Cincinnati Financial

Analysts Lift Cincinnati Financial Price Target on Resilient Earnings and Lower Catastrophe Risks

AN

AnalystConsensusTarget

AnalystConsensusTarget

Not Invested

Based on Analyst Price Targets

Published

20 Aug 24

Updated

06 Dec 25

Views

96

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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value

n/a

1Y

16.9%

7D

2.8%

Loading

1Y

16.9%

7D

2.8%

You can edit this narrative until Dec 7 9:05 PM. Then, changes will post as Updates.

Author's Valuation

US$172.673.2% undervalued

AnalystConsensusTarget Fair Value

Shared on 06 Dec 25

CINF: Calm Catastrophe Season And Q3 Beat Will Sustain Fair Value

Analysts have nudged their price target for Cincinnati Financial slightly higher to $186 from $184, reflecting improved earnings forecasts as stronger than expected Q3 results flow through models. A relatively calm catastrophe season supports more confident revenue growth assumptions, despite modestly lower profit margin expectations.

Shared on 22 Nov 25

Fair value Increased 0.97%

CINF: Q3 Performance And Calm Weather Are Expected To Sustain Current Fair Value

Analysts have increased their price target for Cincinnati Financial, raising it from $171 to approximately $173 per share. They cite stronger-than-expected Q3 earnings and a stable macro environment as key drivers for the upward revision.

Shared on 05 Nov 25

Fair value Increased 1.89%

CINF: Fair Value Supported By Q3 Results Despite Weather And Macro Risks Ahead

Cincinnati Financial's fair value price target has increased by $3.17 to $171.00. Analysts cite stronger-than-expected Q3 results and a stable macro environment in their updated projections.

Shared on 22 Oct 25

Fair value Increased 1.82%

Analysts have raised their price target for Cincinnati Financial by $3 to $167.83, supported by improved revenue growth forecasts and expectations for lower catastrophe losses. Analyst Commentary Recent adjustments to Cincinnati Financial's price targets reflect a generally optimistic outlook from equity analysts, bolstered by both favorable recent business developments and updated industry assumptions.

Shared on 08 Oct 25

Fair value Increased 0.92%

Analysts have modestly raised their price target for Cincinnati Financial to $178 from $167, citing updated forecasts that factor in lower catastrophe loss ratios and greater reserve releases, even though premium growth has slowed. Analyst Commentary Recent updates from Street research highlight varying analyst perspectives on Cincinnati Financial's outlook, with both bullish and cautious views informing the revised price target.

Shared on 07 May 25

Fair value Increased 8.07%

Shared on 30 Apr 25

Fair value Increased 3.50%

AnalystConsensusTarget has increased revenue growth from 3.9% to 5.9%.

Shared on 23 Apr 25

Fair value Increased 0.43%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 16 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 4.14%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 09 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 2.08%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 10 Mar 25

Fair value Decreased 2.16%

AnalystConsensusTarget has decreased revenue growth from -1.2% to 3.9% and decreased future PE multiple from 37.2x to 31.2x.

AnalystConsensusTarget Fair Value

US$172.67

3.2% undervalued

Future estimation in

Growth p.a.

Growth p.a.

%

Decrease

Increase

Current revenue growth rate

3.14%

Insurance revenue growth rate

0.27%

Risk Level (Discount Rate)

Our default considers factors like the company's size, volatility, profitablity and country of operation.

%

0

Decrease

Increase

Current discount rate

6.96%

Calculation

US$1.12b

Earnings '28

x

28.97x

PE Ratio '28

=

US$32.53b

Market Cap '28

US$32.53b

Market Cap '28

/

154.51m

No. shares '28

=

US$210.56

Share Price '28

US$210.56 Share Price '28

Discounted to 2025 @ 6.96% p.a.

=

US$172.09

Fair Value '25