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Alphabet
BL
BlackGoat
Community Contributor
Alphabet: The Under-appreciated Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight
Summary Google trades at ~18× forward earnings; the cheapest among the Magnificent 7 Market is too focused on AI threats to Search and antitrust noise Meanwhile, Google is executing across AI, Cloud, and YouTube Key AI differentiator: unmatched distribution across 3B+ users via Search, Gmail, YouTube, Android, Chrome, and Cloud Quietly building a world-class AI infrastructure behind the scenes; including proprietary TPUs and a vertically integrated stack YouTube generated $8.93B in Q1 ad revenue (up 10% YoY); subscriptions hit 270M Google Cloud revenue up 28% YoY to $12.3B; now profitable Optionality from long-term bets like Waymo, DeepMind, and Verily Risk/reward is compelling; a strong candidate to beat the market long term Overview Despite being part of the "Magnificent Seven," Google’s stock lags due to perceived risks around disruption of its Search business from AI competitors and mounting antitrust concerns. But under the hood, Google has quietly built one of the most compelling setups in tech: with deep AI leadership, multiple high-growth businesses, and optionality from long-term moonshots like Waymo.
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US$282.83
FV
32.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
19
users have liked this narrative
3
users have commented on this narrative
57
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
Planet Labs PBC
AN
andreas_eliades
Community Contributor
Planet Labs: At The Heart Of The Emerging New Space Boom
Planet Labs leads the EO market with the largest satellite constellation, poised to capitalize on the growing demand for Earth Observation and geospatial data from companies and governments. Plunging space launch and GPU computation costs combined with advancements in CubeSat and AI technologies are boosting the utility of Earth Observation data.
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US$11.31
FV
45.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
30.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
18
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
61
users have followed this narrative
New
narrative
Exxon Mobil
AG
Agricola
Community Contributor
Exxon in Guyana 5 year forecast Low $135 to High $189
Previous mistake rectified. So as pointed out in the comments, Chevron won the Hess bid (rather than Exxon) and took a large portion of the Stabroek block.
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US$174.00
FV
37.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
12.97%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
3
users have liked this narrative
4
users have commented on this narrative
15
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
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Gentoo Media
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 1 Analyst
Rebranding And Expansion Into Asia And Africa Will Elevate Brand Recognition And Drive Future Success
Key Takeaways Strategic separation and rebranding enable Gentoo Media to focus on acquisitions and high-value markets, enhancing revenue and brand recognition. Expected operational improvements post-split and diversification strategies increase margins, drive shareholder value, and sustain revenue growth.
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NOK 21.28
FV
44.9% undervalued
intrinsic discount
7.49%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
7
users have followed this narrative
10 days ago
author updated this narrative
Yara International
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 18 Analysts
Premium Fertilizer Margins Will Crumble Under Mounting Headwinds
Key Takeaways Future revenue and margin growth may disappoint due to flat demand, regulatory uncertainty, and rising competition, particularly in specialty and low-carbon fertilizer segments. Overreliance on policy incentives, high pricing, and shifting agricultural trends pose risks to long-term profitability and core volume growth.
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NOK 370.35
FV
3.5% overvalued
intrinsic discount
1.67%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
30
users have followed this narrative
10 days ago
author updated this narrative
Temple & Webster Group
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 12 Analysts
Focus On Private-Label Products And AI Will Transform The Future Of Home Improvement Retail
Key Takeaways Aggressive expansion in home improvement and AI integration are expected to boost future revenue growth and improve net margins. The asset-light model, brand-building, and private-label focus enhance potential earnings growth and increase pricing power.
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AU$21.04
FV
16.7% overvalued
intrinsic discount
19.87%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
11
users have followed this narrative
10 days ago
author updated this narrative
Sandstorm Gold
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 4 Analysts
Ramping Up At Greenstone And Platreef Will Boost Future Production
Key Takeaways Anticipated production growth and completion of key projects could significantly enhance Sandstorm Gold's revenue stream and operational efficiency. Focused capital allocation strategies, including share buybacks, aim to optimize shareholder returns and improve earnings per share.
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CA$15.90
FV
18.2% undervalued
intrinsic discount
11.66%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
12
users have followed this narrative
10 days ago
author updated this narrative
Medical Facilities
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 2 Analysts
Future Earnings Will Shrink As Temporary Cash Boost From Black Hills Sale Fades
Key Takeaways Recent asset sale boosts cash but may mislead on sustainable growth, impacting future revenue perceptions and valuation. Resource allocation to shareholder returns limits growth funds, potentially dampening future earnings and investment opportunities.
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CA$16.26
FV
11.1% undervalued
intrinsic discount
0.97%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
10
users have followed this narrative
10 days ago
author updated this narrative
Ithaca Energy
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 6 Analysts
Rosebank And Captain EOR Risks Will Undermine Oil Operations
Key Takeaways Ithaca's ambitious production targets and heavy capital investments pose risks to net margins and future cash flows due to potential cost pressures and execution challenges. Uncertainties in oil price forecasts and U.K. tax regime changes could impact Ithaca's revenue streams and financial forecasts, increasing risks to earnings.
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UK£1.54
FV
9.8% overvalued
intrinsic discount
7.70%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
11
users have followed this narrative
10 days ago
author updated this narrative
M.P. Evans Group
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 3 Analysts
Expanding Plantations In Indonesia And Weather Risks Will Determine Output
Key Takeaways Expansion in North Sumatra and East Kalimantan increases production capacity and potentially future revenues through land acquisition and sustainable practices. Record financial results enable higher dividends and share buybacks, potentially enhancing earnings per share growth and shareholder value.
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UK£14.02
FV
6.9% undervalued
intrinsic discount
3.04%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
12
users have followed this narrative
10 days ago
author updated this narrative
Calfrac Well Services
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 3 Analysts
Modernizing Fleet And Expansion Into Vaca Muerta Will Improve Future Efficiency
Key Takeaways The fleet modernization program and next-gen tech adoption are expected to enhance efficiency and potentially boost pricing power, positively affecting revenue and margins. Expansion efforts in Argentina and energy projects in Canada are set to improve regional revenue, while U.S. supply chain strategies aim to control costs.
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CA$4.17
FV
6.9% undervalued
intrinsic discount
-7.09%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
2
users have followed this narrative
10 days ago
author updated this narrative
Matrix Composites & Engineering
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 2 Analysts
Subsea And Renewable Energy Sectors Will Offer Potential, But Cash Flow Fluctuations May Challenge Operations
Key Takeaways Strong revenue growth is driven by demand for subsea products, diversification in advanced materials, and opportunities in renewable energies. Strategic positioning in global deepwater projects and offshore wind markets enhances market share and supports long-term revenue gains.
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AU$0.29
FV
1.4% overvalued
intrinsic discount
2.57%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
4
users have followed this narrative
10 days ago
author updated this narrative
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