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Global Weekly Picks
Airbnb
TI
TickerTickle
Community Contributor
Airbnb (ABNB): Still one of the most interesting bets in travel
Key insights Airbnb is changing from a travel-only app to a full lifestyle platform (stays, rentals, experiences) International markets are growing faster than the US, which is slowing down Product experience is improving a lot, with AI making search and booking easier Regulations are becoming a big risk, especially in Europe where listings are getting removed The way people move around the world has changed. It’s not only about holidays anymore.
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US$163.75
FV
25.7% undervalued
intrinsic discount
12.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
5
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
16
users have followed this narrative
New
narrative
ING Groep
PI
PittTheYounger
Community Contributor
ING leads the pack when it comes to pivoting towards non-lending income
ING, of course, is a bank; and banks don't like falling interest rates, right? For the dominant stream of income is their core business model, i.e. borrowing short-term and lending long-term, reaping the difference in interest rates in the process.
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€27.92
FV
25.2% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
2
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
5
users have followed this narrative
New
narrative
Coles Group
RO
Robbo
Community Contributor
Coles (ASX: COL): Safe, Steady, and Surprisingly Cheap
The supermarket chain Coles is the kind of “boring” business that may have been overlooked as an investment opportunity. Although it was divested from Wesfarmers in 2018, Coles’ heritage traces back to 1914 — giving it over 110 years of history.
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AU$22.00
FV
5.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
8.72%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
2
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
7
users have followed this narrative
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Polaris
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 11 Analysts
Rising Tariffs And Slow EV Transition Will Hurt Margins
Key Takeaways Accelerated EV development, shifting demographics, and evolving consumer preferences are straining Polaris's traditional business, pressuring margins and growth prospects. Trade policy risks, heavy tariff exposure, and operational inefficiencies are expected to continue undermining profitability compared to more adaptable competitors.
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US$29.00
FV
90.7% overvalued
intrinsic discount
0.66%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
4 days ago
author updated this narrative
Tidewater
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 6 Analysts
Offshore Support Vessels Will Shrink Although Scarcity May Stabilize Rates
Key Takeaways Decarbonization trends and stricter emissions mandates threaten demand and profitability for Tidewater's offshore support vessel operations. Limited diversification and industry overcapacity expose Tidewater to volatile earnings and diminished pricing power as competition intensifies.
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US$36.91
FV
50.3% overvalued
intrinsic discount
1.64%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
4 days ago
author updated this narrative
Sealed Air
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 14 Analysts
North American Packaging Challenges Will Dampen Volumes But Spur Progress
Key Takeaways Margin gains and operational improvements are challenged by weak demand, shifting consumer preferences, and ongoing exposure to volatile input costs and regulatory pressures. Growing sustainability trends and automation offer future potential, but risks remain from slower innovation, changing customer dynamics, and limited strategic flexibility.
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US$31.00
FV
3.7% undervalued
intrinsic discount
0.79%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
4 days ago
author updated this narrative
RH
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 17 Analysts
Debt Pressures Will Test Margins As Luxury Shifts Promise Recovery
Key Takeaways Significant debt from stock repurchases could pressure earnings, impacting net margins as debt repayment takes priority over strategic investments. International expansion costs may negatively impact operating margins, while economic conditions may require markdowns, impacting revenue and gross margins.
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US$179.00
FV
32.6% overvalued
intrinsic discount
8.20%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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4 days ago
author updated this narrative
Magnolia Oil & Gas
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 15 Analysts
Rising Compliance Costs And Eagle Ford Risks Will Erode Value
Key Takeaways Structural decline in oil demand and stricter environmental regulations threaten Magnolia's revenue growth, margins, and profitability. Concentrated assets and lagging technological innovation expose Magnolia to operational and financial risks relative to larger, more advanced competitors.
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US$19.13
FV
23.8% overvalued
intrinsic discount
2.33%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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4 days ago
author updated this narrative
SM Energy
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 13 Analysts
Global Decarbonization And Regulations Will Erode Oil Margins
Key Takeaways Accelerating decarbonization trends and ESG pressures may limit growth opportunities, restrict access to capital, and threaten long-term financial performance. Heavy concentration in a few basins and core inventory depletion increase vulnerability to regulation, cost inflation, and declining profitability.
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US$27.00
FV
0.2% undervalued
intrinsic discount
3.72%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
4 days ago
author updated this narrative
Whirlpool
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 8 Analysts
Rising Regulation And Price Wars Will Squeeze Margins Despite Recovery
Key Takeaways Heightened regulation, environmental requirements, and recycling mandates will increase costs and margin pressure for Whirlpool, impacting profitability and earnings growth. Competitive pricing, commoditization, and demographic shifts are likely to reduce demand and market share, leading to stagnating or contracting revenues.
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US$63.00
FV
36.1% overvalued
intrinsic discount
0.42%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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4 days ago
author updated this narrative
Vertex
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 13 Analysts
Escalating Compliance And ERP Migration Delays Will Constrain Profitability
Key Takeaways Intensifying regulatory demands and rising operational costs are pressuring margins and reducing product development agility. Competition from low-code platforms and integrated ERP tax solutions threatens Vertex's market share, deal sizes, and revenue growth.
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US$25.00
FV
0.5% overvalued
intrinsic discount
12.28%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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4 days ago
author updated this narrative
Murphy Oil
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 15 Analysts
Net-Zero Trends Will Diminish Oil Margins Despite Cost Cuts
Key Takeaways Heavy dependence on oil and gas, slow diversification, and global decarbonization trends threaten future revenue growth and margin stability. Operational concentration in mature, politically sensitive regions increases risk of asset impairments, regulatory burdens, and limits sustainable returns.
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US$23.00
FV
0.9% overvalued
intrinsic discount
0.046%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
4 days ago
author updated this narrative
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