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CIVI: All-Stock Merger With SM Energy Will Drive Permian Expansion

Published
28 Aug 24
Updated
04 Nov 25
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
-49.0%
7D
-5.4%

Author's Valuation

US$40.7933.1% undervalued intrinsic discount

AnalystConsensusTarget Fair Value

Shared on 04 Nov 25

Fair value Decreased 4.56%

Analysts have lowered their price target for Civitas Resources from approximately $42.73 to $40.79 per share. They cite the upcoming SM Energy merger and a shifting financial outlook as key factors in their revised valuation.

Shared on 13 Oct 25

Fair value Increased 2.23%

Efficiency Gains And ESG Pressures Will Shape Permian Production

Analysts have raised the price target for Civitas Resources from $41.80 to approximately $42.73. They cited revised outlooks on company performance and industry developments as the reasons for the adjustment.

Shared on 17 Sep 25

Fair value Decreased 0.79%

Efficiency Gains And ESG Pressures Will Shape Permian Production

Analysts have modestly reduced Civitas Resources’ price target from $42.13 to $41.80, reflecting improved production and cash flow offset by cautious views on long-term asset development. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite improved production guidance and stronger-than-expected quarterly results as key drivers for raising targets.

Shared on 07 May 25

Fair value Decreased 8.05%

Efficiency Gains And ESG Pressures Will Shape Permian Production

Shared on 30 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 1.38%

Debt Reduction Will Improve Cash Flow Margins, But DJ Basin Divestments May Affect Future Revenues

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 23 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 2.84%

Debt Reduction Will Improve Cash Flow Margins, But DJ Basin Divestments May Affect Future Revenues

AnalystConsensusTarget has decreased profit margin from 13.2% to 11.3% and increased future PE multiple from 7.7x to 8.6x.

Shared on 17 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 6.78%

Debt Reduction Will Improve Cash Flow Margins, But DJ Basin Divestments May Affect Future Revenues

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 09 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 9.76%

Debt Reduction Will Improve Cash Flow Margins, But DJ Basin Divestments May Affect Future Revenues

AnalystConsensusTarget has decreased revenue growth from -1.9% to -2.8% and decreased future PE multiple from 9.2x to 8.2x.

Shared on 02 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 4.73%

Debt Reduction Will Improve Cash Flow Margins, But DJ Basin Divestments May Affect Future Revenues

AnalystConsensusTarget has decreased revenue growth from -1.2% to -1.9%.

Shared on 26 Mar 25

Fair value Decreased 2.16%

Debt Reduction Will Improve Cash Flow Margins, But DJ Basin Divestments May Affect Future Revenues

AnalystConsensusTarget has decreased revenue growth from -1.4% to -1.2%.

Shared on 19 Mar 25

Fair value Decreased 4.45%

Debt Reduction Will Improve Cash Flow Margins, But DJ Basin Divestments May Affect Future Revenues

AnalystConsensusTarget has increased revenue growth from -1.0% to -1.4%.

Shared on 10 Mar 25

Fair value Increased 47%

Debt Reduction Will Improve Cash Flow Margins, But DJ Basin Divestments May Affect Future Revenues

AnalystConsensusTarget has decreased revenue growth from 2.0% to -1.0% and increased discount rate from 9.2% to 10.5%.