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Weekly Picks
Alphabet
BL
BlackGoat
Community Contributor
Alphabet: The Under-appreciated Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight
Summary Google trades at ~18× forward earnings; the cheapest among the Magnificent 7 Market is too focused on AI threats to Search and antitrust noise Meanwhile, Google is executing across AI, Cloud, and YouTube Key AI differentiator: unmatched distribution across 3B+ users via Search, Gmail, YouTube, Android, Chrome, and Cloud Quietly building a world-class AI infrastructure behind the scenes; including proprietary TPUs and a vertically integrated stack YouTube generated $8.93B in Q1 ad revenue (up 10% YoY); subscriptions hit 270M Google Cloud revenue up 28% YoY to $12.3B; now profitable Optionality from long-term bets like Waymo, DeepMind, and Verily Risk/reward is compelling; a strong candidate to beat the market long term Overview Despite being part of the "Magnificent Seven," Google’s stock lags due to perceived risks around disruption of its Search business from AI competitors and mounting antitrust concerns. But under the hood, Google has quietly built one of the most compelling setups in tech: with deep AI leadership, multiple high-growth businesses, and optionality from long-term moonshots like Waymo.
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US$282.83
FV
32.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
23
users have liked this narrative
3
users have commented on this narrative
61
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
Planet Labs PBC
AN
andreas_eliades
Community Contributor
Planet Labs: At The Heart Of The Emerging New Space Boom
Planet Labs leads the EO market with the largest satellite constellation, poised to capitalize on the growing demand for Earth Observation and geospatial data from companies and governments. Plunging space launch and GPU computation costs combined with advancements in CubeSat and AI technologies are boosting the utility of Earth Observation data.
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US$11.31
FV
45.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
30.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
18
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
64
users have followed this narrative
New
narrative
Exxon Mobil
AG
Agricola
Community Contributor
Exxon in Guyana 5 year forecast Low $135 to High $189
Previous mistake rectified. So as pointed out in the comments, Chevron won the Hess bid (rather than Exxon) and took a large portion of the Stabroek block.
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US$174.00
FV
37.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
12.97%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
4
users have liked this narrative
4
users have commented on this narrative
16
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
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Tokio Marine Holdings
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 11 Analysts
Re-New Strategy And M&A Aim To Boost Growth But Face Risks In Japanese Insurance Transformation
Key Takeaways Transformation into a leaner organization and the Re-New initiative aim to enhance efficiency, profit growth, and underwriting profits. Expansion into solution offerings like disaster resilience to drive sustainable long-term revenue growth.
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JP¥6.67k
FV
7.2% undervalued
intrinsic discount
3.65%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
5
users have followed this narrative
4 days ago
author updated this narrative
Life Insurance Corporation of India
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 21 Analysts
Introduction Of 38 New IRDAI-Compliant Products Will Diversify Product Mix Post-2024
Key Takeaways Strategic shift to higher-margin products and expanded distribution network are set to boost income and revenue growth. New compliant products and digital initiatives aim to enhance adaptability, efficiency, and premium revenues.
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₹1.08k
FV
17.9% undervalued
intrinsic discount
4.57%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
29
users have followed this narrative
4 days ago
author updated this narrative
ITOCHU
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 10 Analysts
Investments In ICT And Non-Resource Sectors Will Drive Future Performance
Key Takeaways Proactive investments in non-resource sectors and transforming subsidiaries contribute to inorganic growth, supporting revenue and earnings growth in the future. Strong sector performance and asset replacement strategies boost profitability, potentially enhancing net margins and sustainable growth prospects.
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JP¥8.89k
FV
11.9% undervalued
intrinsic discount
3.05%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
1
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
17
users have followed this narrative
4 days ago
author updated this narrative
UniCredit
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 15 Analysts
Digital Banking And Sustainable Finance Will Reshape European Markets
Key Takeaways Digitalization, wealth management expansion, and strategic partnerships drive sustainable growth, improved margins, and recurring high-quality income streams. Focus on sustainable finance and disciplined cost management enhances UniCredit's market position, capital strength, and capacity for future earnings distributions.
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€65.93
FV
5.6% undervalued
intrinsic discount
1.47%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
2
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
41
users have followed this narrative
4 days ago
author updated this narrative
Mitsubishi
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 13 Analysts
Domestic Offshore Wind Impairments Will Undermine Renewable Transition
Key Takeaways Ongoing challenges in renewable energy and supply chain disruptions threaten Mitsubishi's earnings stability and potential for sustained international growth. Heavy reliance on asset sales and uncertain returns from new investments may create future volatility in profits and returns on capital.
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JP¥2.97k
FV
1.9% overvalued
intrinsic discount
1.50%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
20
users have followed this narrative
4 days ago
author updated this narrative
Canadian Natural Resources
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 18 Analysts
Operational Improvements At Scotford And Horizon Set The Stage For Future Success
Key Takeaways Opportunistic acquisitions and focus on production expansions enhance Canadian Natural Resources' production capacity and cash flow, boosting revenue and earnings. Efficiency improvements and cost reductions across operations improve net margins, supporting sustainable growth and long-term shareholder value.
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CA$52.11
FV
18.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
-2.02%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
4
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
157
users have followed this narrative
4 days ago
author updated this narrative
Merck KGaA
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 17 Analysts
Investments And AI Demand Will Drive Future Success Across Life Science, Healthcare, And Electronics
Key Takeaways Merck KGaA's Life Science and Electronics sectors are poised for growth, driven by strong customer demand and AI advancements in semiconductors. Strategic investments in CapEx and M&A aim to enhance efficiencies, with oncology driving Healthcare growth through external partnerships.
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€153.44
FV
30.2% undervalued
intrinsic discount
3.06%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
41
users have followed this narrative
4 days ago
author updated this narrative
Westpac Banking
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 13 Analysts
Rising Tech Costs And Competition Will Pressure Bank Earnings In Australia
Key Takeaways Intense competition and changed deposit mix are compressing net interest margins, challenging revenue growth. Rising tech costs and projects like UNITE increase expenses, negatively impacting short-term earnings.
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AU$28.65
FV
16.8% overvalued
intrinsic discount
3.69%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
69
users have followed this narrative
4 days ago
author updated this narrative
London Stock Exchange Group
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 17 Analysts
Microsoft Partnership And AI Integration Will Strengthen Future Prospects
Key Takeaways Strategic cloud initiatives and data service expansions are set to boost revenue and enhance customer data consumption. Operational efficiency enhancements and tech platform advancements could improve margins, increase licensing revenue, and strengthen market position.
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UK£127.16
FV
26.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
5.80%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
27
users have followed this narrative
4 days ago
author updated this narrative
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