive revenue and strengthen market position. Mitigation of tariffs and trade uncertainties with flexible strategies aims to protect net margins and ensure stability.
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US$95.56
FV
1.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
7.25%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
8
users have followed this narrative
about 1 hour ago
author updated this narrative
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