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Weekly Picks
Alphabet
BL
BlackGoat
Community Contributor
Alphabet: The Under-appreciated Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight
Summary Google trades at ~18× forward earnings; the cheapest among the Magnificent 7 Market is too focused on AI threats to Search and antitrust noise Meanwhile, Google is executing across AI, Cloud, and YouTube Key AI differentiator: unmatched distribution across 3B+ users via Search, Gmail, YouTube, Android, Chrome, and Cloud Quietly building a world-class AI infrastructure behind the scenes; including proprietary TPUs and a vertically integrated stack YouTube generated $8.93B in Q1 ad revenue (up 10% YoY); subscriptions hit 270M Google Cloud revenue up 28% YoY to $12.3B; now profitable Optionality from long-term bets like Waymo, DeepMind, and Verily Risk/reward is compelling; a strong candidate to beat the market long term Overview Despite being part of the "Magnificent Seven," Google’s stock lags due to perceived risks around disruption of its Search business from AI competitors and mounting antitrust concerns. But under the hood, Google has quietly built one of the most compelling setups in tech: with deep AI leadership, multiple high-growth businesses, and optionality from long-term moonshots like Waymo.
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US$282.83
FV
32.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
23
users have liked this narrative
3
users have commented on this narrative
61
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
Planet Labs PBC
AN
andreas_eliades
Community Contributor
Planet Labs: At The Heart Of The Emerging New Space Boom
Planet Labs leads the EO market with the largest satellite constellation, poised to capitalize on the growing demand for Earth Observation and geospatial data from companies and governments. Plunging space launch and GPU computation costs combined with advancements in CubeSat and AI technologies are boosting the utility of Earth Observation data.
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US$11.31
FV
45.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
30.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
18
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
63
users have followed this narrative
New
narrative
Exxon Mobil
AG
Agricola
Community Contributor
Exxon in Guyana 5 year forecast Low $135 to High $189
Previous mistake rectified. So as pointed out in the comments, Chevron won the Hess bid (rather than Exxon) and took a large portion of the Stabroek block.
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US$174.00
FV
37.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
12.97%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
4
users have liked this narrative
4
users have commented on this narrative
16
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
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Universal Music Group
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 19 Analysts
Global Expansion And DSP Upgrades Will Spur Streaming Amid Risks
Key Takeaways Strategic global expansion and strong subscription revenue growth across diverse geographies highlight significant revenue opportunities for UMG in emerging markets. Innovations like Streaming 2.0 and DSP collaborations are poised to enhance ARPU, improving UMG's revenue and operating margins through strategic reorganization.
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€29.93
FV
19.6% undervalued
intrinsic discount
6.25%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
7
users have followed this narrative
4 days ago
author updated this narrative
Vale
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 12 Analysts
Vargem Grande And Capanema Projects Will Expand Iron Ore Production
Key Takeaways Expansion projects and autonomous technology investments are set to enhance productivity, reduce costs, and improve net margins, bolstering Vale's revenue growth. Strategic partnerships and a focus on energy transition metals align with decarbonization goals, promising stronger cash flow and future EBITDA growth.
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R$67.56
FV
20.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
1.58%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
75
users have followed this narrative
4 days ago
author updated this narrative
CaixaBank
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 20 Analysts
Digital Transformation And Tailored Retirement Solutions Will Capture Iberian Demand
Key Takeaways Digital innovation and demographic-focused strategies are expanding client base, increasing recurring fee income, and reducing earnings volatility through cross-selling and digital platform growth. Market share gains, strong funding, and successful integration efforts are improving cost efficiency, lending capacity, and supporting sustained margin and earnings expansion.
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€7.87
FV
3.0% overvalued
intrinsic discount
5.60%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
27
users have followed this narrative
4 days ago
author updated this narrative
Goodman Group
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 11 Analysts
The $4 Billion Capital Raising Will Fortify Capital Structure For Future Development
Key Takeaways Strategic focus on data centers and significant partnerships are expected to drive revenue growth and enhance long-term earnings stability. Capital raising and low gearing ratio aim to support sustainable EPS growth while efficiently managing financial risk.
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AU$36.95
FV
6.2% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.79%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
55
users have followed this narrative
4 days ago
author updated this narrative
NTPC
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 25 Analysts
Renewable And Nuclear Expansion Will Secure Future Earnings Stability
Key Takeaways NTPC's diversification into renewable energy and energy storage suggests potential for revenue growth and long-term earnings stability aligned with clean energy trends. Initiatives to boost coal mining and meet environmental standards aim to enhance operational efficiency, fuel security, and net margins.
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₹417.68
FV
20.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
2.65%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
51
users have followed this narrative
4 days ago
author updated this narrative
Danone
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 21 Analysts
Functional Foods And Specialized Nutrition Will Expand Global Markets
Key Takeaways Focus on innovation, health-driven products, and strategic acquisitions solidifies Danone's leadership in premium nutrition and specialty segments amid changing consumer preferences. Expanding in emerging markets and shifting towards digital and healthcare channels enhances growth opportunities, operational efficiency, and long-term margin stability.
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€73.60
FV
1.5% undervalued
intrinsic discount
2.32%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
22
users have followed this narrative
4 days ago
author updated this narrative
Mitsubishi Heavy Industries
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 15 Analysts
Strong Order Intake In GTCC And Aero Engines Will Support Future Expansion And Operational Success
Key Takeaways Increased order intake in key sectors and strategic initiatives improve operational efficiency, boosting future revenue and earnings projections. Depreciation of the yen and improved cash flow management enhance short-term profit margins and financial health.
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JP¥3.62k
FV
0.6% undervalued
intrinsic discount
7.72%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
10
users have followed this narrative
4 days ago
author updated this narrative
Honda Motor
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 16 Analysts
North American Hybrid EV Expansion Will Secure Global Success
Key Takeaways Expanding hybrid EV sales in North America may stabilize revenue and improve net margins, countering tariff impacts. Honda's planned share repurchase and revised dividend policy aim to enhance shareholder value and stabilize dividends, boosting investor confidence.
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JP¥1.63k
FV
3.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
0.66%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
15
users have followed this narrative
4 days ago
author updated this narrative
Deutsche Post
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 17 Analysts
Acquisitions In Life Science And Healthcare Will Expand Supply Chain
Key Takeaways Strategic acquisitions in life science and healthcare sectors aim to boost global revenue through expanded service offerings and market reach. Leveraging e-commerce and supply chain strengths enhances net margins and supports steady earnings growth amid volatile trade conditions.
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€43.76
FV
12.6% undervalued
intrinsic discount
2.98%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
3
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
89
users have followed this narrative
4 days ago
author updated this narrative
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