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Weekly Picks
Alphabet
BL
BlackGoat
Community Contributor
Alphabet: The Under-appreciated Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight
Summary Google trades at ~18× forward earnings; the cheapest among the Magnificent 7 Market is too focused on AI threats to Search and antitrust noise Meanwhile, Google is executing across AI, Cloud, and YouTube Key AI differentiator: unmatched distribution across 3B+ users via Search, Gmail, YouTube, Android, Chrome, and Cloud Quietly building a world-class AI infrastructure behind the scenes; including proprietary TPUs and a vertically integrated stack YouTube generated $8.93B in Q1 ad revenue (up 10% YoY); subscriptions hit 270M Google Cloud revenue up 28% YoY to $12.3B; now profitable Optionality from long-term bets like Waymo, DeepMind, and Verily Risk/reward is compelling; a strong candidate to beat the market long term Overview Despite being part of the "Magnificent Seven," Google’s stock lags due to perceived risks around disruption of its Search business from AI competitors and mounting antitrust concerns. But under the hood, Google has quietly built one of the most compelling setups in tech: with deep AI leadership, multiple high-growth businesses, and optionality from long-term moonshots like Waymo.
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US$282.83
FV
32.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
23
users have liked this narrative
3
users have commented on this narrative
61
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
Planet Labs PBC
AN
andreas_eliades
Community Contributor
Planet Labs: At The Heart Of The Emerging New Space Boom
Planet Labs leads the EO market with the largest satellite constellation, poised to capitalize on the growing demand for Earth Observation and geospatial data from companies and governments. Plunging space launch and GPU computation costs combined with advancements in CubeSat and AI technologies are boosting the utility of Earth Observation data.
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US$11.31
FV
45.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
30.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
18
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
64
users have followed this narrative
New
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Exxon Mobil
AG
Agricola
Community Contributor
Exxon in Guyana 5 year forecast Low $135 to High $189
Previous mistake rectified. So as pointed out in the comments, Chevron won the Hess bid (rather than Exxon) and took a large portion of the Stabroek block.
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US$174.00
FV
37.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
12.97%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
4
users have liked this narrative
4
users have commented on this narrative
16
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
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Clean Science and Technology
AN
AnalystHighTarget
Consensus Narrative from 11 Analysts
Green Chemistry Demand Will Expand Global Specialty Markets
Key Takeaways Rapid adoption of advanced products and expansion into new geographies could drive sharper revenue and margin growth than anticipated, aided by limited competition locally. Focus on sustainability, operational efficiencies, and portfolio diversification positions Clean Science for premium pricing and resilient earnings, limiting industry cycle exposure.
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₹1.78k
FV
32.2% undervalued
intrinsic discount
30.97%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
11 days ago
author updated this narrative
Aurobindo Pharma
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 28 Analysts
Rising Protectionism And Regulation Will Squeeze Pharma Margins
Key Takeaways Export revenue growth is threatened by localization, protectionism, and heightened regulatory scrutiny, increasing reliance on riskier emerging markets and exposing margins to volatility. Price erosion, intense competition, and a shift toward specialty drugs challenge the core generics business, risking topline stagnation and sustained margin compression.
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₹909.02
FV
18.8% overvalued
intrinsic discount
6.20%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
11 days ago
author updated this narrative
Yamaha Motor
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 10 Analysts
Rising Regulatory Hurdles And Shared Mobility Will Reduce Motorcycle Sales
Key Takeaways Over-reliance on internal combustion engines and slow electrification expose Yamaha to regulatory risk, declining demand, and shrinking margins across core segments. Rising competition, innovation lag, and political volatility in key markets undermine earnings stability and challenge Yamaha's premiumization and growth ambitions.
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JP¥1.00k
FV
11.0% overvalued
intrinsic discount
0.14%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
11 days ago
author updated this narrative
Eisai
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 13 Analysts
Rising US And European Regulation Will Erode Pricing Power
Key Takeaways Regulatory and reimbursement pressures are set to erode pricing power and compress margins, creating sustained headwinds for revenue and profit growth. Heavy reliance on a few blockbuster drugs and heightened competition raise volatility and threaten long-term earnings stability.
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JP¥3.30k
FV
28.8% overvalued
intrinsic discount
1.52%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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11 days ago
author updated this narrative
Melrose Industries
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 14 Analysts
Global Protectionism And Decarbonization Rules Will Erode Margins
Key Takeaways Rising protectionism, decarbonization costs, and shifting propulsion technologies threaten margins, cash flow, and relevance despite optimistic demand expectations. Heavy reliance on major aerospace customers and fragile supply chains heighten risks to revenue growth, production stability, and Melrose's long-term targets.
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UK£3.99
FV
34.9% overvalued
intrinsic discount
5.57%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
11 days ago
author updated this narrative
Falabella
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 9 Analysts
Digital Competition Will Erode Legacy Margins Amid Cost Pressures
Key Takeaways Slower digital adoption and increasing competition from global e-commerce firms threaten Falabella's market share, revenue, and margin growth, especially in physical retail. Rising debt, sustainability demands, and shifting consumer preferences are straining profitability and exposing the company's legacy business lines to additional risks.
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CL$2.70k
FV
82.1% overvalued
intrinsic discount
4.59%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
11 days ago
author updated this narrative
Torrent Power
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 10 Analysts
Rooftop Solar Adoption And Heavy CapEx Will Threaten Long-Term Prospects
Key Takeaways Widespread adoption of distributed energy and improved efficiency threaten long-term demand and revenue expansion, limiting Torrent Power's market growth potential. Heavy investments and exposure to regulatory shifts and competition create significant risks to margins, cash flow stability, and asset values.
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₹1.05k
FV
22.7% overvalued
intrinsic discount
5.52%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
11 days ago
author updated this narrative
Wharf (Holdings)
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 7 Analysts
Geopolitical Tensions And Oversupply Will Erode Hong Kong Asset Values
Key Takeaways Geopolitical tensions, demographic shifts, and changing work patterns threaten long-term leasing demand, property values, and recurring revenue for Wharf. Heavy reliance on Hong Kong assets increases vulnerability to local market volatility and ongoing property sector weaknesses, undermining earnings and portfolio stability.
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HK$16.30
FV
33.7% overvalued
intrinsic discount
7.75%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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11 days ago
author updated this narrative
SK Telecom
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 26 Analysts
Cyber Breaches And Rising Costs Will Undermine Long-Term Outlook
Key Takeaways Large-scale cybersecurity incident has damaged subscriber growth and increased costs, while demographic decline and weak diversification heighten vulnerability to domestic market stagnation. Mounting competition, regulatory risks, and expensive infrastructure needs threaten margins and make future earnings improvement increasingly uncertain.
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₩43.92k
FV
26.4% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-0.44%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
11 days ago
author updated this narrative
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