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Weekly Picks
Alphabet
BL
BlackGoat
Community Contributor
Alphabet: The Under-appreciated Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight
Summary Google trades at ~18× forward earnings; the cheapest among the Magnificent 7 Market is too focused on AI threats to Search and antitrust noise Meanwhile, Google is executing across AI, Cloud, and YouTube Key AI differentiator: unmatched distribution across 3B+ users via Search, Gmail, YouTube, Android, Chrome, and Cloud Quietly building a world-class AI infrastructure behind the scenes; including proprietary TPUs and a vertically integrated stack YouTube generated $8.93B in Q1 ad revenue (up 10% YoY); subscriptions hit 270M Google Cloud revenue up 28% YoY to $12.3B; now profitable Optionality from long-term bets like Waymo, DeepMind, and Verily Risk/reward is compelling; a strong candidate to beat the market long term Overview Despite being part of the "Magnificent Seven," Google’s stock lags due to perceived risks around disruption of its Search business from AI competitors and mounting antitrust concerns. But under the hood, Google has quietly built one of the most compelling setups in tech: with deep AI leadership, multiple high-growth businesses, and optionality from long-term moonshots like Waymo.
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US$282.83
FV
32.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
23
users have liked this narrative
3
users have commented on this narrative
61
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
Planet Labs PBC
AN
andreas_eliades
Community Contributor
Planet Labs: At The Heart Of The Emerging New Space Boom
Planet Labs leads the EO market with the largest satellite constellation, poised to capitalize on the growing demand for Earth Observation and geospatial data from companies and governments. Plunging space launch and GPU computation costs combined with advancements in CubeSat and AI technologies are boosting the utility of Earth Observation data.
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US$11.31
FV
45.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
30.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
18
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
64
users have followed this narrative
New
narrative
Exxon Mobil
AG
Agricola
Community Contributor
Exxon in Guyana 5 year forecast Low $135 to High $189
Previous mistake rectified. So as pointed out in the comments, Chevron won the Hess bid (rather than Exxon) and took a large portion of the Stabroek block.
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US$174.00
FV
37.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
12.97%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
4
users have liked this narrative
4
users have commented on this narrative
16
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
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AngloGold Ashanti
AN
AnalystHighTarget
Consensus Narrative from 6 Analysts
Global Uncertainty And Obuasi Redevelopment Will Support Gold Demand
Key Takeaways High gold prices and operational improvements are strengthening revenue growth, earnings, and profitability, aided by disciplined cost management and optimized asset allocation. Portfolio shifts toward lower-risk, high-potential regions and ongoing reserve expansion enhance cash flow, lower risk, and support future growth and shareholder returns.
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US$63.00
FV
22.6% undervalued
intrinsic discount
16.41%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
2
users have followed this narrative
11 days ago
author updated this narrative
Toll Brothers
AN
AnalystHighTarget
Consensus Narrative from 16 Analysts
Secular US Housing Shortages And Demographics Will Drive Upscale Demand
Key Takeaways Focus on affluent, less interest rate-sensitive buyers and diversification into new markets positions the company for resilient margins and stable growth despite economic cycles. Investment in technology and digital sales platforms drives higher efficiency, supporting increased home sales, improved margins, and reduced sensitivity to market fluctuations.
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US$182.73
FV
33.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
6.79%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
11 days ago
author updated this narrative
United Airlines Holdings
AN
AnalystHighTarget
Consensus Narrative from 21 Analysts
Rising Global Middle Class And Urbanization Will Fuel Premium Travel
Key Takeaways United's structural network strength, premium offerings, and urban hub dominance position it for sustained revenue growth and industry-leading earnings versus competitors. Fleet modernization and a focus on international growth and premium markets will drive operating efficiencies, higher profit margins, and long-term revenue gains.
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US$130.00
FV
34.9% undervalued
intrinsic discount
6.93%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
3
users have followed this narrative
11 days ago
author updated this narrative
Elanders
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 3 Analysts
Global Trade Uncertainty Will Hinder Progress But Offer Value
Key Takeaways Persistent trade uncertainties and slow client decisions hamper new projects, causing weak revenue growth despite globalization and digital transformation efforts. Heavy dependence on volatile sectors and sluggish market conditions undermine steady margin gains and make sustained revenue recovery uncertain.
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SEK 75.00
FV
22.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
0.088%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
11 days ago
author updated this narrative
XPO
AN
AnalystHighTarget
Consensus Narrative from 25 Analysts
E-commerce And Digitalization Will Transform LTL Shipping And Supply Chains
Key Takeaways Strategic investments in capacity, technology, and operations position XPO to capitalize on e-commerce growth and supply chain shifts, enhancing competitive advantage. Focus on higher-margin services, pricing discipline, and operational specialization supports sustained margin expansion, improved profitability, and long-term shareholder returns.
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US$155.00
FV
23.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
4.97%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
11 days ago
author updated this narrative
Casey's General Stores
AN
AnalystHighTarget
Consensus Narrative from 13 Analysts
Suburban Migration And Digital Ordering Will Drive Local Retail Expansion
Key Takeaways Strong expansion and acquisitions in growing regions, along with innovative fresh food offerings, support increased traffic, sales, and high-margin revenue streams. Enhanced digital capabilities, operational efficiencies, and integration of acquisitions drive customer retention, margin improvement, and sustained profit growth.
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US$584.00
FV
10.5% undervalued
intrinsic discount
7.68%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
11 days ago
author updated this narrative
United Therapeutics
AN
AnalystHighTarget
Consensus Narrative from 12 Analysts
Aging Populations And 3D Printed Organs Will Boost Advanced Therapies
Key Takeaways Expansion into emerging market indications and continued innovation in organ manufacturing strengthen future growth prospects and market leadership. Strategic R&D reinvestment, disciplined pipeline expansion, and productivity focus support durable margins and rapid new product adoption.
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US$494.40
FV
40.5% undervalued
intrinsic discount
14.88%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
11 days ago
author updated this narrative
Hyatt Hotels
AN
AnalystHighTarget
Consensus Narrative from 19 Analysts
Rising Global Middle Class Will Expand Upscale Travel Amid Risks
Key Takeaways Expanding globally through premium and lifestyle offerings, Hyatt leverages international travel trends and experiential demand to drive sustained revenue and occupancy growth. An asset-light model and expanded loyalty program increase earnings resilience, while strategic acquisitions diversify revenue streams and strengthen long-term customer value.
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US$183.63
FV
25.1% undervalued
intrinsic discount
42.22%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
11 days ago
author updated this narrative
UWM Holdings
AN
AnalystHighTarget
Consensus Narrative from 8 Analysts
Digitalization And Generational Shifts Will Fuel A Vibrant Mortgage Market
Key Takeaways Accelerated technology investment and insourcing of servicing operations are expected to boost operational efficiency, lower costs, and enhance customer retention. Demographic tailwinds and broker channel market share gains position UWM for sustained revenue and origination growth amid ongoing housing supply constraints.
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US$9.39
FV
55.6% undervalued
intrinsic discount
17.80%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
11 days ago
author updated this narrative
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