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Weekly Picks
Alphabet
BL
BlackGoat
Community Contributor
Alphabet: The Under-appreciated Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight
Summary Google trades at ~18× forward earnings; the cheapest among the Magnificent 7 Market is too focused on AI threats to Search and antitrust noise Meanwhile, Google is executing across AI, Cloud, and YouTube Key AI differentiator: unmatched distribution across 3B+ users via Search, Gmail, YouTube, Android, Chrome, and Cloud Quietly building a world-class AI infrastructure behind the scenes; including proprietary TPUs and a vertically integrated stack YouTube generated $8.93B in Q1 ad revenue (up 10% YoY); subscriptions hit 270M Google Cloud revenue up 28% YoY to $12.3B; now profitable Optionality from long-term bets like Waymo, DeepMind, and Verily Risk/reward is compelling; a strong candidate to beat the market long term Overview Despite being part of the "Magnificent Seven," Google’s stock lags due to perceived risks around disruption of its Search business from AI competitors and mounting antitrust concerns. But under the hood, Google has quietly built one of the most compelling setups in tech: with deep AI leadership, multiple high-growth businesses, and optionality from long-term moonshots like Waymo.
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US$282.83
FV
32.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
19
users have liked this narrative
3
users have commented on this narrative
54
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
Planet Labs PBC
AN
andreas_eliades
Community Contributor
Planet Labs: At The Heart Of The Emerging New Space Boom
Planet Labs leads the EO market with the largest satellite constellation, poised to capitalize on the growing demand for Earth Observation and geospatial data from companies and governments. Plunging space launch and GPU computation costs combined with advancements in CubeSat and AI technologies are boosting the utility of Earth Observation data.
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US$11.31
FV
45.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
30.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
18
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
58
users have followed this narrative
New
narrative
Exxon Mobil
AG
Agricola
Community Contributor
Exxon in Guyana 5 year forecast Low $135 to High $189
Previous mistake rectified. So as pointed out in the comments, Chevron won the Hess bid (rather than Exxon) and took a large portion of the Stabroek block.
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US$174.00
FV
37.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
12.97%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
3
users have liked this narrative
4
users have commented on this narrative
14
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
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Skyworks Solutions
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 19 Analysts
Maturing Smartphones And Apple Dependence Will Cripple Value
Key Takeaways Heavy dependence on mobile and a single large customer exposes Skyworks to revenue volatility and long-term growth challenges. Rising competition, cost pressures, and lagging R&D investment threaten future profitability and competitive positioning.
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US$52.43
FV
29.1% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-1.51%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
2 days ago
author updated this narrative
Royalty Pharma
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 8 Analysts
Patent Cliffs And Regulatory Challenges Will Limit Future Returns
Key Takeaways Global drug pricing reforms, faster generic approvals, and greater regulatory scrutiny threaten the longevity and value of Royalty Pharma’s royalty streams and earnings stability. Rising interest rates and increased competition for royalty assets are compressing margins, elevating acquisition costs, and reducing the company’s financial flexibility and equity appeal.
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US$32.19
FV
15.3% overvalued
intrinsic discount
14.05%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
2 days ago
author updated this narrative
Planet Fitness
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 17 Analysts
Leadership Changes And New Strength Equipment Will Improve Future Member Satisfaction
Key Takeaways Leadership and strategic changes at Planet Fitness suggest improved operational efficiency, which could positively affect future earnings and net margins. Club growth and equipment upgrades are expected to expand revenue and enhance member satisfaction, contributing to increased membership and better revenue streams.
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US$117.88
FV
8.7% undervalued
intrinsic discount
12.43%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
4
users have followed this narrative
2 days ago
author updated this narrative
Nova
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 5 Analysts
Advanced Packaging Demand And Metrion Adoption Will Support Future Success
Key Takeaways Nova's innovative materials metrology solutions and strategic acquisitions are key drivers of revenue growth and expanded market presence. Strong gross margins and increased tool sales from new customer acquisitions support sustained net margin expansion.
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US$274.00
FV
3.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
12.14%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
16
users have followed this narrative
2 days ago
author updated this narrative
Cognex
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 18 Analysts
AI Machine Vision Will Transform Industrial Automation And Logistics
Key Takeaways Cognex's focus on AI-driven machine vision and expanding markets could enhance revenue and customer retention. Strategic emphasis on logistics and cost discipline is expected to drive strong growth and improve profitability.
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US$38.35
FV
5.5% overvalued
intrinsic discount
9.23%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
1
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
10
users have followed this narrative
2 days ago
author updated this narrative
Omnicom Group
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 9 Analysts
Digital Advertising Pressures Will Erode Revenues Yet Enable Cautious Rebound
Key Takeaways Growth in digital and data-driven marketing favors Omnicom, but in-house platforms and self-service tools threaten market share and client retention. Investments in AI and acquisitions support service expansion, yet integration delays, transparency demands, and data privacy risks constrain margin and earnings stability.
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US$78.00
FV
8.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
2.05%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
2 days ago
author updated this narrative
Prosperity Bancshares
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 13 Analysts
American Bank Acquisition And Texas Expansion Will Transform Community Banking
Key Takeaways Strategic acquisitions and digital investments in fast-growing Texas markets are driving superior core growth, customer loyalty, and reinforcing a strong deposit base. Effective cost controls, strong commercial lending momentum, and prudent balance sheet management are set to deliver higher margins and sustainable earnings growth.
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US$81.54
FV
19.2% undervalued
intrinsic discount
11.04%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
2 days ago
author updated this narrative
Southwest Airlines
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 20 Analysts
Remote Work Shifts And High Costs Will Erode Margins
Key Takeaways Declining business travel, regulatory costs, and rising labor expenses threaten margins, while reliance on a single aircraft type heightens operational risks. Competitive pressures, capital-intensive upgrades, and supply chain vulnerability challenge Southwest's ability to sustain historical returns and robust free cash flow.
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US$19.00
FV
56.8% overvalued
intrinsic discount
4.66%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
2 days ago
author updated this narrative
WillScot Holdings
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 9 Analysts
Advanced CRM And In-Sourcing Will Improve Project Efficiency
Key Takeaways Strategic initiatives in sales productivity and in-sourcing aim to drive both revenue and net margins through operational efficiencies and VAPS focus. Capital allocation strategies, including share buybacks and leverage containment, indicate potential EPS growth from improved debt leverage ratios.
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US$36.11
FV
29.9% undervalued
intrinsic discount
3.43%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
4
users have followed this narrative
2 days ago
author updated this narrative
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