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Rising Labor Costs And Inflation Will Squeeze Hotel Margins

Published
28 Mar 25
Updated
26 Sep 25
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
-38.3%
7D
0.6%

Author's Valuation

US$2.7537.8% undervalued intrinsic discount

AnalystConsensusTarget Fair Value

Shared on 26 Sep 25

Fair value Increased 22%

Service Properties Trust’s analyst price target has increased from $2.25 to $2.75, primarily due to improved liquidity and debt maturity management following a recent zero-coupon debt issuance, though upside remains constrained by net lease challenges and substantial longer-term debt maturities. Analyst Commentary Recent zero-coupon debt issuance has reduced near-term liquidity risk and should bring the company back into compliance with debt covenants.

Shared on 11 Sep 25

Fair value Decreased 10%

Analysts have lowered their price target for Service Properties Trust to $2.25, citing muted hotel earnings growth, persistent net lease headwinds, and elevated refinancing risk from significant upcoming debt maturities, which collectively limit near-term upside. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts cite slow and only moderate post-renovation earnings growth in the hotel segment.

Shared on 30 Jul 25

Fair value Decreased 9.64%

Despite improved revenue growth forecasts, a notable decline in net profit margin has led to a reduced consensus analyst price target for Service Properties Trust, now set at $2.50. Valuation Changes Summary of Valuation Changes for Service Properties Trust The Consensus Analyst Price Target has fallen from $2.77 to $2.50.

Shared on 01 May 25

Fair value Increased 0.24%

AnalystConsensusTarget has decreased profit margin from 5.3% to 4.7% and increased future PE multiple from 8.7x to 9.8x.

Shared on 24 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 12%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 17 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 14%

AnalystConsensusTarget has decreased future PE multiple from 11.3x to 9.6x.

Shared on 09 Apr 25

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 02 Apr 25

Fair value Increased 56%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.