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Key Takeaways PayPal is the online payments household brand benefiting from the positive trend in the E-commerce industry. Venmo’s sub-brand is a growth driver, which could reach over $2 billion in annual revenue by 2027.

Our updated Discounted-Cash-Flow (DCF) analysis shows that the fair value of PayPal’s stock is around $85 USD , significantly higher than the current price of $65.15 USD (as of March 29, 2025). Despite a 4% revenue growth in Q4 2024 to $8.37 billion and an earnings per share (EPS) of $1.11, which exceeded expectations, our calculations suggest that the stock is undervalued.

The company's ERC-Estimated remaining collections exceeds $5B. Its market capitalization is less than $1B, making its liquidation value more than its trading value.

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 12-Month Price Target: $142 Current Price: $105.71 Implied Upside: 34.3% Rating: STRONG BUY Risk Assessment: MODERATE INVESTMENT THESIS Global Payments (GPN) presents a compelling investment opportunity at current levels, with three key catalysts driving potential outperformance in 2025: Q4 2024 momentum in Merchant Solutions with strong POS adoption (added ~3,000 new locations) Strategic sale of AdvancedMD for $1.125 billion at attractive multiple with $700M earmarked for shareholder returns Successful integration of EVO Payments enhancing B2B capabilities and geographic reach VALUATION METHODOLOGY Our $142 price target reflects: Forward P/E multiple of 13x (below historical average, reflecting current market dynamics) applied to our 2025 EPS estimate of $10.92 EV/EBITDA multiple of 11x on projected 2025 EBITDA, reflecting recent sector compression DCF analysis using 9.5% WACC (adjusted for higher rate environment) and 3% terminal growth KEY GROWTH DRIVERS Recent Performance Highlights Q3 2024 adjusted net revenue increased 6% to $2.36 billion Adjusted operating margin expanded 40 basis points to 46.1% Added 92 new software partners in Q3, up 60% year-over-year Macro Environment U.S. GDP growth projected at 2.4% for 2025, supporting payment volumes Fed funds rate expected to decrease to 3.88%, reducing funding costs Resilient high-income consumer spending evidenced by recent holiday data RISK FACTORS Near-term margin pressure from technology investments and compensation costs Integration execution risk from recent acquisitions Increasing competition in digital payments space Potential policy changes under new administration FINANCIAL METRICS Key Financial Metrics for Q4 2024E: Revenue Growth: 5-6% Operating Margin: 46.1% EPS Growth: 11-12% Free Cash Flow Conversion: 92% Projected Metrics for 2025E: Revenue Growth: 8-9% Operating Margin: 46.6% EPS Growth: 13-14% Free Cash Flow Conversion: 93% STRATEGIC POSITIONING Recent developments reinforce GPN's leadership in: Integrated payments with strong new partner acquisition B2B payments expansion through EVO integration Software-driven solutions with continued innovation International market penetration RECOMMENDATION RATIONALE Our STRONG BUY recommendation at current price of $105.71 is based on: Current valuation represents significant discount to intrinsic value Strong Q3 2024 execution with improving operating leverage Strategic initiatives creating clearer growth path Robust free cash flow generation supporting shareholder returns

Ally Financial (ALLY) has recently made significant strategic moves, including cutting part of its workforce and exiting the mortgage business. While such decisions often raise concerns in the short term, they could set the stage for long-term growth and improved profitability.

PayPal Holdings, Inc. (PYPL) has demonstrated a significant recovery in 2024, with its stock price rising approximately 48% year-to-date, outperforming the S&P 500.

Sector: Financials Industry: Transacted & Payment Processing Services Quant Sector Ranking (as of 12/23/2024): 75 out of 686 Quant Industry Ranking (as of 12/23/2024): 8 out of 43 Market Capitalization: $54.11B Quant Rating: Strong Buy "Block, Inc., formerly known as Square, Inc., is a top quant-ranked Transaction & Payment Processing Services stock founded in 2009 by Jack Dorsey and Jim McKelvey. The company has evolved from its initial focus on payments to become a diversified fintech.

Berkshire has managed to find a balance between a diversified business and an alpha-rich portfolio. The company’s efficiency is reflected in its low risk, which also limits growth.

SoFi Technologies (SOFI) continues to ride the waves in the financial world, propelled by robust membership growth, product adoption, and diversification across its ecosystem. In Q3 2024, the company declared a massive stock price increase over the past month, propelled by investors’ strong confidence in the company’s performance and general potential for further growth.