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Alphabet
BL
BlackGoat
Community Contributor
Alphabet: The Under-appreciated Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight
Summary Google trades at ~18× forward earnings; the cheapest among the Magnificent 7 Market is too focused on AI threats to Search and antitrust noise Meanwhile, Google is executing across AI, Cloud, and YouTube Key AI differentiator: unmatched distribution across 3B+ users via Search, Gmail, YouTube, Android, Chrome, and Cloud Quietly building a world-class AI infrastructure behind the scenes; including proprietary TPUs and a vertically integrated stack YouTube generated $8.93B in Q1 ad revenue (up 10% YoY); subscriptions hit 270M Google Cloud revenue up 28% YoY to $12.3B; now profitable Optionality from long-term bets like Waymo, DeepMind, and Verily Risk/reward is compelling; a strong candidate to beat the market long term Overview Despite being part of the "Magnificent Seven," Google’s stock lags due to perceived risks around disruption of its Search business from AI competitors and mounting antitrust concerns. But under the hood, Google has quietly built one of the most compelling setups in tech: with deep AI leadership, multiple high-growth businesses, and optionality from long-term moonshots like Waymo.
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US$282.83
FV
30.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
24
users have liked this narrative
3
users have commented on this narrative
64
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
Planet Labs PBC
AN
andreas_eliades
Community Contributor
Planet Labs: At The Heart Of The Emerging New Space Boom
Planet Labs leads the EO market with the largest satellite constellation, poised to capitalize on the growing demand for Earth Observation and geospatial data from companies and governments. Plunging space launch and GPU computation costs combined with advancements in CubeSat and AI technologies are boosting the utility of Earth Observation data.
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US$11.31
FV
42.2% undervalued
intrinsic discount
30.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
18
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
68
users have followed this narrative
7 days ago
author updated this narrative
Exxon Mobil
AG
Agricola
Community Contributor
Exxon in Guyana 5 year forecast Low $135 to High $189
Previous mistake rectified. So as pointed out in the comments, Chevron won the Hess bid (rather than Exxon) and took a large portion of the Stabroek block.
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US$174.00
FV
38.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
12.97%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
4
users have liked this narrative
4
users have commented on this narrative
18
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
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PostNL
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 5 Analysts
Declining Mail Volumes And Mounting Cost Pressures Will Strain Operations
Key Takeaways Declining mail volumes, labor cost inflation, and regulatory headwinds threaten earnings stability and place pressure on both revenue and margins. Expansion into parcels and automation increases capital demands, weakening cash flow and elevating risks to deleveraging and dividend sustainability.
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€0.77
FV
25.9% overvalued
intrinsic discount
2.09%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
12 days ago
author updated this narrative
Alliance Global Group
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 3 Analysts
Rising Debt And Demographic Decline In Philippines Will Hinder Prospects
Key Takeaways Concentrated revenue streams and demographic shifts expose the group to stagnation risk and negative earnings impact from sector-specific downturns and regulatory changes. Rising debt and heightened regulatory scrutiny threaten margins, increase costs, and limit long-term growth across property, alcohol, and hospitality segments.
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₱6.00
FV
25.8% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-4.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
12 days ago
author updated this narrative
Creative Realities
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 4 Analysts
Delayed Deployments And Regulatory Pressures Will Shape A Cautious Rebound
Key Takeaways Growth prospects hinge on unpredictable project timelines, evolving privacy regulations, and potential declines in demand for in-store digital signage due to shifts toward e-commerce. Margin pressures and earnings volatility persist due to competitive threats, customer concentration risks, and reliance on large-scale project deployments for revenue.
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US$4.50
FV
41.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
17.84%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
12 days ago
author updated this narrative
MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 4 Analysts
Cyclical Volatility Will Challenge Maritime Services But Sustain Stability
Key Takeaways High exposure to illiquid assets and project-based co-investments leaves earnings and asset values vulnerable to sector downturns and market shocks. Rising regulatory, integration, and technology costs may pressure long-term profitability and limit operational flexibility, despite stable management fee coverage of operating expenses.
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€7.00
FV
29.6% undervalued
intrinsic discount
6.42%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
2
users have followed this narrative
12 days ago
author updated this narrative
Clean Science and Technology
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 11 Analysts
Global Trade Tensions And Rising Costs Will Erode Prospects
Key Takeaways Heavy reliance on established products and exposure to volatile global markets create significant risk of sharp earnings declines if disrupted by competition or regulation. Rising compliance costs and increased competition are likely to compress margins and hinder the company's ability to grow earnings sustainably.
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₹1.05k
FV
14.1% overvalued
intrinsic discount
25.20%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
12 days ago
author updated this narrative
Truworths International
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 7 Analysts
Digital Retail Weakness And Credit Risks Will Undermine Value
Key Takeaways Lagging digital adoption and high mall dependence put Truworths at risk of market share loss and margin pressure as retail shifts online. Structural economic and demographic headwinds in South Africa restrict spending and threaten Truworths' premium positioning, further constraining growth and profitability.
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R73.00
FV
5.7% undervalued
intrinsic discount
5.19%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
12 days ago
author updated this narrative
Finolex Industries
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 15 Analysts
Regulatory Pressures And Volatile Costs Will Undermine Market Fundamentals
Key Takeaways Increasing regulatory and environmental pressures, coupled with a lack of diversification, threaten revenue stability and expose Finolex Industries to single-segment risk. Competition from new entrants, volatile input costs, and emerging product alternatives may significantly impact profitability and limit future growth prospects.
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₹180.84
FV
9.5% overvalued
intrinsic discount
9.67%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
12 days ago
author updated this narrative
Stratec
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 5 Analysts
Molecular Diagnostics Saturation Will Slow Progress But Offer Hope
Key Takeaways Revenue growth may be limited by slow product adoption, market saturation, and customer delays in new analyzer investments despite supportive long-term trends. Margin and cash flow improvements are challenged by industry cost pressures, high inventory, and dependency on large OEM partners for new growth opportunities.
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€32.50
FV
17.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
5.52%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
12 days ago
author updated this narrative
JTC
JTC
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 8 Analysts
Compliance And Integration Risks Will Dim Prospects But Spark Hope
Key Takeaways Rising regulatory costs and industry consolidation threaten JTC's margins, revenue predictability, and ability to maintain historic market share. Integration risks and digital disruption may hinder earnings growth by increasing operational complexity and reducing pricing power.
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UK£10.25
FV
7.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
19.82%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
12 days ago
author updated this narrative
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