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Alphabet
BL
BlackGoat
Community Contributor
Alphabet: The Under-appreciated Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight
Summary Google trades at ~18× forward earnings; the cheapest among the Magnificent 7 Market is too focused on AI threats to Search and antitrust noise Meanwhile, Google is executing across AI, Cloud, and YouTube Key AI differentiator: unmatched distribution across 3B+ users via Search, Gmail, YouTube, Android, Chrome, and Cloud Quietly building a world-class AI infrastructure behind the scenes; including proprietary TPUs and a vertically integrated stack YouTube generated $8.93B in Q1 ad revenue (up 10% YoY); subscriptions hit 270M Google Cloud revenue up 28% YoY to $12.3B; now profitable Optionality from long-term bets like Waymo, DeepMind, and Verily Risk/reward is compelling; a strong candidate to beat the market long term Overview Despite being part of the "Magnificent Seven," Google’s stock lags due to perceived risks around disruption of its Search business from AI competitors and mounting antitrust concerns. But under the hood, Google has quietly built one of the most compelling setups in tech: with deep AI leadership, multiple high-growth businesses, and optionality from long-term moonshots like Waymo.
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US$282.83
FV
30.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
24
users have liked this narrative
3
users have commented on this narrative
64
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
Planet Labs PBC
AN
andreas_eliades
Community Contributor
Planet Labs: At The Heart Of The Emerging New Space Boom
Planet Labs leads the EO market with the largest satellite constellation, poised to capitalize on the growing demand for Earth Observation and geospatial data from companies and governments. Plunging space launch and GPU computation costs combined with advancements in CubeSat and AI technologies are boosting the utility of Earth Observation data.
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US$11.31
FV
42.2% undervalued
intrinsic discount
30.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
18
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
68
users have followed this narrative
7 days ago
author updated this narrative
Exxon Mobil
AG
Agricola
Community Contributor
Exxon in Guyana 5 year forecast Low $135 to High $189
Previous mistake rectified. So as pointed out in the comments, Chevron won the Hess bid (rather than Exxon) and took a large portion of the Stabroek block.
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US$174.00
FV
38.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
12.97%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
4
users have liked this narrative
4
users have commented on this narrative
18
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
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CD Projekt
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 18 Analysts
Rising Costs And Delays Will Undercut Witcher And Cyberpunk Success
Key Takeaways Dependence on major, infrequent game releases and shifting industry trends threaten revenue stability and growth prospects. Rising costs from labor, platform fees, and capital pressures weigh on margins and future profitability.
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zł95.00
FV
160.3% overvalued
intrinsic discount
45.44%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
2
users have followed this narrative
12 days ago
author updated this narrative
DEME Group
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 7 Analysts
Rising Global Rates And Policy Risks Will Curtail Offshore Orders
Key Takeaways Reliance on large offshore wind projects amid geopolitical, regulatory, and macroeconomic uncertainties exposes DEME to revenue volatility and unpredictable market gaps. Rising competition, potential regulatory changes, and costly technology adoption threaten profitability and could erode margins across core business segments.
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€135.00
FV
4.9% undervalued
intrinsic discount
1.36%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
12 days ago
author updated this narrative
ASMPT
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 19 Analysts
Geopolitical Tensions Will Cripple Advanced Packaging Prospects
Key Takeaways Geopolitical risks, volatile supply chains, and market concentration threaten ASMPT's revenue stability and magnify exposure to demand shifts in key customer segments. Intensifying competition, commoditization, and rising operating costs are eroding margins and constrain earnings growth despite ongoing AI-related demand.
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HK$56.60
FV
19.3% overvalued
intrinsic discount
8.94%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
12 days ago
author updated this narrative
Central Depository Services (India)
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 10 Analysts
Escalating Tech Costs And Regulatory Demands Will Weigh On Margins
Key Takeaways Rising technology and compliance costs are steadily eroding margins, with growing complexity making historical profitability increasingly difficult to sustain. Overdependence on regulated, domestic revenue streams and lagging innovation exposes the company to regulatory shocks and competitive displacement risks.
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₹1.00k
FV
57.2% overvalued
intrinsic discount
7.72%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
3
users have followed this narrative
12 days ago
author updated this narrative
BBB Foods
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 11 Analysts
Rapid Expansion Will Erode Margins Yet Sustain Value
Key Takeaways Aggressive store expansion and tech investments could pressure margins and earnings until operational efficiencies and scale benefits are fully realized. Exposure to low-income consumers and rising compliance and labor costs create earnings volatility and may limit near-term profit growth despite strong demand trends.
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US$28.17
FV
9.5% undervalued
intrinsic discount
25.40%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
12 days ago
author updated this narrative
Vienna Insurance Group
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 4 Analysts
Extreme Weather And Aging Trends Will Strain CEE Profits
Key Takeaways Growing climate risks, weak demographics, and market volatility threaten profitability, while reliance on Central and Eastern Europe increases exposure to local economic and political instability. Legacy operational challenges and slow digital transformation could reduce efficiency and competitiveness compared to more technologically advanced rivals.
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€24.50
FV
86.7% overvalued
intrinsic discount
6.37%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
12 days ago
author updated this narrative
Endurance Technologies
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 15 Analysts
Aggressive Capacity Growth Will Erode Margins Amid Global EV Pressures
Key Takeaways Aggressive diversification into new technologies and markets increases investment risk, straining cash flow and returns amid uncertain payoffs and tough competition. Shifting industry trends and changing customer priorities threaten legacy business streams, while regulatory and supply chain pressures jeopardize future revenue and margin stability.
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₹2.05k
FV
28.7% overvalued
intrinsic discount
11.97%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
12 days ago
author updated this narrative
HUB24
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 16 Analysts
Rising Compliance Demands And Stiff Fintech Competition Will Hurt Margins
Key Takeaways Rising compliance costs, shifting consumer preferences, and increased competition threaten HUB24's margins, revenue growth, and ability to expand in the evolving investment platform landscape. Lagging technological innovation compared to global peers risks adviser and client loss, operational inefficiencies, and reduced long-term profitability.
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AU$38.35
FV
178.4% overvalued
intrinsic discount
15.29%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
12 days ago
author updated this narrative
Sumitomo Chemical Company
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 11 Analysts
Decarbonization Pressure And Capacity Additions Will Depress Margins
Key Takeaways Persistent demand declines and weak pricing, driven by global oversupply and shifting regulations, are likely to compress margins in core petrochemical businesses. Slow adaptation to green chemistry and market shifts raises risks of lost market share, product obsolescence, and reduced long-term profitability.
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JP¥320.00
FV
19.9% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-3.68%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
12 days ago
author updated this narrative
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