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ALAB: Product Transition And Competitive Threats Will Shape Connectivity Ecosystem Outlook

Published
21 Apr 25
Updated
03 Nov 25
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
76.7%
7D
-13.3%

Author's Valuation

US$189.1116.6% undervalued intrinsic discount

AnalystConsensusTarget Fair Value

Shared on 03 Nov 25

Fair value Increased 0.47%

Analysts have slightly increased their fair value estimate for Astera Labs, raising the price target by less than $1 to $189.11 per share. Ongoing product transitions and stable hyperscaler interest support moderate optimism despite competitive pressures.

Shared on 20 Oct 25

Fair value Increased 1.07%

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Astera Labs by $2 to $188, citing continued strength in AI connectivity in light of shifting competitive dynamics and new product launches. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates provide a nuanced perspective on Astera Labs’ future performance and valuation.

Shared on 05 Oct 25

Fair value Increased 1.97%

The analyst price target for Astera Labs has been raised from $182.63 to $186.22. Analysts cite continued strong revenue momentum and new product launches as factors supporting a higher valuation, despite persistent competitive and valuation concerns.

Shared on 18 Sep 25

Fair value Increased 4.10%

Astera Labs’ consensus price target has risen to $182.62 as analysts cite strong adoption of the Scorpio P PCIe switch, broader AI platform exposure, and growing per-system revenues, partially tempered by valuation concerns. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlight the successful ramp-up of the Scorpio P PCIe switch, contributing to revenue upside, particularly for AI rack scale-out applications.

Shared on 22 Aug 25

Fair value Increased 12%

Analyst sentiment on Astera Labs has improved due to stronger revenue prospects from AI-related product momentum, diversification, and rising platform content, leading to an increased consensus price target from $156.44 to $166.47. Analyst Commentary Revenue upside driven by the ramp of the Scorpio P PCIe switch for scale-out in AI racks.

Shared on 07 Aug 25

Fair value Increased 48%

The sharp upward revision in Astera Labs' consensus price target reflects improved profitability, as evidenced by a higher net profit margin and increased future P/E expectations, resulting in a new fair value of $156.44. What's in the News Astera Labs provided Q3 2025 earnings guidance, expecting revenue of $203–210 million, GAAP gross margin of approximately 75%, and GAAP diluted EPS of $0.23–$0.24 on about 180 million shares.

Shared on 01 May 25

Fair value Decreased 22%

Shared on 24 Apr 25

Fair value Increased 33%

AnalystConsensusTarget has increased revenue growth from 37.0% to 44.3%, increased future PE multiple from 94.7x to 113.0x and decreased shares outstanding growth rate from 0.1% to 0.0%.