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Weekly Picks
Alphabet
BL
BlackGoat
Community Contributor
Alphabet: The Under-appreciated Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight
Summary Google trades at ~18× forward earnings; the cheapest among the Magnificent 7 Market is too focused on AI threats to Search and antitrust noise Meanwhile, Google is executing across AI, Cloud, and YouTube Key AI differentiator: unmatched distribution across 3B+ users via Search, Gmail, YouTube, Android, Chrome, and Cloud Quietly building a world-class AI infrastructure behind the scenes; including proprietary TPUs and a vertically integrated stack YouTube generated $8.93B in Q1 ad revenue (up 10% YoY); subscriptions hit 270M Google Cloud revenue up 28% YoY to $12.3B; now profitable Optionality from long-term bets like Waymo, DeepMind, and Verily Risk/reward is compelling; a strong candidate to beat the market long term Overview Despite being part of the "Magnificent Seven," Google’s stock lags due to perceived risks around disruption of its Search business from AI competitors and mounting antitrust concerns. But under the hood, Google has quietly built one of the most compelling setups in tech: with deep AI leadership, multiple high-growth businesses, and optionality from long-term moonshots like Waymo.
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US$282.83
FV
31.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
19
users have liked this narrative
3
users have commented on this narrative
52
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
Planet Labs PBC
AN
andreas_eliades
Community Contributor
Planet Labs: At The Heart Of The Emerging New Space Boom
Planet Labs leads the EO market with the largest satellite constellation, poised to capitalize on the growing demand for Earth Observation and geospatial data from companies and governments. Plunging space launch and GPU computation costs combined with advancements in CubeSat and AI technologies are boosting the utility of Earth Observation data.
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US$11.31
FV
44.7% undervalued
intrinsic discount
30.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
18
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
57
users have followed this narrative
New
narrative
Exxon Mobil
AG
Agricola
Community Contributor
Exxon in Guyana 5 year forecast Low $135 to High $189
Previous mistake rectified. So as pointed out in the comments, Chevron won the Hess bid (rather than Exxon) and took a large portion of the Stabroek block.
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US$174.00
FV
35.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
12.97%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
3
users have liked this narrative
4
users have commented on this narrative
13
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
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Balkrishna Industries
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 19 Analysts
OHT Expansion Will Falter Under Global EV Pressure
Key Takeaways Reliance on traditional off-highway and agricultural tire markets leaves the company exposed to risks from industry shifts, weak diversification, and evolving environmental standards. Escalating geopolitical tensions, rising protectionism, and sector competition threaten company margins, asset utilization, and revenue consistency amid ongoing expansion efforts.
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₹1.99k
FV
30.0% overvalued
intrinsic discount
14.16%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
9 days ago
author updated this narrative
Orange Polska
AN
AnalystHighTarget
Consensus Narrative from 8 Analysts
Digitalization And 5G Will Unlock Smart City Potential
Key Takeaways Rapid digital transformation, 5G expansion, and dominant fiber infrastructure are driving higher efficiency, market share, and untapped revenue growth opportunities. Sector consolidation, regulatory support, and focus on high-value segments strengthen competitive positioning and sustain profitability improvements.
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zł10.80
FV
19.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
3.73%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
9 days ago
author updated this narrative
Evolution Petroleum
AN
AnalystHighTarget
Consensus Narrative from 3 Analysts
Global Energy Demand And Technological Advances Will Fuel Lasting Production
Key Takeaways Ability to source undervalued, low-decline assets and reduce operating costs positions Evolution for superior revenue growth and sustained margin improvements over peers. Focus on gas-weighted development, robust hedging, and data-driven efficiencies enables significant upside in revenues and organic production amid rising global energy demand.
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US$8.25
FV
41.5% undervalued
intrinsic discount
3.02%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
9 days ago
author updated this narrative
Phoenix Group Holdings
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 13 Analysts
UK Demographics And Legacy Liabilities Will Constrain Pension Returns
Key Takeaways Structural reliance on legacy policies and demographic headwinds threaten sustained revenue growth, as new business is insufficient to offset the decline in mature markets. Rising costs from financial leverage, digital disruption, and regulatory compliance pressure margins, constraining investment capacity and long-term profitability.
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UK£5.50
FV
20.7% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-35.41%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
2
users have followed this narrative
9 days ago
author updated this narrative
Whitbread
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 16 Analysts
UK Cost Pressures And Shifting Demand Will Erode Prospects Modestly
Key Takeaways Structural shifts in travel, rising operating costs, and UK market dependence threaten sustained revenue and margin growth for Whitbread's hotel business. Growth of alternative lodging and eco-conscious consumer trends risk eroding Premier Inn's market share unless Whitbread quickly adapts its offering and asset portfolio.
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UK£26.50
FV
15.2% overvalued
intrinsic discount
1.81%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
9 days ago
author updated this narrative
Norwegian Air Shuttle
AN
AnalystHighTarget
Consensus Narrative from 6 Analysts
Widerøe Integration And Digital Progress Will Drive Sustainable Air Travel
Key Takeaways Strong operational execution, strategic fleet ownership, and integration of Widerøe position Norwegian for above-peer revenue growth, earnings resilience, and organic network optimization. Robust financial health and proactive sustainability initiatives empower industry-leading shareholder returns, premium pricing, and durable regulatory and margin advantages.
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NOK 19.00
FV
10.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
7.01%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
9 days ago
author updated this narrative
JB Hi-Fi
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 14 Analysts
E-commerce And DTC Rivals Will Crush Brick-And-Mortar Margins
Key Takeaways Intensifying online competition and direct-to-consumer sales are eroding JB Hi-Fi's market share, pricing power, and profitability. Market saturation and shifting consumer trends limit future revenue growth and place persistent pressure on margins.
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AU$57.09
FV
97.3% overvalued
intrinsic discount
5.18%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
9 days ago
author updated this narrative
Permanent TSB Group Holdings
AN
AnalystHighTarget
Consensus Narrative from 6 Analysts
Digital Adoption And Urbanisation Will Expand Irish Banking
Key Takeaways Rapid digital adoption and strategic transformation position the bank for significant revenue growth, cost efficiency, and sustainable profitability gains above consensus expectations. Enhanced market position, sector consolidation benefits, and leadership in green lending set the stage for outsized growth in core and emerging banking segments.
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€3.00
FV
30.7% undervalued
intrinsic discount
4.25%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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9 days ago
author updated this narrative
Rumo
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 15 Analysts
Debt And Rail Will Erode Margins But Recovery Will Follow
Key Takeaways Exposure to volatile commodity cycles, weather, and concentrated corridors limits revenue stability and increases risk to net margins and cash flows. High capital spending and debt, along with competitive transport pressures, threaten expected efficiency gains and long-term volume growth.
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R$19.50
FV
15.2% undervalued
intrinsic discount
4.79%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
9 days ago
author updated this narrative
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