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Global Weekly Picks
Airbnb
TI
TickerTickle
Community Contributor
Airbnb (ABNB): Still one of the most interesting bets in travel
Key insights Airbnb is changing from a travel-only app to a full lifestyle platform (stays, rentals, experiences) International markets are growing faster than the US, which is slowing down Product experience is improving a lot, with AI making search and booking easier Regulations are becoming a big risk, especially in Europe where listings are getting removed The way people move around the world has changed. It’s not only about holidays anymore.
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US$163.75
FV
23.9% undervalued
intrinsic discount
12.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
8
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
36
users have followed this narrative
New
narrative
ING Groep
PI
PittTheYounger
Community Contributor
ING leads the pack when it comes to pivoting towards non-lending income
ING, of course, is a bank; and banks don't like falling interest rates, right? For the dominant stream of income is their core business model, i.e. borrowing short-term and lending long-term, reaping the difference in interest rates in the process.
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€27.92
FV
23.7% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
4
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
12
users have followed this narrative
New
narrative
Coles Group
RO
Robbo
Community Contributor
Coles (ASX: COL): Safe, Steady, and Surprisingly Cheap
The supermarket chain Coles is the kind of “boring” business that may have been overlooked as an investment opportunity. Although it was divested from Wesfarmers in 2018, Coles’ heritage traces back to 1914 — giving it over 110 years of history.
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AU$22.00
FV
4.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
8.72%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
5
users have liked this narrative
2
users have commented on this narrative
15
users have followed this narrative
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Graphic Packaging Holding
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 12 Analysts
Rising Input Costs And Declining Demand Will Squeeze Margins
Key Takeaways Mounting input cost inflation and weakened consumer demand may compress margins, impacting future revenue growth negatively. Strategic facility closures pose transition risks, potentially harming short-term earnings and operational efficiency.
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US$22.60
FV
0.1% overvalued
intrinsic discount
0.50%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
22 days ago
author updated this narrative
HF Sinclair
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 14 Analysts
Rising Electric Vehicle Adoption Will Shrink Refining While Midstream Steadies
Key Takeaways Heavy reliance on traditional fuels leaves HF Sinclair vulnerable to declining demand and heightened earnings volatility from global shifts and limited diversification. Rising regulatory, environmental, and capital pressures threaten profitability, restrict access to capital, and may erode long-term shareholder value.
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US$38.47
FV
15.8% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-3.79%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
22 days ago
author updated this narrative
Parsons
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 10 Analysts
Government Contract Reliance And AI Disruption Will Erode Stability
Key Takeaways Heavy reliance on large government contracts and integration challenges from frequent acquisitions increase revenue volatility and risks to margin stability. Industry automation, regulatory pressures, and labor shortages threaten long-term growth, profitability, and ability to compete for major contracts.
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US$66.42
FV
19.9% overvalued
intrinsic discount
3.83%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
22 days ago
author updated this narrative
Floor & Decor Holdings
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 22 Analysts
Aging Demographics And Online Competition Will Weaken Profitability
Key Takeaways Shrinking core customer base and shifting consumer preferences threaten long-term growth and expose Floor & Decor to greater revenue concentration risk. Expanding store footprint and supply chain complexity amid declining traffic and industry disruptions could compress margins and undermine profitability.
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US$60.23
FV
36.8% overvalued
intrinsic discount
8.82%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
22 days ago
author updated this narrative
Curtiss-Wright
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 6 Analysts
Margin Challenges And Ultra Energy Integration Will Open SMR Opportunities
Key Takeaways Concerns exist over future revenue growth due to naval defense timing challenges and potential disruptions in Defense Electronics. Acquisition integration and R&D investments may dilute margins, affecting profitability despite growth commitments and anticipated synergies.
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US$308.11
FV
59.7% overvalued
intrinsic discount
6.70%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
22 days ago
author updated this narrative
TechnipFMC
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 22 Analysts
Commodity Volatility Will Test Subsea Efforts But Backlog Will Stabilize
Key Takeaways Volatile commodity prices and tariffs could significantly compress margins, affecting profitability and constraining future earnings growth. Delays in geopolitical or economic areas may impact revenue and profitability from long-term projects.
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US$30.00
FV
18.7% overvalued
intrinsic discount
4.24%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
22 days ago
author updated this narrative
Interpublic Group of Companies
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 8 Analysts
Automation And Social Media Will Erode Agency Margins
Key Takeaways Automation, AI advancements, and client in-housing are diminishing Interpublic's relevance, eroding pricing power, and compressing margins through disintermediation and cost pressures. Reliance on a concentrated client base, account losses, and regulatory challenges threaten revenue predictability and drive persistent declines in organic earnings growth.
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US$25.60
FV
1.0% overvalued
intrinsic discount
1.90%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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22 days ago
author updated this narrative
Permian Resources
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 19 Analysts
Delaware Basin Drilling Will Boost Output Amid Market Volatility
Key Takeaways Accretive M&A and strategic acquisitions are key components of Permian's growth strategy, potentially boosting long-term shareholder value. The company's focus on achieving investment-grade status could lower borrowing costs and enhance financial stability.
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US$14.00
FV
3.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
1.67%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
22 days ago
author updated this narrative
CarMax
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 16 Analysts
Loss Provisions And Tariffs Will Squeeze Margins Yet Spur Efficiency
Key Takeaways Increased loan provisioning and potential new car tariffs could strain net margins and impact revenue less favorably than anticipated. Heavy omnichannel investment and macroeconomic uncertainties may lead to slower revenue growth and unachieved market share targets, impacting stock valuation negatively.
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US$52.00
FV
11.8% overvalued
intrinsic discount
0.036%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
22 days ago
author updated this narrative
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