TGT: Margin Stability And Leadership Changes Will Shape Recovery Amid Competitive Pressures

AN

AnalystConsensusTarget

AnalystConsensusTarget

Not Invested

Based on Analyst Price Targets

Published

18 Jul 24

Updated

28 Nov 25

Views

840

n/a

n/a

AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value

n/a

1Y

-27.8%

7D

-2.4%

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1Y

-27.8%

7D

-2.4%

You can edit this narrative until Nov 29 10:05 PM. Then, changes will post as Updates.

Author's Valuation

US$96.521.4% undervalued

AnalystConsensusTarget Fair Value

Shared on 28 Nov 25

Fair value Decreased 4.15%

TGT: Near-Term Headwinds And Reinvestment Needs Will Shape Recovery Path Forward

Target's analyst price target was reduced from approximately $101 to $97 per share, as analysts cite increasing uncertainty around reinvestment needs and a more cautious outlook following recent quarterly results. Analyst Commentary The latest round of analyst commentary on Target offers a balanced mix of optimism and caution, as experts digest the company’s quarterly performance and forward-looking strategies.

Shared on 14 Nov 25

Fair value Decreased 0.66%

TGT: Leadership Transition And Operational Efficiency Will Drive Business Recovery

Target’s analyst price target was revised down from $101.36 to $100.70 per share. Analysts point to continued sales headwinds and the need for significant reinvestment to improve long-term performance.

Shared on 31 Oct 25

Fair value Decreased 0.15%

Target’s analyst price target saw a modest decrease, slipping from $101.52 to $101.36. Analysts cited ongoing industry headwinds and the need for significant investment to address margin and revenue challenges.

Shared on 17 Oct 25

Fair value Decreased 0.27%

Target's fair value estimate has been slightly lowered to $101.52 from $101.79. This reflects analysts' concerns about ongoing weak sales, required reinvestment, and continued pressure on margins, despite some stabilization in fundamentals.

Shared on 03 Oct 25

Fair value Decreased 1.83%

The analyst price target for Target has been revised downward by nearly $2 to $101.79. Analysts cite soft sales trends and the need for substantial reinvestment in merchandising, technology, and store experience.

Shared on 07 May 25

Fair value Decreased 20%

Shared on 30 Apr 25

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 23 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 0.58%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 16 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 3.01%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 09 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 1.27%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 02 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 0.23%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 26 Mar 25

Fair value Decreased 0.80%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 19 Mar 25

Fair value Increased 0.69%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 10 Mar 25

Fair value Increased 32%

AnalystConsensusTarget has decreased revenue growth from 2.8% to 2.4%.

AnalystConsensusTarget Fair Value

US$96.52

1.4% undervalued

Future estimation in

Growth p.a.

Growth p.a.

%

Decrease

Increase

Current revenue growth rate

2.24%

Food and Staples Retail revenue growth rate

0.18%

Risk Level (Discount Rate)

Our default considers factors like the company's size, volatility, profitablity and country of operation.

%

0

Decrease

Increase

Current discount rate

7.61%

Calculation

US$3.75b

Earnings '28

x

14.02x

PE Ratio '28

=

US$52.58b

Market Cap '28

US$52.58b

Market Cap '28

/

436.97m

No. shares '28

=

US$120.34

Share Price '28

US$120.34 Share Price '28

Discounted to 2025 @ 7.71% p.a.

=

US$96.30

Fair Value '25