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Alphabet
BL
BlackGoat
Community Contributor
Alphabet: The Under-appreciated Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight
Summary Google trades at ~18× forward earnings; the cheapest among the Magnificent 7 Market is too focused on AI threats to Search and antitrust noise Meanwhile, Google is executing across AI, Cloud, and YouTube Key AI differentiator: unmatched distribution across 3B+ users via Search, Gmail, YouTube, Android, Chrome, and Cloud Quietly building a world-class AI infrastructure behind the scenes; including proprietary TPUs and a vertically integrated stack YouTube generated $8.93B in Q1 ad revenue (up 10% YoY); subscriptions hit 270M Google Cloud revenue up 28% YoY to $12.3B; now profitable Optionality from long-term bets like Waymo, DeepMind, and Verily Risk/reward is compelling; a strong candidate to beat the market long term Overview Despite being part of the "Magnificent Seven," Google’s stock lags due to perceived risks around disruption of its Search business from AI competitors and mounting antitrust concerns. But under the hood, Google has quietly built one of the most compelling setups in tech: with deep AI leadership, multiple high-growth businesses, and optionality from long-term moonshots like Waymo.
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US$282.83
FV
30.5% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
13
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
36
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
Planet Labs PBC
AN
andreas_eliades
Community Contributor
Planet Labs: At The Heart Of The Emerging New Space Boom
Planet Labs leads the EO market with the largest satellite constellation, poised to capitalize on the growing demand for Earth Observation and geospatial data from companies and governments. Plunging space launch and GPU computation costs combined with advancements in CubeSat and AI technologies are boosting the utility of Earth Observation data.
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US$11.31
FV
45.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
30.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
11
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
38
users have followed this narrative
New
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Exxon Mobil
AG
Agricola
Community Contributor
Exxon in Guyana 5 year forecast Low $135 to High $189
Key Assumptions: Successful Guyana and South America Deposits: ExxonMobil’s Stabroek Block in Guyana is assumed to achieve full operational success, contributing significantly to production growth. The block is estimated to hold over 11 billion barrels of recoverable oil, with production scaling rapidly.
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US$189.00
FV
40.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
14.85%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
2
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
5
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Herc Holdings
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 10 Analysts
Digital Shifts And Heavy Debt Will Curtail Fleet Utilization
Key Takeaways Accelerating industry digitalization and green regulation threaten Herc's traditional fleet strategy, requiring costly adaptation and risking utilization and profit margins. Heavy reliance on debt for acquisitions and tough competition from digitally advanced rivals could constrain cash flow and erode long-term profitability.
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US$100.00
FV
23.6% overvalued
intrinsic discount
15.32%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
7 days ago
author updated this narrative
Kontoor Brands
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 6 Analysts
Digital Shifts Will Threaten Legacy Denim But Allow Minor Upside
Key Takeaways Heavy reliance on legacy denim brands and slow supply chain adaptation threaten relevance with younger consumers and competitiveness against agile, trend-driven rivals. Margin erosion and profitability risks persist due to rising input costs, sustainability demands, and a wholesale-centric model losing ground to digital-first brands.
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US$48.41
FV
25.7% overvalued
intrinsic discount
11.02%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
7 days ago
author updated this narrative
CNX Resources
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 13 Analysts
Apex Wells Will Uplift Outlook Despite Flexible Production Concerns
Key Takeaways CNX Resources' conservative production strategy could hamper revenue growth if natural gas prices unexpectedly rise and the company cannot quickly capitalize. Focus on free cash flow over aggressive production indicates a cautious financial approach that may limit rapid earnings growth and lead to undervaluation issues.
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US$25.00
FV
21.2% overvalued
intrinsic discount
11.24%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
7 days ago
author updated this narrative
Clear Secure
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 8 Analysts
Credit Card Gaps And TSA PreCheck Challenges Will Weaken Operations
Key Takeaways Discontinuation of deep discounts may impact member retention and revenue stability, as price adjustments risk alienating existing customers. Dependence on government partnerships and processes could slow execution and delay expected revenue benefits in airport technology enhancements.
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US$23.00
FV
28.9% overvalued
intrinsic discount
8.63%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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7 days ago
author updated this narrative
Kilroy Realty
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 15 Analysts
Persistent Headwinds Will Erode West Coast Office Values
Key Takeaways Weak office market demand and tenant shifts toward digital workspaces are causing persistent leasing challenges and undermining Kilroy’s occupancy rates and income growth. Heavy exposure to volatile tech-centric West Coast markets, coupled with high operating costs and oversupply, increases risk to profitability and asset values.
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US$33.00
FV
16.1% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-0.019%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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7 days ago
author updated this narrative
Lincoln Educational Services
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 5 Analysts
Implementing 100 Hybrid Teaching And New Campuses Will Improve Student Attraction And Efficiency
Key Takeaways The hybrid teaching model and program expansions are set to drive revenue growth through increased enrollment and operational efficiency. Financial stability and strategic partnerships support growth and enhance student opportunities and retention, positively impacting revenue and margins.
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US$25.80
FV
12.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.21%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
7 days ago
author updated this narrative
ASGN
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 6 Analysts
Macroeconomic Uncertainty Will Impact Spending But IT Demand Will Persist
Key Takeaways Macroeconomic uncertainties and cautious IT spending pose significant risks to ASGN's revenue growth across various sectors. Rising competition and increased expenses may strain ASGN's profit margins, potentially impacting net income negatively.
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US$42.00
FV
27.5% overvalued
intrinsic discount
1.31%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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7 days ago
author updated this narrative
Bridgewater Bancshares
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 3 Analysts
Loan Demand And Affordable Housing Investments Will Fuel Lending Capacity
Key Takeaways Bridgewater's focus on loan demand, core deposit growth, and affordable housing is anticipated to drive future revenue and enhance net margins. Market disruptions are being leveraged for increased market share and client acquisition, supporting enhanced revenue and earnings growth.
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US$18.50
FV
13.2% undervalued
intrinsic discount
17.60%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
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7 days ago
author updated this narrative
BAWAG Group
AN
AnalystHighTarget
Consensus Narrative from 10 Analysts
Digitalization And Consolidation Will Empower European Online Banking
Key Takeaways Rapid synergy realization from recent integrations and advanced digital capabilities are driving operational efficiency and scalable growth beyond initial expectations. Strong momentum in retail and specialty finance, coupled with disciplined expansion in underpenetrated regions, positions BAWAG for sustained, sector-leading profitability and market share gains.
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€141.06
FV
21.7% undervalued
intrinsic discount
17.48%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
7 days ago
author updated this narrative
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