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HUM: Medicare Advantage Stars And ACA Premiums Will Shape Balanced Near-Term Outlook

Published
06 Aug 24
Updated
01 Nov 25
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
8.2%
7D
-4.4%

Author's Valuation

US$295.384.6% undervalued intrinsic discount

AnalystConsensusTarget Fair Value

Shared on 01 Nov 25

Fair value Increased 0.28%

Humana's analyst price target increased slightly, rising by approximately $0.83 to $295.38. Analysts cite mixed dynamics in Medicare Advantage star ratings and improving earnings visibility as factors supporting cautious optimism.

Shared on 18 Oct 25

Fair value Increased 0.57%

AI, In-Home Visits, Medicaid And CenterWell Will Improve Care Delivery

Humana’s analyst price target increased slightly to $294.54 from $292.87. Analysts cite improved earnings visibility and the stability of Medicare Advantage star ratings as supporting factors for the upward revision.

Shared on 04 Oct 25

Fair value Decreased 2.04%

AI, In-Home Visits, Medicaid And CenterWell Will Improve Care Delivery

Humana's analyst price target has fallen from approximately $299 to $293 per share, as analysts cite ongoing challenges in Medicare Advantage star ratings and a more cautious growth outlook. This comes despite recent plan diversification efforts.

Shared on 05 Sep 25

Fair value Increased 2.02%

AI, In-Home Visits, Medicaid And CenterWell Will Improve Care Delivery

Humana’s modestly higher fair value reflects improving investor sentiment, positive management commentary on future plan positioning, raised earnings guidance, and incremental legislative benefits, offset by some caution around interest rates and policy uncertainty, resulting in the consensus analyst price target rising slightly from $293.05 to $294.86. Analyst Commentary Improved investor sentiment and sector group valuations suggest estimates may have bottomed, with upcoming catalysts including government budget deals, Medicare Advantage and ACA pricing, and star ratings for future plans.

Shared on 07 May 25

Fair value Decreased 6.32%

AI, In-Home Visits, Medicaid And CenterWell Will Improve Care Delivery

Shared on 30 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 0.12%

AI, In-Home Visits, Medicaid And CenterWell Will Improve Care Delivery

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 23 Apr 25

AI, In-Home Visits, Medicaid And CenterWell Will Improve Care Delivery

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 16 Apr 25

Fair value Increased 3.21%

AI, In-Home Visits, Medicaid And CenterWell Will Improve Care Delivery

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 09 Apr 25

Fair value Increased 0.18%

AI, In-Home Visits, Medicaid And CenterWell Will Improve Care Delivery

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 02 Apr 25

Fair value Increased 2.18%

AI, In-Home Visits, Medicaid And CenterWell Will Improve Care Delivery

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 26 Mar 25

Fair value Decreased 0.33%

AI, In-Home Visits, Medicaid And CenterWell Will Improve Care Delivery

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 19 Mar 25

AI, In-Home Visits, Medicaid And CenterWell Will Improve Care Delivery

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 10 Mar 25

Fair value Increased 1.05%

AI, In-Home Visits, Medicaid And CenterWell Will Improve Care Delivery

AnalystConsensusTarget has increased revenue growth from 2.9% to 5.1%.