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Weekly Picks
Alphabet
BL
BlackGoat
Community Contributor
Alphabet: The Under-appreciated Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight
Summary Google trades at ~18× forward earnings; the cheapest among the Magnificent 7 Market is too focused on AI threats to Search and antitrust noise Meanwhile, Google is executing across AI, Cloud, and YouTube Key AI differentiator: unmatched distribution across 3B+ users via Search, Gmail, YouTube, Android, Chrome, and Cloud Quietly building a world-class AI infrastructure behind the scenes; including proprietary TPUs and a vertically integrated stack YouTube generated $8.93B in Q1 ad revenue (up 10% YoY); subscriptions hit 270M Google Cloud revenue up 28% YoY to $12.3B; now profitable Optionality from long-term bets like Waymo, DeepMind, and Verily Risk/reward is compelling; a strong candidate to beat the market long term Overview Despite being part of the "Magnificent Seven," Google’s stock lags due to perceived risks around disruption of its Search business from AI competitors and mounting antitrust concerns. But under the hood, Google has quietly built one of the most compelling setups in tech: with deep AI leadership, multiple high-growth businesses, and optionality from long-term moonshots like Waymo.
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US$282.83
FV
32.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
19
users have liked this narrative
3
users have commented on this narrative
57
users have followed this narrative
Updated
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Planet Labs PBC
AN
andreas_eliades
Community Contributor
Planet Labs: At The Heart Of The Emerging New Space Boom
Planet Labs leads the EO market with the largest satellite constellation, poised to capitalize on the growing demand for Earth Observation and geospatial data from companies and governments. Plunging space launch and GPU computation costs combined with advancements in CubeSat and AI technologies are boosting the utility of Earth Observation data.
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US$11.31
FV
45.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
30.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
18
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
61
users have followed this narrative
New
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Exxon Mobil
AG
Agricola
Community Contributor
Exxon in Guyana 5 year forecast Low $135 to High $189
Previous mistake rectified. So as pointed out in the comments, Chevron won the Hess bid (rather than Exxon) and took a large portion of the Stabroek block.
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US$174.00
FV
37.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
12.97%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
3
users have liked this narrative
4
users have commented on this narrative
15
users have followed this narrative
Updated
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Jupiter Fund Management
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 10 Analysts
Key Team Exits And European Underperformance Will Impair Global Prospects
Key Takeaways Departures and fund underperformance may negatively impact revenue growth and client retention, emphasizing the need for new inflows and improved investment performance. Squeezed fee margins and rising costs could pressure net margins, affecting future profitability unless AUM growth is achieved and strategic initiatives succeed.
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UK£1.16
FV
8.5% overvalued
intrinsic discount
2.11%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
11
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
ThredUp
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 3 Analysts
Generative AI And Marketing Will Reshape Secondhand Apparel Sector
Key Takeaways Investment in generative AI for enhanced shopping experience is expected to increase conversion rates and drive revenue growth. Competitive advantages in reverse logistics and infrastructure could improve efficiency, lowering costs and increasing net margins.
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US$9.33
FV
9.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.28%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
4
users have followed this narrative
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AMG Critical Materials
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 5 Analysts
Brazil Lithium And German Refinery Will Unlock Future Opportunities
Key Takeaways AMG's expansion in lithium and vanadium, capitalizing on tariff changes and Inflation Reduction Act benefits, boosts production and profitability resilience. Strategic developments in Germany and the U.S. position AMG to leverage EV market growth and support financial stability through improved margins.
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€25.83
FV
6.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
3.71%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
14
users have followed this narrative
Updated
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Gubra
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 2 Analysts
AbbVie Agreement And Clinical Trials Will Unlock New Avenues
Key Takeaways Strategic partnerships and collaborations with top pharma companies ensure sustainable revenue streams and growth opportunities for Gubra. Promising clinical trial results and innovative treatments could boost future revenue and market position in weight management and obesity treatments.
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DKK 635.00
FV
43.7% undervalued
intrinsic discount
49.12%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
3
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LEM Holding
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 3 Analysts
Fit For Growth Program And R&D Investments Will Strengthen Future Competitiveness
Key Takeaways Strategic expansion and R&D investments aim to improve competitiveness, revenue, and cost efficiency, enhancing margins and profitability. Growth in Chinese market shares, especially in automotive and renewable energy, is poised to elevate revenues and regional earnings.
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CHF 851.67
FV
22.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
10.54%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
7
users have followed this narrative
Updated
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Neogen
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 2 Analysts
Food Safety And Genomics Will Expand Global Markets
Key Takeaways Resilient core businesses, strategic divestitures, and efficiency initiatives are expected to stabilize revenue and expand margins as macro and operational conditions improve. Automation, manufacturing expansion, and data-driven innovation position Neogen to defend and grow market share amid evolving global food safety and diagnostics demand.
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US$6.50
FV
28.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
-1.16%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
3
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Aurinia Pharmaceuticals
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 7 Analysts
Academic Medical Centers Will Expand Lupus Care Opportunities
Key Takeaways Expansion into medical centers and new treatment guidelines may drive higher prescriber engagement and revenue for LUPKYNIS. Pipeline progression and improved lupus nephritis care could boost future growth, positively impacting revenue and margins.
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US$11.57
FV
9.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
14.71%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
10
users have followed this narrative
Updated
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NovoCure
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 8 Analysts
Multi-indication Oncology Trials Will Open European Treatment Opportunities
Key Takeaways Expanded market potential from successful oncology trials and regulatory approvals could significantly boost NovoCure's revenue through increased patient reach. Enhanced operational efficiencies via improved reimbursement and app-based tools may positively affect net margins by lowering costs and improving adherence.
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US$27.19
FV
58.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
11.07%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
7
users have followed this narrative
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Porch Group
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 6 Analysts
Fee-Based Model Transition And Data Expansion Will Shape Our Future
Key Takeaways Porch Group's shift to a fee-based insurance model and formation of PIRE create a higher-margin, more predictable earnings structure. Strategic investments in software, data, and new geographies aim to boost future revenue and EBITDA growth, leveraging products like Home Factors.
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US$14.00
FV
12.1% undervalued
intrinsic discount
4.14%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
2
users have followed this narrative
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