Core Focus And 30 Conversions Will Boost Efficiency

Published
12 Sep 24
Updated
29 Jul 25
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
US$100.35
13.7% overvalued intrinsic discount
29 Jul
US$114.06
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1Y
23.4%
7D
-1.4%

Author's Valuation

US$100.3

13.7% overvalued intrinsic discount

AnalystConsensusTarget Fair Value

Shared on29 Jul 25
Fair value Increased 12%

Dollar Tree’s consensus price target was raised from $89.51 to $100.35 following strong Q1 comp sales growth, raised EPS guidance, and confident management commentary offsetting tariff and cost pressures with mitigation strategies. Analyst Commentary Strong Q1 results with notable comp sales growth (~5%) driven by both store traffic and average ticket, providing evidence of successful merchandising and market share gains.

Shared on07 May 25
Fair value Increased 7.18%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on30 Apr 25

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on23 Apr 25

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on16 Apr 25
Fair value Decreased 14%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on09 Apr 25
Fair value Increased 17%

Shared on02 Apr 25
Fair value Increased 79%

AnalystConsensusTarget has increased revenue growth from 3.1% to 6.1%, increased profit margin from 4.5% to 6.3% and increased future PE multiple from 14.2x to 16.5x.

Shared on26 Mar 25
Fair value Increased 3.46%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on19 Mar 25
Fair value Decreased 4.27%

AnalystConsensusTarget has increased shares outstanding growth rate from -0.0% to 0.0%.

Shared on10 Mar 25
Fair value Decreased 44%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.