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Alphabet
BL
BlackGoat
Community Contributor
Alphabet: The Under-appreciated Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight
Summary Google trades at ~18× forward earnings — the cheapest among the Magnificent 7 Market is too focused on AI threats to Search and antitrust noise Meanwhile, Google is executing across AI, Cloud, and YouTube Key AI differentiator: unmatched distribution across 3B+ users via Search, Gmail, YouTube, Android, Chrome, and Cloud Quietly building a world-class AI infrastructure behind the scenes — including proprietary TPUs and a vertically integrated stack YouTube generated $8.93B in Q1 ad revenue (up 10% YoY); subscriptions hit 270M Google Cloud revenue up 28% YoY to $12.3B — now profitable Optionality from long-term bets like Waymo, DeepMind, and Verily Risk/reward is compelling — a strong candidate to beat the market long term Overview Despite being part of the "Magnificent Seven," Google’s stock lags due to perceived risks around disruption of its Search business from AI competitors and mounting antitrust concerns. But under the hood, Google has quietly built one of the most compelling setups in tech: with deep AI leadership, multiple high-growth businesses, and optionality from long-term moonshots like Waymo.
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US$268.43
FV
27.9% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
6
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
15
users have followed this narrative
21 days ago
author updated this narrative
Planet Labs PBC
AN
andreas_eliades
Community Contributor
Planet Labs: At The Heart Of The Emerging New Space Boom
Planet Labs leads the EO market with the largest satellite constellation, poised to capitalize on the growing demand for Earth Observation and geospatial data from companies and governments. Plunging space launch and GPU computation costs combined with advancements in CubeSat and AI technologies are boosting the utility of Earth Observation data.
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US$11.31
FV
43.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
30.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
6
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
17
users have followed this narrative
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Exxon Mobil
AG
Agricola
Community Contributor
Exxon in Guyana 5 year forecast Low $135 to High $189
Key Assumptions: Successful Guyana and South America Deposits: ExxonMobil’s Stabroek Block in Guyana is assumed to achieve full operational success, contributing significantly to production growth. The block is estimated to hold over 11 billion barrels of recoverable oil, with production scaling rapidly.
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US$189.00
FV
41.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
14.85%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
1
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
2
users have followed this narrative
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Bechtle
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 11 Analysts
Direct-to-cloud Shift And Regulatory Burdens Will Erode Margins
Key Takeaways Direct-to-cloud and SaaS adoption by major vendors risks eroding Bechtle's traditional sales, reducing customer contact and driving long-term revenue decline. Growing regulatory, supply chain, and talent challenges are raising costs and compressing margins, while weak demand from key clients threatens sustained earnings growth.
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€32.00
FV
21.0% overvalued
intrinsic discount
4.81%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
5 days ago
author updated this narrative
Mitsubishi Motors
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 12 Analysts
Underinvestment And Fierce Competition Will Erode Future Valuation
Key Takeaways Slow technological adoption and reliance on external partners are reducing product differentiation and hindering long-term competitiveness and profitability. Heightened competition and economic volatility in key markets are causing sustained pressure on sales, market share, and income stability.
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JP¥330.00
FV
26.1% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-2.44%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
5 days ago
author updated this narrative
Porto Seguro
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 11 Analysts
Faltering Auto Insurance Demand And Digital Rivals Will Erode Value
Key Takeaways Long-term profitability is threatened by declining auto insurance demand, intensifying digital competition, and exposure to sector downturns as mobility trends evolve. Operational inefficiencies from outdated IT systems and economic headwinds in Brazil pressure margins, loss ratios, and overall earnings stability.
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R$42.00
FV
20.8% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-2.10%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
5 days ago
author updated this narrative
Schaeffler
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 11 Analysts
Legacy Exposure And Rising Costs Will Pressure Profit Margins
Key Takeaways Legacy reliance on combustion engine components exposes Schaeffler to structural risks as e-mobility and regulatory demands increase operating pressures and shift market dynamics. Supply chain regionalization, rising input costs, and intensifying competition in e-mobility threaten profitability, pricing power, and sustained revenue growth.
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€4.00
FV
29.0% overvalued
intrinsic discount
8.78%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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5 days ago
author updated this narrative
Mineral Resources
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 15 Analysts
Lithium Oversupply And Pilbara Risks Will Erode Profitability
Key Takeaways Structural oversupply in lithium and technological shifts threaten core earnings and revenue growth, while resource nationalism raises compliance risks and project delays. Heavy debt burden and exposure to declining iron ore markets increase earnings volatility and constrain the company's ability to invest and deleverage.
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AU$14.00
FV
116.0% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-1.74%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
2
users have followed this narrative
5 days ago
author updated this narrative
KEI Industries
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 21 Analysts
Rising Compliance And Trade Risks Will Squeeze Margins
Key Takeaways Intensifying competition, regulatory pressures, and technological disruption threaten profit margins and challenge the sustainability of KEI's current business model. Heavy reliance on cyclical infrastructure spending and volatile raw material costs increases revenue unpredictability and working capital risks.
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₹3.03k
FV
28.8% overvalued
intrinsic discount
18.83%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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5 days ago
author updated this narrative
Poste Italiane
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 14 Analysts
E-commerce And Digital Payments Will Secure A Robust Market Future
Key Takeaways Expansion in e-commerce logistics and digital delivery is driving market share gains and supporting future revenue and margin growth amid declining mail volumes. Digital payments, insurance, and omnichannel strategies are boosting profitability, recurring fee income, and customer retention, enhancing long-term earnings resilience.
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€19.24
FV
2.9% undervalued
intrinsic discount
0.33%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
18
users have followed this narrative
5 days ago
author updated this narrative
Exide Industries
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 17 Analysts
Legacy Lead Acid Demand And Fierce Competition Will Depress Margins
Key Takeaways Falling demand for lead-acid batteries and stricter environmental regulations pose serious threats to core profitability and growth prospects. Slow innovation, operational inefficiencies, and stronger competition are likely to compress margins and erode market share over time.
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₹290.00
FV
31.7% overvalued
intrinsic discount
6.19%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
5 days ago
author updated this narrative
ABB India
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 23 Analysts
Expanding Into India's Smaller Cities Will Open New Opportunities In The Future
Key Takeaways Expansion into emerging markets and localization efforts are expected to drive future revenue growth in India. Focus on sustainability and ESG leadership could enhance brand value and boost earnings.
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₹6.08k
FV
8.7% undervalued
intrinsic discount
11.82%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
10
users have followed this narrative
5 days ago
author updated this narrative
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