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Alphabet
BL
BlackGoat
Community Contributor
Alphabet: The Under-appreciated Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight
Summary Google trades at ~18× forward earnings; the cheapest among the Magnificent 7 Market is too focused on AI threats to Search and antitrust noise Meanwhile, Google is executing across AI, Cloud, and YouTube Key AI differentiator: unmatched distribution across 3B+ users via Search, Gmail, YouTube, Android, Chrome, and Cloud Quietly building a world-class AI infrastructure behind the scenes; including proprietary TPUs and a vertically integrated stack YouTube generated $8.93B in Q1 ad revenue (up 10% YoY); subscriptions hit 270M Google Cloud revenue up 28% YoY to $12.3B; now profitable Optionality from long-term bets like Waymo, DeepMind, and Verily Risk/reward is compelling; a strong candidate to beat the market long term Overview Despite being part of the "Magnificent Seven," Google’s stock lags due to perceived risks around disruption of its Search business from AI competitors and mounting antitrust concerns. But under the hood, Google has quietly built one of the most compelling setups in tech: with deep AI leadership, multiple high-growth businesses, and optionality from long-term moonshots like Waymo.
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US$282.83
FV
32.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
24
users have liked this narrative
3
users have commented on this narrative
62
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
Planet Labs PBC
AN
andreas_eliades
Community Contributor
Planet Labs: At The Heart Of The Emerging New Space Boom
Planet Labs leads the EO market with the largest satellite constellation, poised to capitalize on the growing demand for Earth Observation and geospatial data from companies and governments. Plunging space launch and GPU computation costs combined with advancements in CubeSat and AI technologies are boosting the utility of Earth Observation data.
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US$11.31
FV
45.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
30.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
18
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
64
users have followed this narrative
New
narrative
Exxon Mobil
AG
Agricola
Community Contributor
Exxon in Guyana 5 year forecast Low $135 to High $189
Previous mistake rectified. So as pointed out in the comments, Chevron won the Hess bid (rather than Exxon) and took a large portion of the Stabroek block.
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US$174.00
FV
37.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
12.97%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
4
users have liked this narrative
4
users have commented on this narrative
16
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
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EZTEC Empreendimentos e Participações
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 12 Analysts
High Brazilian Interest And Costs Will Hinder São Paulo Housing
Key Takeaways High interest rates, demographic shifts, and elevated land costs threaten demand, margins, and cash flows for EZTEC in its core market. Heavy geographic concentration and rising construction expenses heighten vulnerability to regional downturns and ongoing profitability pressures.
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R$12.00
FV
17.8% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-4.84%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
18 days ago
author updated this narrative
Vimian Group
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 6 Analysts
Rising Interest Rates And Tariffs Will Weaken US MedTech Margins
Key Takeaways Reliance on acquisitions and exposure to rising rates and tariffs heighten operational risk and threaten predictable earnings and margin stability. Structural decline in key U.S. markets and digital disruption may erode market share, compress margins, and hinder long-term growth.
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SEK 37.32
FV
10.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
11.15%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
18 days ago
author updated this narrative
Bandhan Bank
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 24 Analysts
Indian Digital Banking Rivalry Will Exacerbate Credit And Cost Pressures
Key Takeaways Overdependence on microfinance and limited geographic diversification expose Bandhan Bank to elevated credit and regional risks, undermining sustained profitability and stability. Intensifying digital competition and rising compliance costs are constraining Bandhan Bank's margin expansion, limiting its ability to match sector-leading returns.
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₹134.53
FV
21.5% overvalued
intrinsic discount
21.30%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
18 days ago
author updated this narrative
SCHOTT Pharma KGaA
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 12 Analysts
Increasing Environmental Regulations And Supply Chain Risks Will Erode Profitability
Key Takeaways Regulatory shifts towards sustainability and stricter packaging rules threaten increased costs, margin pressure, and reduced profitability for SCHOTT Pharma. Rising competition, shifting buyer power, and evolving drug delivery technologies risk eroding pricing, revenue growth, and long-term market share.
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€23.00
FV
2.6% overvalued
intrinsic discount
10.26%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
18 days ago
author updated this narrative
AWL Agri Business
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 6 Analysts
Edible Oil Demand Will Fall Amid Rising Regulatory Risks
Key Takeaways Shifts toward sustainable food, increased regulation, and climate risks threaten AWL's core business model and growth prospects. Growing competition and reliance on edible oils expose AWL to price pressures and persistent volatility in revenue and profitability.
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₹260.00
FV
1.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
6.16%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
18 days ago
author updated this narrative
Ayvens
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 7 Analysts
Shifting Mobility Trends And Autonomous Disruption Will Weaken Traditional Leasing
Key Takeaways Disruptive mobility trends, autonomous technology, and regulatory pressures threaten Ayvens' business model, market size, and profitability through reduced demand and increased costs. High leverage, integration risks post-merger, and operational inefficiencies may erode earnings and hinder investment in modernization.
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€6.00
FV
54.2% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-0.75%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
18 days ago
author updated this narrative
KT
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 25 Analysts
South Korea's Aging Population Will Limit Revenues Despite Cloud Upside
Key Takeaways Declining population and market saturation are constraining growth, with legacy revenue streams under persistent pressure from technological shifts and changing consumer behavior. New business initiatives face intense competition and regulatory risks, making it difficult to offset erosion in core telecom profitability and maintain robust returns.
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₩51.40k
FV
5.1% overvalued
intrinsic discount
0.66%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
18 days ago
author updated this narrative
Boliden
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 16 Analysts
Higher ESG Burdens And Lower Ore Grades Will Erode Margins
Key Takeaways Rising adoption of recycled metals and regulatory pressures threaten Boliden's growth, increase operational costs, and complicate project permitting across core markets. Depleting ore grades, volatile energy prices, and increased global competition are eroding margins, reducing pricing power, and heightening long-term earnings volatility.
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SEK 250.17
FV
19.2% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-1.11%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
18 days ago
author updated this narrative
Akeso
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 20 Analysts
Aggressive Pricing In China Will Compress Margins Despite Clinical Promise
Key Takeaways Deep price cuts and increased government cost controls are set to compress Akeso's revenue, margins, and profitability for the foreseeable future. Heavy pipeline concentration and escalating competition expose Akeso to significant growth risk and potential shareholder dilution.
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HK$89.52
FV
74.6% overvalued
intrinsic discount
47.01%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
18 days ago
author updated this narrative
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