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ZTO Express (Cayman)
ZTO
ZTO Express (Cayman)
Chinese E-Commerce Deceleration And Cost Pressures Will Strain Performance
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Not Invested
Consensus Narrative from 20 Analysts
Published
13 Jun 25
Updated
16 Aug 25
0
Set Fair Value
0
votes
Share
AnalystLowTarget
's Fair Value
US$17.52
9.0% overvalued
intrinsic discount
16 Aug
US$19.10
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1Y
-7.2%
7D
-4.1%
Author's Valuation
US$17.5
9.0% overvalued
intrinsic discount
AnalystLowTarget Fair Value
View Valuation
Narrative
Updates
0
Valuator
Company Info
Notes
AnalystLowTarget Fair Value
US$17.5
9.0% overvalued
intrinsic discount
Future estimation in
3 Years
time period
Past
Future
0
58b
2014
2017
2020
2023
2025
2026
2028
Revenue CN¥58.5b
Earnings CN¥9.0b
Revenue
Profit Margin
Future PE
Revenue
% p.a.
0
Decrease
Increase
Current revenue growth rate
9.68%
Logistics revenue growth rate
0.22%
Other Inputs & Calculation
Risk Level (Discount Rate)
Our default considers factors like the company's size, volatility, profitablity and country of operation.
Risk Level (Discount Rate)
%
0
Decrease
Increase
Current discount rate
8.24%
Calculation
CN¥8.97b
Earnings '28
x
13.80x
PE Ratio '28
=
CN¥123.77b
Market Cap '28
CN¥123.77b
Market Cap '28
/
779.36m
No. shares '28
=
CN¥158.81
Share Price '28
CN¥158.81
Share Price '28
Discounted to 2025 @ 8.17% p.a.
=
CN¥125.46
Fair Value '25
CN¥125.46
Fair Value '25
Converted to USD @ 0.1392 CNY/USD Exchange Rate
=
US$17.47
Fair Value '25